PitchMath
Premier League · 2025Sat, 8 Nov 2025, 20:00 UTCFull timeStamford BridgeFull-time recap

Chelsea

LWWLW
3–0Full-time recap

Wolves

DDLLL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricChelseaWolves
Shots20 shots/match▲3 shots/match
Shots on target8 shots/match▲0 shots/match
Possession64%36%
Corners10 corners/match1 corners/match
Fouls12 fouls/match14 fouls/match
Yellow cards1 cards/match▲2 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Wolves's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Wolves's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Wolves show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Wolves's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

14.4 shots/match▲ShotsChelsea · Wolves9.55 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricChelseaWolvesBaseline
Shots14.4 shots/match9.55 shots/match11.9 shots/match
Shots against9.45 shots/match13.3 shots/match11.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Wolves have a visible away split

moderate

Wolves's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

7.83 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season9.55 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots7.83 shots/match9.55 shots/match11.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Chelsea have recorded the higher season possession share.

59.7%▲PossessionChelsea · Wolves47.4%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 12.4 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricChelseaWolvesBaseline
Possession59.7%47.4%50.4%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Chelsea favored in 9 of 14 directional metrics · Wolves in 1 · 4 too close

1.91 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 11/110.64 goals/match
1 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 11/112.27 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
14.4 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 11/119.55 shots/match
9.45 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 11/1113.3 shots/match
5.64 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 11/113.18 shots/match
2.82 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 11/114.73 shots/match
59.7%Possessionseason · 11/1147.4%
6.45 corners/matchCornersseason · 11/113.27 corners/match
4.09 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 11/116.09 corners/match
2.36 cards/matchCardsseason · 11/11▲2 cards/match
11.5 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 11/1113.5 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
45%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 11/110%
91%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 11/1145%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Chelsea92.5
Wolves32.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Chelsea91.7
Wolves9.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Chelsea83.3
Wolves13.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Chelsea52.5
Wolves12.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Chelsea71.2
Wolves80
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Chelsea92.5
Wolves10
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Chelsea83.8
Wolves31.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
2 goals/match▲Goals scored5/50.6 goals/match
0.6 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/52.4 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
16 shots/match▲Shots5/59 shots/match
7.2 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53 shots/match
57.4%Possession5/546.2%
6.6 corners/matchCorners5/52 corners/match
1.8 cards/matchCards5/51.8 cards/match
12.8 fouls/matchFouls5/513 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
2.1 goals/match▲Goals scored10/100.7 goals/match
1.1 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/102.1 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13.9 shots/match▲Shots10/109.6 shots/match
5.9 shots/match▲Shots on target10/103.2 shots/match
58.5%Possession10/1047.9%
6 corners/matchCorners10/103.2 corners/match
2.4 cards/matchCards10/102.1 cards/match
11.7 fouls/matchFouls10/1013.5 fouls/match

Window

Season

11 / 11 matches
1.91 goals/match▲Goals scored11/110.64 goals/match
1 goals/match▲Goals allowed11/112.27 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
14.4 shots/match▲Shots11/119.55 shots/match
5.64 shots/match▲Shots on target11/113.18 shots/match
59.7%Possession11/1147.4%
6.45 corners/matchCorners11/113.27 corners/match
2.36 cards/matchCards11/112 cards/match
11.5 fouls/matchFouls11/1113.5 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

6 / 6 matches
1.5 goals/match▲Goals scored6/60.17 goals/match
1 goals/match▲Goals allowed6/61.83 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
15.5 shots/match▲Shots6/67.83 shots/match
5.5 shots/match▲Shots on target6/62 shots/match
61.8%Possession6/644.2%
8 corners/matchCorners6/63.33 corners/match
1.67 cards/matchCards6/62.83 cards/match
11 fouls/matchFouls6/614 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.1 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.21 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples11 / 11home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 9 Nov 2025, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsChelseaWolves
CompetitionPremier League
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Create a graphic from this match