La Liga · 2025Sun, 2 Nov 2025, 15:15 UTCFull timeEstadio MendizorrotzaFull-time recap

Alaves

DLWDL

2–1Full-time recap

Espanyol

DDLWW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Alaves	Espanyol
Shots	13 shots/match	18 shots/match▲
Shots on target	4 shots/match▲	2 shots/match
Possession	54%	46%
Corners	1 corners/match	6 corners/match
Fouls	14 fouls/match	12 fouls/match
Yellow cards	4 cards/match	2 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Alaves's last-five shots average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Alaves have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Alaves's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Alaves's last-five shots average is above their season average.

15 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season11.6 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Shots	15 shots/match	11.6 shots/match	11.9 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Alaves have recorded the higher season possession share.

51.6%▲PossessionAlaves · Espanyol41.1%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 10.5 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Alaves	Espanyol	Baseline
Possession	51.6%	41.1%	51.5%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Alaves favored in 3 of 14 directional metrics · Espanyol in 6 · 5 too close

1 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 11/11▲1.36 goals/match

0.91 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 11/111.18 goals/match

—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—

—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—

11.6 shots/matchShotsseason · 11/11▲14.4 shots/match

11.1 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 11/1113.5 shots/match

3.55 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 11/11▲5 shots/match

3.27 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 11/114.45 shots/match

51.6%Possessionseason · 11/1141.1%

5.91 corners/matchCornersseason · 11/114.36 corners/match

4.09 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 11/114.27 corners/match

2.55 cards/matchCardsseason · 11/11▲1.91 cards/match

15.6 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 11/1113.1 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

18%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 11/11▲36%

64%Scoring frequencyseason · 11/11▲82%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Alaves52.5

Espanyol12.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Alaves33.3

Espanyol75

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Alaves80.8

Espanyol47.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Alaves37.5

Espanyol97.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Alaves82.5

Espanyol40

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Alaves75

Espanyol32.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Alaves59.4

Espanyol63.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1 goals/matchGoals scored5/51 goals/match

0.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/50.8 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

15 shots/matchShots5/5▲17.4 shots/match

3.4 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲5.8 shots/match

54.2%Possession5/541.4%

7 corners/matchCorners5/55.8 corners/match

3 cards/matchCards5/52 cards/match

13.8 fouls/matchFouls5/512.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

0.9 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲1.3 goals/match

0.9 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.2 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

11.3 shots/matchShots10/10▲14.9 shots/match

3.5 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲5 shots/match

50.6%Possession10/1041.2%

5.5 corners/matchCorners10/104.7 corners/match

2.8 cards/matchCards10/101.8 cards/match

15.7 fouls/matchFouls10/1013 fouls/match

Window

Season

11 / 11 matches

1 goals/matchGoals scored11/11▲1.36 goals/match

0.91 goals/match▲Goals allowed11/111.18 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

11.6 shots/matchShots11/11▲14.4 shots/match

3.55 shots/matchShots on target11/11▲5 shots/match

51.6%Possession11/1141.1%

5.91 corners/matchCorners11/114.36 corners/match

2.55 cards/matchCards11/111.91 cards/match

15.6 fouls/matchFouls11/1113.1 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

6 / 5 matches

1.5 goals/match▲Goals scored6/51 goals/match

1 goals/match▲Goals allowed6/51.2 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

13.2 shots/matchShots6/5▲15.8 shots/match

3.83 shots/matchShots on target6/5▲4.2 shots/match

52.3%Possession6/538.2%

6.17 corners/matchCorners6/54 corners/match

2 cards/matchCards6/51.2 cards/match

14.2 fouls/matchFouls6/513.8 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.8 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/18.04 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples11 / 11home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 2 Nov 2025, 19:15 UTC · analysis-v4

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