PitchMath
La Liga · 2025Sat, 8 Nov 2025, 13:00 UTCFull timeEstadio Municipal de MontiliviFull-time recap

Girona

DWLDL
1–0Full-time recap

Alaves

LWDLW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricGironaAlaves
Shots10 shots/match14 shots/match▲
Shots on target2 shots/match5 shots/match▲
Possession52%48%
Corners6 corners/match1 corners/match
Fouls9 fouls/match15 fouls/match
Yellow cards0 cards/match▲3 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Girona's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Alaves's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Girona's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Girona's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.92 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match0.92 goals/match1.13 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Alaves show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Alaves's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

9.25 shots/match▲ShotsGirona · Alaves11.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricGironaAlavesBaseline
Shots9.25 shots/match11.8 shots/match12 shots/match
Shots against16.8 shots/match11 shots/match12 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Girona favored in 2 of 14 directional metrics · Alaves in 5 · 7 too close

0.92 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 12/120.92 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 12/12▲0.92 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
9.25 shots/matchShotsseason · 12/12▲11.8 shots/match
16.8 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 12/12▲11 shots/match
3.67 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 12/123.67 shots/match
5.75 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 12/12▲3.17 shots/match
47.7%Possessionseason · 12/1251.3%
4.67 corners/matchCornersseason · 12/125.5 corners/match
6 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 12/12▲4.25 corners/match
2.42 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 12/122.58 cards/match
10.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 12/1215.6 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
17%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 12/1217%
67%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 12/1258%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Girona42.5
Alaves52.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Girona22.5
Alaves34.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Girona5.8
Alaves79.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Girona7.5
Alaves37.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Girona42.5
Alaves82.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Girona40
Alaves72.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Girona25
Alaves59.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.6 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51 goals/match
1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲0.8 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
8.2 shots/matchShots5/5▲15.4 shots/match
4 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53.8 shots/match
50.8%Possession5/551.6%
5 corners/matchCorners5/55.6 corners/match
3 cards/matchCards5/53 cards/match
11.4 fouls/matchFouls5/513.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1 goals/match▲Goals scored10/100.9 goals/match
1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲0.9 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
9.9 shots/matchShots10/10▲11.6 shots/match
4 shots/match▲Shots on target10/103.5 shots/match
48.1%Possession10/1050.3%
5.3 corners/matchCorners10/105.4 corners/match
2.6 cards/matchCards10/102.8 cards/match
10.6 fouls/matchFouls10/1015.5 fouls/match

Window

Season

12 / 12 matches
0.92 goals/matchGoals scored12/120.92 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed12/12▲0.92 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
9.25 shots/matchShots12/12▲11.8 shots/match
3.67 shots/matchShots on target12/123.67 shots/match
47.7%Possession12/1251.3%
4.67 corners/matchCorners12/125.5 corners/match
2.42 cards/matchCards12/122.58 cards/match
10.3 fouls/matchFouls12/1215.6 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

7 / 6 matches
1 goals/match▲Goals scored7/60.33 goals/match
1.86 goals/matchGoals allowed7/6▲0.83 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
9.71 shots/matchShots7/6▲10.5 shots/match
3.29 shots/matchShots on target7/6▲3.5 shots/match
51.4%Possession7/650.3%
6.14 corners/matchCorners7/64.83 corners/match
2.57 cards/matchCards7/63.17 cards/match
9.71 fouls/matchFouls7/617 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.71 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/15.91 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples12 / 12home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 8 Nov 2025, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsGironaAlaves
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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