PitchMath
La Liga · 2025Sat, 8 Nov 2025, 20:00 UTCFull timeRCDE StadiumFull-time recap
0–2Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricEspanyolVillarreal
Shots14 shots/match▲9 shots/match
Shots on target3 shots/match3 shots/match
Possession55%45%
Corners4 corners/match2 corners/match
Fouls9 fouls/match9 fouls/match
Yellow cards0 cards/match▲2 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Villarreal's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. A second useful context is: Villarreal's last-five shots average is below their season average. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Villarreal have a visible away split

moderate

Villarreal's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.67 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season13.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.67 shots/match13.8 shots/match12 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Villarreal's recent record differs from the season

weak

Villarreal's last-five shots average is below their season average.

10.6 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season13.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots10.6 shots/match13.8 shots/match12 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Espanyol favored in 1 of 14 directional metrics · Villarreal in 6 · 7 too close

1.25 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 12/12▲2 goals/match
1.25 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 12/12▲0.83 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
14.3 shots/matchShotsseason · 12/1213.8 shots/match
13.1 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 12/1212.5 shots/match
4.83 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 12/124.92 shots/match
4.33 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 12/12▲3.25 shots/match
42.3%Possessionseason · 12/1245.3%
4.33 corners/matchCornersseason · 12/124.75 corners/match
4.08 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 12/12▲3.75 corners/match
1.75 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 12/122.25 cards/match
12.8 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 12/1211.3 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
33%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 12/12▲50%
75%Scoring frequencyseason · 12/12▲92%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Espanyol12.5
Villarreal22.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Espanyol74.2
Villarreal80
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Espanyol39.2
Villarreal72.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Espanyol97.5
Villarreal87.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Espanyol37.5
Villarreal38.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Espanyol32.5
Villarreal52.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Espanyol63.8
Villarreal58.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲2.2 goals/match
1.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
16.2 shots/match▲Shots5/510.6 shots/match
5.4 shots/match▲Shots on target5/54 shots/match
44.4%Possession5/541%
5.8 corners/matchCorners5/53 corners/match
1.8 cards/matchCards5/52.6 cards/match
11.8 fouls/matchFouls5/511.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.1 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲1.7 goals/match
1.2 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
14.9 shots/match▲Shots10/1012.1 shots/match
5 shots/match▲Shots on target10/104.2 shots/match
42.9%Possession10/1042.2%
4.9 corners/matchCorners10/103.9 corners/match
1.6 cards/matchCards10/102.5 cards/match
12.1 fouls/matchFouls10/1011.7 fouls/match

Window

Season

12 / 12 matches
1.25 goals/matchGoals scored12/12▲2 goals/match
1.25 goals/matchGoals allowed12/12▲0.83 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
14.3 shots/matchShots12/1213.8 shots/match
4.83 shots/matchShots on target12/124.92 shots/match
42.3%Possession12/1245.3%
4.33 corners/matchCorners12/124.75 corners/match
1.75 cards/matchCards12/122.25 cards/match
12.8 fouls/matchFouls12/1211.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

7 / 6 matches
1.43 goals/match▲Goals scored7/61.33 goals/match
1.29 goals/matchGoals allowed7/6▲1.17 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13.3 shots/match▲Shots7/69.67 shots/match
5.29 shots/match▲Shots on target7/63.17 shots/match
45.1%Possession7/637.8%
4.57 corners/matchCorners7/63 corners/match
2.14 cards/matchCards7/63.17 cards/match
12 fouls/matchFouls7/612.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.2 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.29 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples12 / 12home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 9 Nov 2025, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsEspanyolVillarreal
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Create a graphic from this match