PitchMath
Premier League · 2025Sat, 8 Nov 2025, 15:00 UTCFull timeLondon StadiumFull-time recap
3–2Full-time recap

Burnley

LLWWL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricWest HamBurnley
Shots15 shots/match16 shots/match▲
Shots on target6 shots/match7 shots/match▲
Possession43%57%
Corners7 corners/match4 corners/match
Fouls15 fouls/match13 fouls/match
Yellow cards2 cards/match2 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Burnley's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Burnley's away-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Burnley's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Burnley's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.27 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.27 goals/match1.34 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Burnley have a visible away split

moderate

Burnley's away-only shot average is above their full-season average.

10.2 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season8.18 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.2 shots/match8.18 shots/match11.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

West Ham show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

West Ham's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

10.5 shots/match▲ShotsWest Ham · Burnley8.18 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricWest HamBurnleyBaseline
Shots10.5 shots/match8.18 shots/match11.9 shots/match
Shots against14.6 shots/match17.5 shots/match11.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

West Ham favored in 5 of 14 directional metrics · Burnley in 3 · 6 too close

1.18 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 11/11▲1.27 goals/match
2.09 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 11/112 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
10.5 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 11/118.18 shots/match
14.6 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 11/1117.5 shots/match
4.09 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 11/113.18 shots/match
5.18 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 11/115.91 shots/match
45.6%Possessionseason · 11/1138.4%
5.73 corners/matchCornersseason · 11/112.73 corners/match
6.73 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 11/116.55 corners/match
1.64 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 11/111.73 cards/match
10.6 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 11/119.91 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
9%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 11/11▲18%
64%Scoring frequencyseason · 11/11▲73%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

West Ham27.5
Burnley2.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

West Ham40.8
Burnley20.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

West Ham9.2
Burnley5.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

West Ham32.5
Burnley17.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

West Ham37.5
Burnley32.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

West Ham77.5
Burnley2.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

West Ham52.5
Burnley13.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.4 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.6 goals/match
1.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.8 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
10 shots/match▲Shots5/57.8 shots/match
3.8 shots/matchShots on target5/53.8 shots/match
43%Possession5/544.4%
5.4 corners/matchCorners5/52.6 corners/match
1.8 cards/matchCards5/51.4 cards/match
11 fouls/matchFouls5/511 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.3 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲1.4 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.9 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
10.3 shots/match▲Shots10/107.6 shots/match
4.1 shots/match▲Shots on target10/103.1 shots/match
43.9%Possession10/1038.9%
5.6 corners/matchCorners10/102.5 corners/match
1.7 cards/matchCards10/101.9 cards/match
10.7 fouls/matchFouls10/1010.1 fouls/match

Window

Season

11 / 11 matches
1.18 goals/matchGoals scored11/11▲1.27 goals/match
2.09 goals/matchGoals allowed11/112 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
10.5 shots/match▲Shots11/118.18 shots/match
4.09 shots/match▲Shots on target11/113.18 shots/match
45.6%Possession11/1138.4%
5.73 corners/matchCorners11/112.73 corners/match
1.64 cards/matchCards11/111.73 cards/match
10.6 fouls/matchFouls11/119.91 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

6 / 6 matches
1.33 goals/matchGoals scored6/6▲1.5 goals/match
2.5 goals/match▲Goals allowed6/63 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
10.7 shots/matchShots6/610.2 shots/match
4.5 shots/match▲Shots on target6/64.17 shots/match
43%Possession6/641.2%
6.17 corners/matchCorners6/63.17 corners/match
1.33 cards/matchCards6/61.83 cards/match
10 fouls/matchFouls6/69.83 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.04 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples11 / 11home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 8 Nov 2025, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsWest HamBurnley
CompetitionPremier League
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Create a graphic from this match