PitchMath
La Liga · 2025Estadio Ciudad de Valencia

Levante UD 1–2 Celta Vigo · La Liga

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Celta Vigo won 1–2.

Shots
920
Shots on target
36
Expected goals
1.22
Possession
36%64%

Full time

What the match recorded

Celta Vigo beat Levante 2–1. Recorded in this match (Levante – Celta Vigo): shots 9–20, shots on target 3–6, expected goals 1.2–2, possession 36%–64%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Celta Vigo's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Celta Vigo's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.18 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.18 goals/match1.14 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Celta Vigo show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Celta Vigo's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

10.9 shots/match ▲ShotsLevante · Celta Vigo12.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricLevanteCelta VigoBaseline
Shots10.9 shots/match12.2 shots/match11.9 shots/match
Shots against17.3 shots/match11.9 shots/match11.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Celta Vigo have recorded the higher season possession share.

40%PossessionLevante · Celta Vigo● 52.1%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 12.1 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricLevanteCelta VigoBaseline
Possession40%52.1%51.5%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots20 shotsLevante UD 9 shots, Celta Vigo 20 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots6 shotsLevante UD 3 shots, Celta Vigo 6 shots
  • Expected goals1.2 xG2 xGLevante UD 1.2 xG, Celta Vigo 2 xG
  • Possession36%64%Levante UD 36%, Celta Vigo 64%
  • Corners4 corners4 cornersLevante UD 4 corners, Celta Vigo 4 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls12 foulsLevante UD 10 fouls, Celta Vigo 12 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards3 cardsLevante UD 2 cards, Celta Vigo 3 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Marcos Alonso · Celta Vigo · 2′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedKervin Arriaga · Levante · 16′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedÓscar Mingueza · Celta Vigo · 40′ · 0.02 xG · goalBryan Zaragoza · Celta Vigo · 57′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedEtta Eyong · Levante · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFran Beltrán · Celta Vigo · 13′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFerran Jutglà · Celta Vigo · 21′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFran Beltrán · Celta Vigo · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedCarlos Espí · Levante · 61′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJones El-Abdellaoui · Celta Vigo · 84′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSergio Carreira · Celta Vigo · 30′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedBryan Zaragoza · Celta Vigo · 53′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedEtta Eyong · Levante · 65′ · 0.05 xG · on targetSergio Carreira · Celta Vigo · 79′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedKervin Arriaga · Levante · 66′ · 0.06 xG · goalIlaix Moriba · Celta Vigo · 5′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedEtta Eyong · Levante · 33′ · 0.07 xG · on targetBorja Iglesias · Celta Vigo · 63′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMatias Moreno · Levante · 66′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMarcos Alonso · Celta Vigo · 45′ · 0.08 xG · on targetFerran Jutglà · Celta Vigo · 39′ · 0.11 xG · on targetRoger Brugué · Levante · 38′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedFran Beltrán · Celta Vigo · 64′ · 0.13 xG · on targetMiguel Román · Celta Vigo · 81′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedMiguel Román · Celta Vigo · 90′ · 0.14 xG · goalBorja Iglesias · Celta Vigo · 81′ · 0.27 xG · off target or blockedJones El-Abdellaoui · Celta Vigo · 87′ · 0.31 xG · off target or blockedBorja Iglesias · Celta Vigo · 39′ · 0.36 xG · on targetEtta Eyong · Levante · 37′ · 0.82 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Levante: 9 shots, 3 on target, 1.27 xG. Celta Vigo: 20 shots, 6 on target, 2.00 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Kervin Arriaga · Levante · 66′Óscar Mingueza · Celta Vigo · 40′Miguel Román · Celta Vigo · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Levante 1.27 xG · Celta Vigo 2.00 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Levante UD
1Draws
1Celta Vigo
Celta Vigo — Levante UD · La Liga1–1
Levante UD — Celta Vigo · La Liga0–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Levante UD favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Celta Vigo in 7 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Levante UD11 matchesCelta Vigo11 matches
1.36 goals/match ▲Goals scored11/111.18 goals/match
1.82 goals/matchGoals allowed11/11▲ 1.27 goals/match
1.51 xG/match ▲Expected goals11/111.26 xG/match
10.9 shots/matchShots11/11▲ 12.2 shots/match
3.64 shots/matchShots on target11/113.82 shots/match
40%Possession11/11● 52.1%
3.27 corners/matchCorners11/11● 5.09 corners/match
2.18 cards/matchCards11/112.27 cards/match
13.2 fouls/matchFouls11/1111.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples11 / 11home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 2 Nov 2025, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsLevante UDCelta Vigo
CompetitionLa LigaLa Liga 2025/26
Head-to-headLevante UD — Celta Vigo
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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