La Liga · 2025Estadio Santiago Bernabéu

Real Madrid 4–0 Valencia · La Liga

4–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Real Madrid won 4–0.

Shots
214
Shots on target
111
Expected goals
2.80.46
Possession
65%35%

Full time

What the match recorded

Real Madrid beat Valencia 4–0. Recorded in this match (Real Madrid – Valencia): shots 21–4, shots on target 11–1, expected goals 2.8–0.46, possession 65%–35%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Valencia's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Valencia's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.91 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match0.91 goals/match1.1 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Real Madrid show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Real Madrid's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

19.6 shots/match ▲ShotsReal Madrid · Valencia9.82 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricReal MadridValenciaBaseline
Shots19.6 shots/match9.82 shots/match11.5 shots/match
Shots against9.73 shots/match14.2 shots/match12 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Valencia have a visible away split

moderate

Valencia's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

6.5 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season9.82 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots6.5 shots/match9.82 shots/match11.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots21 shots4 shotsReal Madrid 21 shots, Valencia 4 shots
  • Shots on target11 shots1 shotReal Madrid 11 shots, Valencia 1 shot
  • Expected goals2.8 xG0.46 xGReal Madrid 2.8 xG, Valencia 0.46 xG
  • Possession65%35%Real Madrid 65%, Valencia 35%
  • Corners7 corners1 cornerReal Madrid 7 corners, Valencia 1 corner
  • Fouls14 fouls7 foulsReal Madrid 14 fouls, Valencia 7 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card1 cardReal Madrid 1 card, Valencia 1 card

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Federico Valverde · Real Madrid · 6′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFederico Valverde · Real Madrid · 29′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJude Bellingham · Real Madrid · 73′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFederico Valverde · Real Madrid · 75′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedÁlvaro Carreras · Real Madrid · 82′ · 0.02 xG · goalÉder Militão · Real Madrid · 15′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedVinícius Júnior · Real Madrid · 27′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAndré Almeida · Valencia · 63′ · 0.03 xG · on targetEduardo Camavinga · Real Madrid · 76′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJavier Guerra · Valencia · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJude Bellingham · Real Madrid · 44′ · 0.04 xG · goalRodrygo · Real Madrid · 82′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKylian Mbappé · Real Madrid · 5′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedVinícius Júnior · Real Madrid · 10′ · 0.05 xG · on targetJude Bellingham · Real Madrid · 14′ · 0.05 xG · on targetKylian Mbappé · Real Madrid · 71′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedFederico Valverde · Real Madrid · 74′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedArda Güler · Real Madrid · 45′ · 0.12 xG · on targetDiego López · Valencia · 30′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedKylian Mbappé · Real Madrid · 62′ · 0.20 xG · on targetHugo Duro · Valencia · 63′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedArda Güler · Real Madrid · 43′ · 0.23 xG · on targetKylian Mbappé · Real Madrid · 31′ · 0.32 xG · goalKylian Mbappé · Real Madrid · 19′ · 0.82 xG · goalVinícius Júnior · Real Madrid · 43′ · 0.82 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Real Madrid: 21 shots, 11 on target, 3.04 xG. Valencia: 4 shots, 1 on target, 0.45 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.753.50′HT90′Kylian Mbappé · Real Madrid · 19′Kylian Mbappé · Real Madrid · 31′Jude Bellingham · Real Madrid · 44′Álvaro Carreras · Real Madrid · 82′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Real Madrid 3.04 xG · Valencia 0.45 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Real Madrid
1Draws
2Valencia
Real Madrid — Valencia · La Liga1–2
Valencia — Real Madrid · La Liga1–2
Valencia — Real Madrid · La Liga2–2
Real Madrid — Valencia · La Liga5–1
Valencia — Real Madrid · La Liga1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Real Madrid favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Valencia in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Real Madrid11 matchesValencia11 matches
2.36 goals/match ▲Goals scored11/110.91 goals/match
0.91 goals/match ▲Goals allowed11/111.82 goals/match
2.39 xG/match ▲Expected goals11/110.98 xG/match
19.6 shots/match ▲Shots11/119.82 shots/match
7.55 shots/match ▲Shots on target11/112.91 shots/match
61% ●Possession11/1146.5%
5.91 corners/match ●Corners11/114.73 corners/match
2.09 cards/matchCards11/111.64 cards/match
10.5 fouls/matchFouls11/1112 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples11 / 11home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 2 Nov 2025, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

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