PitchMath
Premier League · 2025Etihad Stadium

Manchester City 3–1 Bournemouth · Premier League

3–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Manchester City won 3–1.

Shots
158
Shots on target
85
Possession
48%52%

Full time

What the match recorded

Manchester City beat Bournemouth 3–1. Recorded in this match (Manchester City – Bournemouth): shots 15–8, shots on target 8–5, possession 48%–52%, corners 9–4. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Bournemouth's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Bournemouth's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.7 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.2 goals/match1.7 goals/match1.31 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots8 shotsManchester City 15 shots, Bournemouth 8 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots5 shotsManchester City 8 shots, Bournemouth 5 shots
  • Possession48%52%Manchester City 48%, Bournemouth 52%
  • Corners9 corners4 cornersManchester City 9 corners, Bournemouth 4 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls11 foulsManchester City 8 fouls, Bournemouth 11 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards2 cardsManchester City 2 cards, Bournemouth 2 cards

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

4Manchester City
0Draws
1Bournemouth
Manchester City — Bournemouth · Premier League3–1
Bournemouth — Manchester City · Premier League2–1
Bournemouth — Manchester City · Premier League0–1
Manchester City — Bournemouth · Premier League6–1
Bournemouth — Manchester City · Premier League1–4

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Manchester City favored in 7 of 9 directional metrics · Bournemouth in 1 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Manchester City10 matchesBournemouth10 matches
2 goals/match ▲Goals scored10/101.7 goals/match
0.8 goals/match ▲Goals allowed10/101.4 goals/match
13.8 shots/match ▲Shots10/1012 shots/match
5.1 shots/match ▲Shots on target10/104.6 shots/match
57.1% ●Possession10/1050.9%
5.5 corners/matchCorners10/105.5 corners/match
1.6 cards/matchCards10/102.5 cards/match
8.9 fouls/matchFouls10/1012.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples10 / 10home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 2 Nov 2025, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsManchester CityBournemouth
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2025/26
Head-to-headManchester City — Bournemouth
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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