PitchMath
La Liga · 2025Sun, 19 Oct 2025, 19:00 UTCFull timeColiseumFull-time recap

Getafe

WLDDL
0–1Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricGetafeReal Madrid
Shots7 shots/match23 shots/match▲
Shots on target1 shots/match10 shots/match▲
Possession24%76%
Corners1 corners/match4 corners/match
Fouls27 fouls/match11 fouls/match
Yellow cards4 cards/match1 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Getafe's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Real Madrid's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Getafe's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Getafe's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1 goals/match1.22 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Real Madrid show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Real Madrid's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

8.22 shots/match▲ShotsGetafe · Real Madrid19.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricGetafeReal MadridBaseline
Shots8.22 shots/match19.1 shots/match11.3 shots/match
Shots against11.3 shots/match9.78 shots/match11.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Real Madrid have recorded the higher season possession share.

38.4%▲PossessionGetafe · Real Madrid63.8%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 25.3 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricGetafeReal MadridBaseline
Possession38.4%63.8%50.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Getafe favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Real Madrid in 10 · 4 too close

1 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 9/9▲2.22 goals/match
1.33 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 9/9▲1 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
8.22 shots/matchShotsseason · 9/9▲19.1 shots/match
11.3 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 9/9▲9.78 shots/match
2.56 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 9/9▲6.89 shots/match
4.22 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 9/9▲2.78 shots/match
38.4%Possessionseason · 9/963.8%
3.67 corners/matchCornersseason · 9/95.11 corners/match
4.67 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 9/9▲3.33 corners/match
2.89 cards/matchCardsseason · 9/9▲1.78 cards/match
16.2 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 9/99.89 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
22%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 9/9▲44%
67%Scoring frequencyseason · 9/9▲100%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Getafe2.5
Real Madrid92.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Getafe11.7
Real Madrid92.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Getafe47.5
Real Madrid87.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Getafe22.5
Real Madrid87.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Getafe92.5
Real Madrid18.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Getafe25
Real Madrid47.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Getafe30.6
Real Madrid62.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
0.6 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲2.4 goals/match
1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1.4 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
6.8 shots/matchShots5/5▲19 shots/match
2 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲6.8 shots/match
39%Possession5/568.8%
3.4 corners/matchCorners5/54.4 corners/match
4 cards/matchCards5/52 cards/match
17.2 fouls/matchFouls5/510.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

9 / 9 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored9/9▲2.22 goals/match
1.33 goals/matchGoals allowed9/9▲1 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
8.22 shots/matchShots9/9▲19.1 shots/match
2.56 shots/matchShots on target9/9▲6.89 shots/match
38.4%Possession9/963.8%
3.67 corners/matchCorners9/95.11 corners/match
2.89 cards/matchCards9/91.78 cards/match
16.2 fouls/matchFouls9/99.89 fouls/match

Window

Season

9 / 9 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored9/9▲2.22 goals/match
1.33 goals/matchGoals allowed9/9▲1 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
8.22 shots/matchShots9/9▲19.1 shots/match
2.56 shots/matchShots on target9/9▲6.89 shots/match
38.4%Possession9/963.8%
3.67 corners/matchCorners9/95.11 corners/match
2.89 cards/matchCards9/91.78 cards/match
16.2 fouls/matchFouls9/99.89 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

4 / 5 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored4/5▲2.4 goals/match
0.75 goals/match▲Goals allowed4/51.4 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
8.75 shots/matchShots4/5▲19 shots/match
2.25 shots/matchShots on target4/5▲7.6 shots/match
43%Possession4/560.6%
3.25 corners/matchCorners4/55.2 corners/match
3.5 cards/matchCards4/51.8 cards/match
17 fouls/matchFouls4/59.6 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

16 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/115 days
0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples9 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 19 Oct 2025, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsGetafeReal Madrid
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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