UEFA Champions League · 2025Alphamega Stadium

Pafos FC 1–0 Villarreal · UEFA Champions League

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Pafos FC won 1–0.

Shots
518
Shots on target
25
Expected goals
0.751.77
Possession
41%59%

Full time

What the match recorded

Pafos FC beat Villarreal 1–0. Recorded in this match (Pafos FC – Villarreal): shots 5–18, shots on target 2–5, expected goals 0.75–1.77, possession 41%–59%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Pafos FC's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Pafos FC's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1 goal/match1.5 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots5 shots18 shotsPafos FC 5 shots, Villarreal 18 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots5 shotsPafos FC 2 shots, Villarreal 5 shots
  • Expected goals0.75 xG1.77 xGPafos FC 0.75 xG, Villarreal 1.77 xG
  • Possession41%59%Pafos FC 41%, Villarreal 59%
  • Corners2 corners3 cornersPafos FC 2 corners, Villarreal 3 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls13 foulsPafos FC 12 fouls, Villarreal 13 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Santiago Mouriño · Villarreal · 40′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAnderson Silva · Pafos FC · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAyoze Pérez · Villarreal · 44′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAyoze Pérez · Villarreal · 57′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedManor Solomon · Villarreal · 70′ · 0.02 xG · on targetPape Gueye · Villarreal · 76′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDomingos Quina · Pafos FC · 52′ · 0.03 xG · on targetPape Gueye · Villarreal · 55′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPape Gueye · Villarreal · 76′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGerard Moreno · Villarreal · 81′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNicolas Pépé · Villarreal · 89′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDomingos Quina · Pafos FC · 2′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDerrick Luckassen · Pafos FC · 63′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSanti Comesaña · Villarreal · 76′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedNicolas Pépé · Villarreal · 4′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDani Parejo · Villarreal · 54′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedPape Gueye · Villarreal · 88′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedSanti Comesaña · Villarreal · 90′ · 0.05 xG · on targetTani Oluwaseyi · Villarreal · 64′ · 0.13 xG · on targetNicolas Pépé · Villarreal · 69′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedGeorges Mikautadze · Villarreal · 6′ · 0.42 xG · off target or blockedPape Gueye · Villarreal · 9′ · 0.55 xG · on targetDerrick Luckassen · Pafos FC · 46′ · 0.65 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Pafos FC: 5 shots, 2 on target, 0.77 xG. Villarreal: 18 shots, 5 on target, 1.73 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Derrick Luckassen · Pafos FC · 46′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Pafos FC 0.77 xG · Villarreal 1.73 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Pafos FC favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Villarreal in 0 · 11 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Pafos FC10 matchesVillarreal4 matches
1 goal/match ▲Goals scored10/40.5 goals/match
0.8 goals/match ▲Goals allowed10/41.5 goals/match
0.82 xG/matchExpected goals4/4▲ 1.34 xG/match
8.5 shots/matchShots6/4▲ 14 shots/match
3.17 shots/matchShots on target6/43.25 shots/match
38.2%Possession6/4● 45%
2.5 corners/matchCorners6/4● 2.75 corners/match
13.3 fouls/matchFouls6/412.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples10 / 4home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 4last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 5 Nov 2025, 21:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in UEFA Champions League

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