PitchMath
La Liga · 2025Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero

Elche 1–1 Real Sociedad · La Liga

Elche

WLDLL
1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Elche and Real Sociedad drew 1–1.

Shots
1213
Shots on target
35
Expected goals
0.81.36
Possession
63%37%

Full time

What the match recorded

Elche and Real Sociedad drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Elche – Real Sociedad): shots 12–13, shots on target 3–5, expected goals 0.8–1.36, possession 63%–37%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Elche's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Elche's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.08 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.08 goals/match1.13 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Elche have a visible home split

moderate

Elche's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13.5 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season11 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13.5 shots/match11 shots/match11.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Elche have recorded the higher season possession share.

59.3% ●PossessionElche · Real Sociedad50.5%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.8 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricElcheReal SociedadBaseline
Possession59.3%50.5%50.9%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots13 shotsElche 12 shots, Real Sociedad 13 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots5 shotsElche 3 shots, Real Sociedad 5 shots
  • Expected goals0.8 xG1.36 xGElche 0.8 xG, Real Sociedad 1.36 xG
  • Possession63%37%Elche 63%, Real Sociedad 37%
  • Corners1 corner3 cornersElche 1 corner, Real Sociedad 3 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls15 foulsElche 14 fouls, Real Sociedad 15 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card3 cardsElche 1 card, Real Sociedad 3 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Álvaro Rodriguez · Elche · 38′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedAdrià Pedrosa · Elche · 4′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRafa Mir · Elche · 16′ · 0.02 xG · on targetRodrigo Mendoza · Elche · 29′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMikel Oyarzabal · Real Sociedad · 66′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedUmar Sadiq · Real Sociedad · 75′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMikel Oyarzabal · Real Sociedad · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRafa Mir · Elche · 9′ · 0.04 xG · on targetAdrià Pedrosa · Elche · 42′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedBrais Méndez · Real Sociedad · 54′ · 0.04 xG · on targetUmar Sadiq · Real Sociedad · 66′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAdrià Pedrosa · Elche · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedTakefusa Kubo · Real Sociedad · 6′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedTakefusa Kubo · Real Sociedad · 25′ · 0.05 xG · on targetGonçalo Guedes · Real Sociedad · 25′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedVíctor Chust · Elche · 63′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJon Aramburu · Real Sociedad · 65′ · 0.05 xG · on targetMikel Oyarzabal · Real Sociedad · 44′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMikel Oyarzabal · Real Sociedad · 44′ · 0.08 xG · on targetÁlvaro Rodriguez · Elche · 13′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedJon Gorrotxategi · Real Sociedad · 33′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedRodrigo Mendoza · Elche · 26′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedÁlvaro Rodriguez · Elche · 57′ · 0.17 xG · goalRafa Mir · Elche · 31′ · 0.27 xG · off target or blockedMikel Oyarzabal · Real Sociedad · 89′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Elche: 12 shots, 3 on target, 0.92 xG. Real Sociedad: 13 shots, 5 on target, 1.40 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Álvaro Rodriguez · Elche · 57′Mikel Oyarzabal · Real Sociedad · 89′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Elche 0.92 xG · Real Sociedad 1.40 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Elche
0Draws
4Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad — Elche · La Liga2–0
Elche — Real Sociedad · La Liga0–1
Elche — Real Sociedad · La Liga1–2
Real Sociedad — Elche · La Liga1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Elche favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Real Sociedad in 5 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Elche12 matchesReal Sociedad12 matches
1.08 goals/matchGoals scored12/12▲ 1.17 goals/match
1.17 goals/match ▲Goals allowed12/121.42 goals/match
1.1 xG/matchExpected goals12/12▲ 1.37 xG/match
11 shots/matchShots12/12▲ 13.2 shots/match
3.83 shots/matchShots on target12/12▲ 4.5 shots/match
59.3% ●Possession12/1250.5%
3.17 corners/matchCorners12/12● 6.5 corners/match
1.83 cards/matchCards12/122.25 cards/match
13 fouls/matchFouls12/1216.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples12 / 12home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 8 Nov 2025, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsElcheReal Sociedad
CompetitionLa LigaLa Liga 2025/26
Head-to-headElche — Real Sociedad
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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