PitchMath
Premier League · 2025Sat, 8 Nov 2025, 17:30 UTCFull timeStadium of LightFull-time recap
2–2Full-time recap

Arsenal

WWWWW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricSunderlandArsenal
Shots6 shots/match17 shots/match▲
Shots on target2 shots/match7 shots/match▲
Possession35%65%
Corners2 corners/match2 corners/match
Fouls13 fouls/match13 fouls/match
Yellow cards2 cards/match1 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Sunderland's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Arsenal have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Sunderland show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Sunderland's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

10.1 shots/match▲ShotsSunderland · Arsenal14.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSunderlandArsenalBaseline
Shots10.1 shots/match14.7 shots/match11.9 shots/match
Shots against13.3 shots/match7.36 shots/match11.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Arsenal have recorded the higher season possession share.

43.3%▲PossessionSunderland · Arsenal58.9%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 15.6 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricSunderlandArsenalBaseline
Possession43.3%58.9%50.4%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Sunderland favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Arsenal in 10 · 4 too close

1.27 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 11/11▲1.82 goals/match
0.91 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 11/11▲0.45 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
10.1 shots/matchShotsseason · 11/11▲14.7 shots/match
13.3 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 11/11▲7.36 shots/match
2.73 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 11/11▲4.73 shots/match
4.45 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 11/11▲1.91 shots/match
43.3%Possessionseason · 11/1158.9%
3.27 corners/matchCornersseason · 11/116.82 corners/match
4.36 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 11/11▲3.09 corners/match
1.82 cards/matchCardsseason · 11/11▲1 cards/match
9.55 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 11/1110.5 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
36%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 11/11▲64%
73%Scoring frequencyseason · 11/11▲91%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Sunderland17.5
Arsenal87.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Sunderland21.7
Arsenal87.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Sunderland42.5
Arsenal97.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Sunderland37.5
Arsenal72.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Sunderland32.5
Arsenal22.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Sunderland10
Arsenal97.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Sunderland10.6
Arsenal78.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.4 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.6 goals/match
1.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲0.4 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
9.8 shots/matchShots5/5▲15.2 shots/match
2.8 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲5.6 shots/match
43.8%Possession5/562%
2.4 corners/matchCorners5/56 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards5/50.4 cards/match
10.6 fouls/matchFouls5/510 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.1 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲1.9 goals/match
1 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲0.5 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
10.1 shots/matchShots10/10▲15.3 shots/match
2.5 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲4.9 shots/match
43.9%Possession10/1060.9%
3.1 corners/matchCorners10/107.1 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards10/100.7 cards/match
9.7 fouls/matchFouls10/109.6 fouls/match

Window

Season

11 / 11 matches
1.27 goals/matchGoals scored11/11▲1.82 goals/match
0.91 goals/matchGoals allowed11/11▲0.45 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
10.1 shots/matchShots11/11▲14.7 shots/match
2.73 shots/matchShots on target11/11▲4.73 shots/match
43.3%Possession11/1158.9%
3.27 corners/matchCorners11/116.82 corners/match
1.82 cards/matchCards11/111 cards/match
9.55 fouls/matchFouls11/1110.5 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

6 / 6 matches
1.83 goals/match▲Goals scored6/61.33 goals/match
0.83 goals/matchGoals allowed6/6▲0.67 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11.2 shots/matchShots6/6▲14.2 shots/match
3.17 shots/matchShots on target6/6▲5.17 shots/match
42.8%Possession6/655.2%
3.67 corners/matchCorners6/67 corners/match
1.83 cards/matchCards6/61.5 cards/match
10.2 fouls/matchFouls6/611.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

4.9 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.1 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples11 / 11home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 8 Nov 2025, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsSunderlandArsenal
CompetitionPremier League
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Create a graphic from this match