PitchMath
La Liga · 2025Sun, 2 Nov 2025, 17:30 UTCFull timeOlímpic Lluís CompanysFull-time recap
3–1Full-time recap

Elche

DWLDL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricBarcelonaElche
Shots17 shots/match▲9 shots/match
Shots on target5 shots/match▲3 shots/match
Possession49%51%
Corners6 corners/match3 corners/match
Fouls12 fouls/match16 fouls/match
Yellow cards0 cards/match▲1 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Barcelona's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Barcelona's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Barcelona show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Barcelona's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

20.2 shots/match▲ShotsBarcelona · Elche10.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBarcelonaElcheBaseline
Shots20.2 shots/match10.9 shots/match11.9 shots/match
Shots against9 shots/match12.2 shots/match12 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Barcelona's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Barcelona's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.8 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.55 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match2.55 goals/match1.14 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Elche have a visible away split

moderate

Elche's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.5 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season10.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8.5 shots/match10.9 shots/match11.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Barcelona favored in 6 of 14 directional metrics · Elche in 0 · 8 too close

2.55 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 11/111.09 goals/match
1.18 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 11/111.18 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
20.2 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 11/1110.9 shots/match
9 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 11/1112.2 shots/match
8 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 11/113.91 shots/match
3.82 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 11/113.64 shots/match
68.5%Possessionseason · 11/1158.9%
7 corners/matchCornersseason · 11/113.36 corners/match
4.73 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 11/114.55 corners/match
1.73 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 11/111.91 cards/match
9.36 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 11/1112.9 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
27%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 11/1127%
100%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 11/1182%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Barcelona97.5
Elche87.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Barcelona97.5
Elche43.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Barcelona72.5
Elche58.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Barcelona82.5
Elche2.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Barcelona7.5
Elche40
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Barcelona97.5
Elche12.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Barcelona75
Elche39.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.8 goals/match▲Goals scored5/50.8 goals/match
1.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1.6 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
19.6 shots/match▲Shots5/512 shots/match
8 shots/match▲Shots on target5/54.6 shots/match
64.2%Possession5/560.6%
7.8 corners/matchCorners5/54.4 corners/match
2.8 cards/matchCards5/52 cards/match
9.2 fouls/matchFouls5/513.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
2.5 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101.1 goals/match
1.3 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.2 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
19.8 shots/match▲Shots10/1011.4 shots/match
8 shots/match▲Shots on target10/104.1 shots/match
68.2%Possession10/1058%
7.1 corners/matchCorners10/103.6 corners/match
1.8 cards/matchCards10/102.1 cards/match
8.6 fouls/matchFouls10/1012.8 fouls/match

Window

Season

11 / 11 matches
2.55 goals/match▲Goals scored11/111.09 goals/match
1.18 goals/matchGoals allowed11/111.18 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
20.2 shots/match▲Shots11/1110.9 shots/match
8 shots/match▲Shots on target11/113.91 shots/match
68.5%Possession11/1158.9%
7 corners/matchCorners11/113.36 corners/match
1.73 cards/matchCards11/111.91 cards/match
9.36 fouls/matchFouls11/1112.9 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

5 / 6 matches
3.2 goals/match▲Goals scored5/61 goals/match
0.6 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/61.83 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
21.2 shots/match▲Shots5/68.5 shots/match
8.6 shots/match▲Shots on target5/63 shots/match
67%Possession5/653.5%
7.4 corners/matchCorners5/62.67 corners/match
1 cards/matchCards5/62.17 cards/match
9.2 fouls/matchFouls5/613.2 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.09 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/18.14 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples11 / 11home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 2 Nov 2025, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsBarcelonaElche
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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