PitchMath
La Liga · 2025Sun, 2 Nov 2025, 13:00 UTCFull timeEstadio Ciudad de ValenciaFull-time recap

Levante

LDWLD
1–2Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricLevanteCelta Vigo
Shots9 shots/match20 shots/match▲
Shots on target3 shots/match6 shots/match▲
Possession36%64%
Corners4 corners/match4 corners/match
Fouls10 fouls/match12 fouls/match
Yellow cards2 cards/match▲3 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Celta Vigo's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Celta Vigo's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Celta Vigo's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Celta Vigo's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.18 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.18 goals/match1.14 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Celta Vigo show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Celta Vigo's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

10.9 shots/match▲ShotsLevante · Celta Vigo12.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricLevanteCelta VigoBaseline
Shots10.9 shots/match12.2 shots/match11.9 shots/match
Shots against17.3 shots/match11.9 shots/match11.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Celta Vigo have recorded the higher season possession share.

40%▲PossessionLevante · Celta Vigo52.1%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 12.1 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricLevanteCelta VigoBaseline
Possession40%52.1%51.5%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Levante favored in 2 of 14 directional metrics · Celta Vigo in 6 · 6 too close

1.36 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 11/111.18 goals/match
1.82 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 11/11▲1.27 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
10.9 shots/matchShotsseason · 11/11▲12.2 shots/match
17.3 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 11/11▲11.9 shots/match
3.64 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 11/113.82 shots/match
5.45 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 11/11▲4.64 shots/match
40%Possessionseason · 11/1152.1%
3.27 corners/matchCornersseason · 11/115.09 corners/match
7 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 11/11▲4.73 corners/match
2.18 cards/matchCardsseason · 11/112.27 cards/match
13.2 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 11/1111.8 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
18%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 11/110%
82%Scoring frequencyseason · 11/11▲91%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Levante7.5
Celta Vigo67.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Levante45
Celta Vigo49.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Levante12.5
Celta Vigo41.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Levante72.5
Celta Vigo42.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Levante56.2
Celta Vigo45
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Levante7.5
Celta Vigo62.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Levante36.2
Celta Vigo47.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.6 goals/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.4 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
12.8 shots/matchShots5/512.2 shots/match
4 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53.6 shots/match
43.2%Possession5/548.2%
4.8 corners/matchCorners5/53 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards5/53.2 cards/match
11 fouls/matchFouls5/512.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.4 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101.3 goals/match
1.8 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.2 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11.3 shots/matchShots10/10▲12.3 shots/match
3.7 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲3.9 shots/match
40.2%Possession10/1050.4%
3.5 corners/matchCorners10/104.7 corners/match
2.3 cards/matchCards10/102.2 cards/match
13.2 fouls/matchFouls10/1011.5 fouls/match

Window

Season

11 / 11 matches
1.36 goals/match▲Goals scored11/111.18 goals/match
1.82 goals/matchGoals allowed11/11▲1.27 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
10.9 shots/matchShots11/11▲12.2 shots/match
3.64 shots/matchShots on target11/113.82 shots/match
40%Possession11/1152.1%
3.27 corners/matchCorners11/115.09 corners/match
2.18 cards/matchCards11/112.27 cards/match
13.2 fouls/matchFouls11/1111.8 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

5 / 5 matches
1.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.6 goals/match
2.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1.4 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
10 shots/matchShots5/5▲11.2 shots/match
3.2 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲4 shots/match
35.6%Possession5/546.4%
4 corners/matchCorners5/53.8 corners/match
2.2 cards/matchCards5/52.8 cards/match
11.8 fouls/matchFouls5/513.4 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.81 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples11 / 11home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 2 Nov 2025, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsLevanteCelta Vigo
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Create a graphic from this match