UEFA Champions League · 2025Tue, 4 Nov 2025, 17:45 UTCFull timeFortuna ArenaFull-time recap
03Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricSK Slavia PrahaArsenal
Shots9 shots/match14 shots/match
Shots on target1 shots/match8 shots/match
Expected goals0.46 xG/match1.78 xG/match
Possession43%57%
Corners4 corners/match7 corners/match
Fouls31 fouls/match0 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Gabriel Magalhães · Arsenal · 1′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedBukayo Saka · Arsenal · 40′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedChristos Zafeiris · SK Slavia Praha · 45′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedYoussoupha Mbodji · SK Slavia Praha · 8′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBukayo Saka · Arsenal · 28′ · 0.02 xG · on targetYoussoupha Mbodji · SK Slavia Praha · 90′ · 0.02 xG · on targetLukáš Provod · SK Slavia Praha · 2′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedBukayo Saka · Arsenal · 20′ · 0.03 xG · on targetEthan Nwaneri · Arsenal · 41′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedBukayo Saka · Arsenal · 25′ · 0.04 xG · on targetLeandro Trossard · Arsenal · 40′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedBukayo Saka · Arsenal · 60′ · 0.04 xG · on targetChristos Zafeiris · SK Slavia Praha · 12′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedLukáš Provod · SK Slavia Praha · 84′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedLeandro Trossard · Arsenal · 25′ · 0.07 xG · on targetGabriel Magalhães · Arsenal · 29′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedChristos Zafeiris · SK Slavia Praha · 52′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedLeandro Trossard · Arsenal · 26′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMojmír Chytil · SK Slavia Praha · 60′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedMikel Merino · Arsenal · 68′ · 0.09 xG · goalYoussoupha Sanyang · SK Slavia Praha · 5′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedMikel Merino · Arsenal · 46′ · 0.44 xG · goalBukayo Saka · Arsenal · 32′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

SK Slavia Praha: 9 shots, 1 on target, 0.46 xG. Arsenal: 14 shots, 8 on target, 1.79 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Bukayo Saka · Arsenal · 32′Mikel Merino · Arsenal · 46′Mikel Merino · Arsenal · 68′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: SK Slavia Praha 0.46 xG · Arsenal 1.79 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Arsenal's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Arsenal have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Arsenal show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Arsenal's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.5 shots/matchShotsSK Slavia Praha · Arsenal15 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSK Slavia PrahaArsenalBaseline
Shots13.5 shots/match15 shots/match13.3 shots/match
Shots against17 shots/match10.3 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Arsenal have recorded the higher season possession share.

44%PossessionSK Slavia Praha · Arsenal57.8%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 13.8 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricSK Slavia PrahaArsenalBaseline
Possession44%57.8%49.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

SK Slavia Praha favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Arsenal in 0 · 14 too close

0.5 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 4/42.75 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 4/40 goals/match
1.32 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 4/42.05 xG/match
2.72 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 4/40.5 xG/match
13.5 shots/matchShotsseason · 4/415 shots/match
17 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 4/410.3 shots/match
4.25 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 4/46.75 shots/match
7.25 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 4/41.75 shots/match
44%Possessionseason · 4/457.8%
3.75 corners/matchCornersseason · 4/43.75 corners/match
5.5 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 4/43.75 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
19 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 4/410.8 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
25%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 4/4100%
25%Scoring frequencyseason · 4/4100%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

SK Slavia Praha17.9
Arsenal86.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

SK Slavia Praha33.4
Arsenal79.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

SK Slavia Praha14.5
Arsenal93.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

SK Slavia Praha60.7
Arsenal48.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

SK Slavia Praha98.8
Arsenal41.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

SK Slavia Praha23.8
Arsenal23.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

SK Slavia Praha54.2
Arsenal53.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

4 / 4 matches
0.5 goals/matchGoals scored4/42.75 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed4/40 goals/match
1.32 xG/matchExpected goals4/42.05 xG/match
13.5 shots/matchShots4/415 shots/match
4.25 shots/matchShots on target4/46.75 shots/match
44%Possession4/457.8%
3.75 corners/matchCorners4/43.75 corners/match
Cards0/0
19 fouls/matchFouls4/410.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

4 / 4 matches
0.5 goals/matchGoals scored4/42.75 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed4/40 goals/match
1.32 xG/matchExpected goals4/42.05 xG/match
13.5 shots/matchShots4/415 shots/match
4.25 shots/matchShots on target4/46.75 shots/match
44%Possession4/457.8%
3.75 corners/matchCorners4/43.75 corners/match
Cards0/0
19 fouls/matchFouls4/410.8 fouls/match

Window

Season

4 / 4 matches
0.5 goals/matchGoals scored4/42.75 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed4/40 goals/match
1.32 xG/matchExpected goals4/42.05 xG/match
13.5 shots/matchShots4/415 shots/match
4.25 shots/matchShots on target4/46.75 shots/match
44%Possession4/457.8%
3.75 corners/matchCorners4/43.75 corners/match
Cards0/0
19 fouls/matchFouls4/410.8 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

2 / 2 matches
Goals scored2/2
Goals allowed2/2
Expected goals2/2
Shots2/2
Shots on target2/2
Possession2/2
Corners2/2
Cards0/0
Fouls2/2

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

13 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/114 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples4 / 4home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 4 Nov 2025, 21:45 UTC · analysis-v4

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