UEFA Champions League · 2025Tue, 4 Nov 2025, 20:00 UTCFull timeAnfieldFull-time recap

Liverpool

WLW

1–0Full-time recap

Real Madrid

WWW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Liverpool	Real Madrid
Shots	17 shots/match▲	8 shots/match
Shots on target	9 shots/match▲	2 shots/match
Expected goals	2.58 xG/match▲	0.45 xG/match
Possession	39%	61%
Corners	4 corners/match	2 corners/match
Fouls	16 fouls/match	11 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Liverpool: 17 shots, 9 on target, 2.60 xG. Real Madrid: 8 shots, 2 on target, 0.46 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Liverpool 2.60 xG · Real Madrid 0.46 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline. A second useful context is: Liverpool's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Both teams have elevated corners records

weak

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

7 corners/match▲CornersLiverpool · Real Madrid7.5 corners/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

Metric	Liverpool	Real Madrid	Baseline
Corners	7 corners/match	7.5 corners/match	4.68 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Liverpool show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Liverpool's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

17.8 shots/match▲ShotsLiverpool · Real Madrid21 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Liverpool	Real Madrid	Baseline
Shots	17.8 shots/match	21 shots/match	13.3 shots/match
Shots against	7.75 shots/match	14 shots/match	13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Liverpool favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Real Madrid in 0 · 14 too close

2.25 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 4/42 goals/match

1 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 4/40.5 goals/match

2.56 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 4/42.58 xG/match

0.66 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 4/41.08 xG/match

17.8 shots/matchShotsseason · 4/421 shots/match

7.75 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 4/414 shots/match

8.25 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 4/49.75 shots/match

2.75 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 4/45.5 shots/match

56.8%Possessionseason · 4/459.3%

7 corners/matchCornersseason · 4/47.5 corners/match

3.25 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 4/44.5 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

10.5 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 4/49.75 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

25%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 4/450%

75%Scoring frequencyseason · 4/475%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Liverpool82.1

Real Madrid91.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Liverpool84.6

Real Madrid87.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Liverpool89.3

Real Madrid57

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Liverpool65.5

Real Madrid86.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Liverpool39.3

Real Madrid20.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Liverpool92.9

Real Madrid96.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Liverpool77.1

Real Madrid77.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

4 / 4 matches

2.25 goals/match▲Goals scored4/42 goals/match

1 goals/matchGoals allowed4/4▲0.5 goals/match

2.56 xG/matchExpected goals4/42.58 xG/match

17.8 shots/matchShots4/4▲21 shots/match

8.25 shots/matchShots on target4/4▲9.75 shots/match

56.8%Possession4/459.3%

7 corners/matchCorners4/47.5 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

10.5 fouls/matchFouls4/49.75 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

4 / 4 matches

2.25 goals/match▲Goals scored4/42 goals/match

1 goals/matchGoals allowed4/4▲0.5 goals/match

2.56 xG/matchExpected goals4/42.58 xG/match

17.8 shots/matchShots4/4▲21 shots/match

8.25 shots/matchShots on target4/4▲9.75 shots/match

56.8%Possession4/459.3%

7 corners/matchCorners4/47.5 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

10.5 fouls/matchFouls4/49.75 fouls/match

Window

Season

4 / 4 matches

2.25 goals/match▲Goals scored4/42 goals/match

1 goals/matchGoals allowed4/4▲0.5 goals/match

2.56 xG/matchExpected goals4/42.58 xG/match

17.8 shots/matchShots4/4▲21 shots/match

8.25 shots/matchShots on target4/4▲9.75 shots/match

56.8%Possession4/459.3%

7 corners/matchCorners4/47.5 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

10.5 fouls/matchFouls4/49.75 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

2 / 2 matches

—Goals scored2/2—

—Goals allowed2/2—

—Expected goals2/2—

—Shots2/2—

—Shots on target2/2—

—Possession2/2—

—Corners2/2—

—Cards0/0—

—Fouls2/2—

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

13 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/113 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples4 / 4home / away teams

Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.

Analysis cutoff: Wed, 5 Nov 2025, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4