La Liga · 2025Sun, 19 Oct 2025, 14:15 UTCFull timeEstadio Abanca BalaídosFull-time recap

Celta Vigo

DDDLD

1–1Full-time recap

Real Sociedad

LLWLL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Celta Vigo	Real Sociedad
Shots	4 shots/match	17 shots/match▲
Shots on target	1 shots/match	7 shots/match▲
Possession	41%	59%
Corners	1 corners/match	10 corners/match
Fouls	10 fouls/match	20 fouls/match
Yellow cards	4 cards/match	3 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Real Sociedad's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Real Sociedad show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Real Sociedad's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.4 shots/match▲ShotsCelta Vigo · Real Sociedad14.6 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Celta Vigo	Real Sociedad	Baseline
Shots	11.4 shots/match	14.6 shots/match	11.3 shots/match
Shots against	11.7 shots/match	13 shots/match	11.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Celta Vigo favored in 4 of 14 directional metrics · Real Sociedad in 5 · 5 too close

0.89 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 9/90.89 goals/match

1.22 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 9/91.44 goals/match

—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—

—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—

11.4 shots/matchShotsseason · 9/9▲14.6 shots/match

11.7 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 9/913 shots/match

3.44 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 9/9▲4.56 shots/match

4.56 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 9/9▲4 shots/match

52.2%Possessionseason · 9/953.1%

5.56 corners/matchCornersseason · 9/97.56 corners/match

4.78 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 9/9▲4.22 corners/match

2 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 9/92.33 cards/match

11.7 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 9/915.6 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

0%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 9/9▲11%

89%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 9/978%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Celta Vigo67.5

Real Sociedad72.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Celta Vigo32.5

Real Sociedad58.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Celta Vigo45.8

Real Sociedad40.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Celta Vigo32.5

Real Sociedad72.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Celta Vigo36.2

Real Sociedad72.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Celta Vigo67.5

Real Sociedad97.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Celta Vigo46.2

Real Sociedad85

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1 goals/match▲Goals scored5/50.8 goals/match

1.2 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.4 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

12 shots/matchShots5/512.4 shots/match

3.8 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲4.2 shots/match

47.8%Possession5/549.8%

5.2 corners/matchCorners5/56.8 corners/match

2 cards/matchCards5/52.8 cards/match

10.8 fouls/matchFouls5/515.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

9 / 9 matches

0.89 goals/matchGoals scored9/90.89 goals/match

1.22 goals/match▲Goals allowed9/91.44 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

11.4 shots/matchShots9/9▲14.6 shots/match

3.44 shots/matchShots on target9/9▲4.56 shots/match

52.2%Possession9/953.1%

5.56 corners/matchCorners9/97.56 corners/match

2 cards/matchCards9/92.33 cards/match

11.7 fouls/matchFouls9/915.6 fouls/match

Window

Season

9 / 9 matches

0.89 goals/matchGoals scored9/90.89 goals/match

1.22 goals/match▲Goals allowed9/91.44 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

11.4 shots/matchShots9/9▲14.6 shots/match

3.44 shots/matchShots on target9/9▲4.56 shots/match

52.2%Possession9/953.1%

5.56 corners/matchCorners9/97.56 corners/match

2 cards/matchCards9/92.33 cards/match

11.7 fouls/matchFouls9/915.6 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

6 / 5 matches

0.83 goals/matchGoals scored6/50.8 goals/match

1.17 goals/match▲Goals allowed6/51.6 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

13 shots/matchShots6/513.2 shots/match

3.67 shots/matchShots on target6/5▲4.6 shots/match

56.8%Possession6/547.4%

6.17 corners/matchCorners6/56.6 corners/match

1.83 cards/matchCards6/52.8 cards/match

10.5 fouls/matchFouls6/516.2 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

13.8 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/113.9 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples9 / 9home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 19 Oct 2025, 18:15 UTC · analysis-v4

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