Premier League · 2025Sat, 8 Nov 2025, 15:00 UTCFull timeHill Dickinson StadiumFull-time recap

Everton

DWLLD

2–0Full-time recap

Fulham

LLLLW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Everton	Fulham
Shots	14 shots/match▲	8 shots/match
Shots on target	5 shots/match▲	4 shots/match
Possession	50%	50%
Corners	7 corners/match	5 corners/match
Fouls	11 fouls/match	14 fouls/match
Yellow cards	2 cards/match	2 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Everton's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Everton have a visible home split

moderate

Everton's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13.8 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season11.1 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

Metric	Home only	Season	Baseline
Shots	13.8 shots/match	11.1 shots/match	11.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Everton favored in 3 of 14 directional metrics · Fulham in 4 · 7 too close

1.09 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 11/111.09 goals/match

1.18 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 11/111.45 goals/match

—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—

—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—

11.1 shots/matchShotsseason · 11/1111 shots/match

13.1 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 11/11▲11.3 shots/match

3.18 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 11/11▲3.45 shots/match

4 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 11/114.36 shots/match

44.9%Possessionseason · 11/1150.2%

4.09 corners/matchCornersseason · 11/115.09 corners/match

5.09 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 11/115.18 corners/match

2.36 cards/matchCardsseason · 11/11▲1.91 cards/match

10.7 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 11/1114 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

27%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 11/1118%

64%Scoring frequencyseason · 11/11▲73%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Everton22.5

Fulham47.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Everton29.2

Fulham30.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Everton43.3

Fulham45.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Everton67.5

Fulham22.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Everton66.2

Fulham80

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Everton27.5

Fulham52.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Everton34.4

Fulham53.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1 goals/matchGoals scored5/51 goals/match

1.4 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.6 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

10.6 shots/matchShots5/5▲12 shots/match

3.4 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲3.8 shots/match

44.4%Possession5/549%

4.4 corners/matchCorners5/55.4 corners/match

2 cards/matchCards5/51.2 cards/match

11.8 fouls/matchFouls5/513.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

1.2 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101.1 goals/match

1.2 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.5 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

11.5 shots/matchShots10/1011.4 shots/match

3.4 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲3.6 shots/match

44.8%Possession10/1050.2%

4.3 corners/matchCorners10/105.3 corners/match

2.4 cards/matchCards10/101.8 cards/match

11 fouls/matchFouls10/1013.9 fouls/match

Window

Season

11 / 11 matches

1.09 goals/matchGoals scored11/111.09 goals/match

1.18 goals/match▲Goals allowed11/111.45 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

11.1 shots/matchShots11/1111 shots/match

3.18 shots/matchShots on target11/11▲3.45 shots/match

44.9%Possession11/1150.2%

4.09 corners/matchCorners11/115.09 corners/match

2.36 cards/matchCards11/111.91 cards/match

10.7 fouls/matchFouls11/1114 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

6 / 6 matches

1.17 goals/match▲Goals scored6/60.67 goals/match

0.83 goals/match▲Goals allowed6/62.17 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

13.8 shots/match▲Shots6/610.2 shots/match

4.17 shots/match▲Shots on target6/63.67 shots/match

49.3%Possession6/648.8%

5.5 corners/matchCorners6/64.33 corners/match

2.67 cards/matchCards6/62.33 cards/match

10.7 fouls/matchFouls6/614.5 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

4.79 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples11 / 11home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 8 Nov 2025, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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