PitchMath
La Liga · 2025Estadio de Mestalla

Valencia 0–2 Villarreal · La Liga

0–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Villarreal won 0–2.

Shots
1512
Shots on target
35
Expected goals
0.82.18
Possession
57%43%

Full time

What the match recorded

Villarreal beat Valencia 2–0. Recorded in this match (Valencia – Villarreal): shots 15–12, shots on target 3–5, expected goals 0.8–2.18, possession 57%–43%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Valencia have a visible home split

moderate

Valencia's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13.8 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season10.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13.8 shots/match10.4 shots/match11.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Villarreal's recent record differs from the season

weak

Villarreal's last-five shots average is below their season average.

10.8 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season14 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots10.8 shots/match14 shots/match11.4 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Villarreal show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Villarreal's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

10.4 shots/match ▲ShotsValencia · Villarreal14 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricValenciaVillarrealBaseline
Shots10.4 shots/match14 shots/match11.4 shots/match
Shots against13.5 shots/match12.3 shots/match11.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots12 shotsValencia 15 shots, Villarreal 12 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots5 shotsValencia 3 shots, Villarreal 5 shots
  • Expected goals0.8 xG2.18 xGValencia 0.8 xG, Villarreal 2.18 xG
  • Possession57%43%Valencia 57%, Villarreal 43%
  • Corners7 corners5 cornersValencia 7 corners, Villarreal 5 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls14 foulsValencia 13 fouls, Villarreal 14 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards4 cardsValencia 2 cards, Villarreal 4 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Pepelu · Valencia · 38′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLuis Rioja · Valencia · 9′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedArnaut Danjuma · Valencia · 64′ · 0.02 xG · on targetGeorges Mikautadze · Villarreal · 78′ · 0.02 xG · on targetDani Raba · Valencia · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPape Gueye · Villarreal · 25′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJosé Copete · Valencia · 53′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPape Gueye · Villarreal · 65′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDiego López · Valencia · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLuis Rioja · Valencia · 37′ · 0.04 xG · on targetIlias Akhomach · Villarreal · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRenato Veiga · Villarreal · 14′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedPepelu · Valencia · 16′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJavier Guerra · Valencia · 19′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedPepelu · Valencia · 29′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJosé Copete · Valencia · 37′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedAndré Almeida · Valencia · 90′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJavier Guerra · Valencia · 38′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedGeorges Mikautadze · Villarreal · 57′ · 0.08 xG · on targetGeorges Mikautadze · Villarreal · 67′ · 0.08 xG · on targetJavier Guerra · Valencia · 40′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedArnaut Danjuma · Valencia · 70′ · 0.13 xG · on targetSanti Comesaña · Villarreal · 54′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedIlias Akhomach · Villarreal · 90′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedAlberto Moleiro · Villarreal · 55′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedSanti Comesaña · Villarreal · 57′ · 0.49 xG · goalGerard Moreno · Villarreal · 45′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Valencia: 15 shots, 3 on target, 0.79 xG. Villarreal: 12 shots, 5 on target, 2.19 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Gerard Moreno · Villarreal · 45′Santi Comesaña · Villarreal · 57′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Valencia 0.79 xG · Villarreal 2.19 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Valencia
3Draws
1Villarreal
Villarreal — Valencia · La Liga1–1
Valencia — Villarreal · La Liga1–1
Villarreal — Valencia · La Liga1–0
Valencia — Villarreal · La Liga3–1
Valencia — Villarreal · La Liga1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Valencia favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Villarreal in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Valencia10 matchesVillarreal10 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored10/10▲ 1.8 goals/match
1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲ 1 goal/match
1.04 xG/matchExpected goals10/10▲ 1.65 xG/match
10.4 shots/matchShots10/10▲ 14 shots/match
3.1 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲ 4.9 shots/match
47.7% ●Possession10/1045.1%
5.1 corners/matchCorners10/10● 5.2 corners/match
1.7 cards/matchCards10/102.4 cards/match
12.5 fouls/matchFouls10/1011.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples10 / 10home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 25 Oct 2025, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsValenciaVillarreal
CompetitionLa LigaLa Liga 2025/26
Head-to-headValencia — Villarreal
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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