PitchMath
La Liga · 2025Fri, 7 Nov 2025, 20:00 UTCFull timeEstadio Manuel Martínez ValeroFull-time recap

Elche

WLDLL
1–1Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricElcheReal Sociedad
Shots12 shots/match13 shots/match▲
Shots on target3 shots/match5 shots/match▲
Possession63%37%
Corners1 corners/match3 corners/match
Fouls14 fouls/match15 fouls/match
Yellow cards1 cards/match▲3 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Elche's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Elche's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Elche's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Elche's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.08 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.08 goals/match1.13 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Elche have a visible home split

moderate

Elche's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13.5 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season11 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13.5 shots/match11 shots/match11.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Elche have recorded the higher season possession share.

59.3%▲PossessionElche · Real Sociedad50.5%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.8 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricElcheReal SociedadBaseline
Possession59.3%50.5%50.9%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Elche favored in 3 of 14 directional metrics · Real Sociedad in 4 · 7 too close

1.08 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 12/12▲1.17 goals/match
1.17 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 12/121.42 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
11 shots/matchShotsseason · 12/12▲13.2 shots/match
12.3 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 12/1212.2 shots/match
3.83 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 12/12▲4.5 shots/match
3.75 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 12/123.67 shots/match
59.3%Possessionseason · 12/1250.5%
3.17 corners/matchCornersseason · 12/126.5 corners/match
4.42 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 12/12▲4.17 corners/match
1.83 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 12/122.25 cards/match
13 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 12/1216.2 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
25%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 12/128%
83%Scoring frequencyseason · 12/1283%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Elche87.5
Real Sociedad47.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Elche42.5
Real Sociedad64.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Elche57.5
Real Sociedad49.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Elche2.5
Real Sociedad67.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Elche37.5
Real Sociedad75
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Elche7.5
Real Sociedad92.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Elche38.8
Real Sociedad82.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
0.6 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.4 goals/match
1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1.2 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11 shots/matchShots5/510.8 shots/match
3.6 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲4.6 shots/match
60.8%Possession5/547.6%
3.2 corners/matchCorners5/55.4 corners/match
1.6 cards/matchCards5/52 cards/match
13.6 fouls/matchFouls5/517.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.1 goals/matchGoals scored10/101.1 goals/match
1.2 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.4 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
12 shots/matchShots10/10▲13 shots/match
4.2 shots/matchShots on target10/104.4 shots/match
60.1%Possession10/1049.8%
3.5 corners/matchCorners10/106.6 corners/match
1.9 cards/matchCards10/102.3 cards/match
13.5 fouls/matchFouls10/1016.7 fouls/match

Window

Season

12 / 12 matches
1.08 goals/matchGoals scored12/12▲1.17 goals/match
1.17 goals/match▲Goals allowed12/121.42 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11 shots/matchShots12/12▲13.2 shots/match
3.83 shots/matchShots on target12/12▲4.5 shots/match
59.3%Possession12/1250.5%
3.17 corners/matchCorners12/126.5 corners/match
1.83 cards/matchCards12/122.25 cards/match
13 fouls/matchFouls12/1216.2 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

6 / 6 matches
1.17 goals/match▲Goals scored6/60.83 goals/match
0.5 goals/match▲Goals allowed6/61.5 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13.5 shots/matchShots6/613.2 shots/match
4.67 shots/matchShots on target6/64.67 shots/match
65%Possession6/645.7%
3.67 corners/matchCorners6/66 corners/match
1.5 cards/matchCards6/62.83 cards/match
12.8 fouls/matchFouls6/616 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

5.1 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.1 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples12 / 12home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 8 Nov 2025, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsElcheReal Sociedad
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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