UEFA Champions League · 2025Wed, 5 Nov 2025, 20:00 UTCFull timeEtihad StadiumFull-time recap

Manchester City

WDW

4–1Full-time recap

Borussia Dortmund

DWW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Manchester City	Borussia Dortmund
Shots	18 shots/match▲	12 shots/match
Shots on target	11 shots/match▲	4 shots/match
Expected goals	1.98 xG/match▲	1.02 xG/match
Possession	50%	50%
Corners	4 corners/match	4 corners/match
Fouls	11 fouls/match	17 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Manchester City: 18 shots, 11 on target, 1.98 xG. Borussia Dortmund: 12 shots, 4 on target, 1.02 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Manchester City 1.98 xG · Borussia Dortmund 1.02 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Borussia Dortmund's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Manchester City have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Borussia Dortmund show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Borussia Dortmund's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

17.3 shots/match▲ShotsManchester City · Borussia Dortmund11 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Manchester City	Borussia Dortmund	Baseline
Shots	17.3 shots/match	11 shots/match	13.5 shots/match
Shots against	8 shots/match	13.5 shots/match	13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Manchester City have recorded the higher season possession share.

65.3%▲PossessionManchester City · Borussia Dortmund53.5%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 11.8 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Manchester City	Borussia Dortmund	Baseline
Possession	65.3%	53.5%	49.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Manchester City favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Borussia Dortmund in 0 · 14 too close

2.5 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 4/43.25 goals/match

0.75 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 4/42.75 goals/match

1.8 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 4/41.37 xG/match

1.01 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 4/41.4 xG/match

17.3 shots/matchShotsseason · 4/411 shots/match

8 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 4/413.5 shots/match

7.75 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 4/45.5 shots/match

2.5 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 4/46.25 shots/match

65.3%Possessionseason · 4/453.5%

4.75 corners/matchCornersseason · 4/44.25 corners/match

3.5 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 4/43 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

10.5 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 4/411.5 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

50%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 4/40%

100%Scoring frequencyseason · 4/4100%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Manchester City96.4

Borussia Dortmund67.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Manchester City85.3

Borussia Dortmund60.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Manchester City92.9

Borussia Dortmund23.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Manchester City48.8

Borussia Dortmund15.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Manchester City33.3

Borussia Dortmund54.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Manchester City57.1

Borussia Dortmund40.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Manchester City65.5

Borussia Dortmund45.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

4 / 4 matches

2.5 goals/matchGoals scored4/4▲3.25 goals/match

0.75 goals/match▲Goals allowed4/42.75 goals/match

1.8 xG/match▲Expected goals4/41.37 xG/match

17.3 shots/match▲Shots4/411 shots/match

7.75 shots/match▲Shots on target4/45.5 shots/match

65.3%Possession4/453.5%

4.75 corners/matchCorners4/44.25 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

10.5 fouls/matchFouls4/411.5 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

4 / 4 matches

2.5 goals/matchGoals scored4/4▲3.25 goals/match

0.75 goals/match▲Goals allowed4/42.75 goals/match

1.8 xG/match▲Expected goals4/41.37 xG/match

17.3 shots/match▲Shots4/411 shots/match

7.75 shots/match▲Shots on target4/45.5 shots/match

65.3%Possession4/453.5%

4.75 corners/matchCorners4/44.25 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

10.5 fouls/matchFouls4/411.5 fouls/match

Window

Season

4 / 4 matches

2.5 goals/matchGoals scored4/4▲3.25 goals/match

0.75 goals/match▲Goals allowed4/42.75 goals/match

1.8 xG/match▲Expected goals4/41.37 xG/match

17.3 shots/match▲Shots4/411 shots/match

7.75 shots/match▲Shots on target4/45.5 shots/match

65.3%Possession4/453.5%

4.75 corners/matchCorners4/44.25 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

10.5 fouls/matchFouls4/411.5 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

2 / 3 matches

—Goals scored2/33 goals/match

—Goals allowed2/33.33 goals/match

—Expected goals2/31.47 xG/match

—Shots2/310.3 shots/match

—Shots on target2/34.67 shots/match

—Possession2/354%

—Corners2/34.33 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

—Fouls2/310.7 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

15 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/115 days

0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples4 / 4home / away teams

Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.

Analysis cutoff: Thu, 6 Nov 2025, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4