PitchMath
La Liga · 2025Mon, 20 Oct 2025, 19:00 UTCFull timeEstadio MendizorrotzaFull-time recap

Alaves

WLDLW
0–0Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricAlavesValencia
Shots13 shots/match▲5 shots/match
Shots on target3 shots/match▲2 shots/match
Possession63%37%
Corners7 corners/match0 corners/match
Fouls13 fouls/match20 fouls/match
Yellow cards1 cards/match▲2 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Valencia's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. A second useful context is: Alaves's last-five shots average is above their season average. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Valencia have a visible away split

moderate

Valencia's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

7 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season9.89 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots7 shots/match9.89 shots/match11.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Alaves's recent record differs from the season

weak

Alaves's last-five shots average is above their season average.

13.6 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season11.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots13.6 shots/match11.4 shots/match11.4 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Valencia show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Valencia's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11.4 shots/match▲ShotsAlaves · Valencia9.89 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAlavesValenciaBaseline
Shots11.4 shots/match9.89 shots/match11.4 shots/match
Shots against9.89 shots/match13.7 shots/match11.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Alaves favored in 6 of 14 directional metrics · Valencia in 3 · 5 too close

1 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 9/9▲1.11 goals/match
0.89 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 9/91.56 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
11.4 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 9/99.89 shots/match
9.89 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 9/913.7 shots/match
3.67 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 9/93.11 shots/match
3.22 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 9/94.89 shots/match
52%Possessionseason · 9/946.7%
6.56 corners/matchCornersseason · 9/94.89 corners/match
3.56 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 9/95.11 corners/match
2.22 cards/matchCardsseason · 9/9▲1.67 cards/match
16.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 9/912.4 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
22%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 9/9▲33%
67%Scoring frequencyseason · 9/967%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Alaves57.5
Valencia42.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Alaves41.7
Valencia29.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Alaves85
Valencia25.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Alaves42.5
Valencia22.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Alaves75
Valencia31.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Alaves87.5
Valencia47.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Alaves69.4
Valencia35.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.2 goals/match
1 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.2 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13.6 shots/match▲Shots5/511.6 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target5/54 shots/match
54.6%Possession5/547.4%
8 corners/matchCorners5/54 corners/match
2.2 cards/matchCards5/51.8 cards/match
16.8 fouls/matchFouls5/513.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

9 / 9 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored9/9▲1.11 goals/match
0.89 goals/match▲Goals allowed9/91.56 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11.4 shots/match▲Shots9/99.89 shots/match
3.67 shots/match▲Shots on target9/93.11 shots/match
52%Possession9/946.7%
6.56 corners/matchCorners9/94.89 corners/match
2.22 cards/matchCards9/91.67 cards/match
16.3 fouls/matchFouls9/912.4 fouls/match

Window

Season

9 / 9 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored9/9▲1.11 goals/match
0.89 goals/match▲Goals allowed9/91.56 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11.4 shots/match▲Shots9/99.89 shots/match
3.67 shots/match▲Shots on target9/93.11 shots/match
52%Possession9/946.7%
6.56 corners/matchCorners9/94.89 corners/match
2.22 cards/matchCards9/91.67 cards/match
16.3 fouls/matchFouls9/912.4 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

5 / 5 matches
1.4 goals/match▲Goals scored5/50.6 goals/match
1 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/52.2 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13.2 shots/match▲Shots5/57 shots/match
3.8 shots/match▲Shots on target5/52.4 shots/match
52%Possession5/541.6%
7.2 corners/matchCorners5/53.6 corners/match
1.4 cards/matchCards5/52 cards/match
14.2 fouls/matchFouls5/512.4 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

15.3 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/116.2 days
0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples9 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 20 Oct 2025, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsAlavesValencia
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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