UEFA Champions League · 2025Wed, 5 Nov 2025, 17:45 UTCFull timeTofiq BəhramovFull-time recap

Qarabağ

WLWWL

2–2Full-time recap

Chelsea

LWW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Qarabağ	Chelsea
Shots	9 shots/match	16 shots/match▲
Shots on target	3 shots/match	4 shots/match▲
Expected goals	1.63 xG/match▲	1.26 xG/match
Possession	39%	61%
Corners	2 corners/match	8 corners/match
Fouls	9 fouls/match	19 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Qarabağ: 9 shots, 3 on target, 1.88 xG. Chelsea: 16 shots, 4 on target, 1.28 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Qarabağ 1.88 xG · Chelsea 1.28 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The available record does not support a clear cross-team pattern. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Qarabağ favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Chelsea in 0 · 14 too close

2.3 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 10/42.25 goals/match

1.2 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 10/41.5 goals/match

1.4 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 4/41.64 xG/match

1.77 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 4/41.4 xG/match

9.83 shots/matchShotsseason · 6/413.8 shots/match

15.3 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 6/49 shots/match

4 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 6/45 shots/match

4.33 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 6/43 shots/match

45.3%Possessionseason · 6/456.8%

2.67 corners/matchCornersseason · 6/46 corners/match

6.17 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 6/43.25 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

8.67 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 6/413.5 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

40%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 10/425%

100%Scoring frequencyseason · 10/4100%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Qarabağ22.6

Chelsea81

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 60%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Qarabağ41.4

Chelsea61.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 73%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Qarabağ52.6

Chelsea73.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 73%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Qarabağ17.9

Chelsea36.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 60%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Qarabağ10.7

Chelsea79.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 30%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Qarabağ3.6

Chelsea83.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 60%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Qarabağ14.6

Chelsea67.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 60%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 4 matches

2 goals/matchGoals scored5/4▲2.25 goals/match

2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/4▲1.5 goals/match

1.4 xG/matchExpected goals4/4▲1.64 xG/match

9.6 shots/matchShots5/4▲13.8 shots/match

4 shots/matchShots on target5/4▲5 shots/match

43.2%Possession5/456.8%

2.6 corners/matchCorners5/46 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

8.8 fouls/matchFouls5/413.5 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 4 matches

2.3 goals/matchGoals scored10/42.25 goals/match

1.2 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/41.5 goals/match

1.4 xG/matchExpected goals4/4▲1.64 xG/match

9.83 shots/matchShots6/4▲13.8 shots/match

4 shots/matchShots on target6/4▲5 shots/match

45.3%Possession6/456.8%

2.67 corners/matchCorners6/46 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

8.67 fouls/matchFouls6/413.5 fouls/match

Window

Season

10 / 4 matches

2.3 goals/matchGoals scored10/42.25 goals/match

1.2 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/41.5 goals/match

1.4 xG/matchExpected goals4/4▲1.64 xG/match

9.83 shots/matchShots6/4▲13.8 shots/match

4 shots/matchShots on target6/4▲5 shots/match

45.3%Possession6/456.8%

2.67 corners/matchCorners6/46 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

8.67 fouls/matchFouls6/413.5 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

5 / 2 matches

2.4 goals/matchGoals scored5/2—

1.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/2—

—Expected goals2/2—

9.67 shots/matchShots3/2—

3.67 shots/matchShots on target3/2—

43%Possession3/2—

2.33 corners/matchCorners3/2—

—Cards0/0—

11 fouls/matchFouls3/2—

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

14 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/114 days

0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples10 / 4home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 4last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.

Analysis cutoff: Wed, 5 Nov 2025, 21:45 UTC · analysis-v4

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Match statistics

Shot map

Expected-goals timeline

What the record shows

Values, percentiles and samples

How the teams compare

Possession control

Attacking volume

Defensive resistance

Directness proxy

Physicality

Set-piece relevance

Tempo and pressure proxy

Season, last 10 and last 5

Last 5

Last 10

Season

Home and away samples

Home team at home / away team away

Rest and recent workload

How much supports this analysis

Known unknowns

Related matches

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