PitchMath
Premier League · 2025Mon, 3 Nov 2025, 20:00 UTCFull timeStadium of LightFull-time recap
1–1Full-time recap

Everton

LDWLL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricSunderlandEverton
Shots17 shots/match▲8 shots/match
Shots on target3 shots/match▲2 shots/match
Possession61%39%
Corners4 corners/match1 corners/match
Fouls10 fouls/match12 fouls/match
Yellow cards3 cards/match2 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Everton's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. A second useful context is: Everton's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Everton have a visible away split

moderate

Everton's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

7.8 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season10.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots7.8 shots/match10.8 shots/match11.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Everton's recent record differs from the season

weak

Everton's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1 goals/match1.3 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Sunderland favored in 7 of 14 directional metrics · Everton in 1 · 6 too close

1.2 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 10/101 goals/match
0.8 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 10/101.3 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
10.5 shots/matchShotsseason · 10/1010.8 shots/match
12.9 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 10/1013.6 shots/match
2.8 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 10/10▲3 shots/match
4.2 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 10/104 shots/match
44.1%Possessionseason · 10/1044.4%
3.4 corners/matchCornersseason · 10/103.8 corners/match
4.6 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 10/105.1 corners/match
1.8 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 10/102.4 cards/match
9.2 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 10/1010.7 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
40%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 10/1020%
70%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 10/1060%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Sunderland17.5
Everton22.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Sunderland26.7
Everton25.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Sunderland51.7
Everton40.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Sunderland47.5
Everton62.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Sunderland28.8
Everton68.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Sunderland7.5
Everton20
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Sunderland14.4
Everton30.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.2 goals/match▲Goals scored5/50.8 goals/match
0.8 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.6 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
10.8 shots/match▲Shots5/510.2 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲3.6 shots/match
43.8%Possession5/544.8%
2.8 corners/matchCorners5/53.6 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards5/52.2 cards/match
9.2 fouls/matchFouls5/511 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.2 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101 goals/match
0.8 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.3 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
10.5 shots/matchShots10/1010.8 shots/match
2.8 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲3 shots/match
44.1%Possession10/1044.4%
3.4 corners/matchCorners10/103.8 corners/match
1.8 cards/matchCards10/102.4 cards/match
9.2 fouls/matchFouls10/1010.7 fouls/match

Window

Season

10 / 10 matches
1.2 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101 goals/match
0.8 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.3 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
10.5 shots/matchShots10/1010.8 shots/match
2.8 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲3 shots/match
44.1%Possession10/1044.4%
3.4 corners/matchCorners10/103.8 corners/match
1.8 cards/matchCards10/102.4 cards/match
9.2 fouls/matchFouls10/1010.7 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

5 / 5 matches
1.8 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51 goals/match
0.6 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.6 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
12.2 shots/match▲Shots5/57.8 shots/match
3.4 shots/match▲Shots on target5/52 shots/match
44.4%Possession5/539.6%
4 corners/matchCorners5/52.4 corners/match
1.8 cards/matchCards5/52 cards/match
9.6 fouls/matchFouls5/510.8 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

9.25 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/18.15 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples10 / 10home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 4 Nov 2025, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsSunderlandEverton
CompetitionPremier League
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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