PitchMath
La Liga · 2025Sun, 19 Oct 2025, 16:30 UTCFull timeEstadio Ciudad de ValenciaFull-time recap

Levante

DWLDW
0–3Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricLevanteRayo Vallecano
Shots17 shots/match▲10 shots/match
Shots on target4 shots/match5 shots/match▲
Possession54%46%
Corners11 corners/match4 corners/match
Fouls6 fouls/match18 fouls/match
Yellow cards0 cards/match▲1 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Rayo Vallecano's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Levante's last-five shots average is above their season average. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Rayo Vallecano show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Rayo Vallecano's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

10.9 shots/match▲ShotsLevante · Rayo Vallecano12.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricLevanteRayo VallecanoBaseline
Shots10.9 shots/match12.4 shots/match11.3 shots/match
Shots against16.7 shots/match11 shots/match11.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Levante's recent record differs from the season

weak

Levante's last-five shots average is above their season average.

13.4 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season10.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots13.4 shots/match10.9 shots/match11.3 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Rayo Vallecano have recorded the higher season possession share.

40.8%▲PossessionLevante · Rayo Vallecano53.2%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 12.4 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricLevanteRayo VallecanoBaseline
Possession40.8%53.2%50.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Levante favored in 3 of 14 directional metrics · Rayo Vallecano in 6 · 5 too close

1.44 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 9/91.22 goals/match
1.89 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 9/9▲1.11 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
10.9 shots/matchShotsseason · 9/9▲12.4 shots/match
16.7 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 9/9▲11 shots/match
3.56 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 9/9▲4.33 shots/match
5.56 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 9/9▲4.11 shots/match
40.8%Possessionseason · 9/953.2%
3.11 corners/matchCornersseason · 9/96.33 corners/match
7.56 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 9/9▲5.44 corners/match
2.11 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 9/92.67 cards/match
13.6 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 9/913.7 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
22%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 9/922%
78%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 9/967%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Levante7.5
Rayo Vallecano77.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Levante45
Rayo Vallecano56.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Levante10.8
Rayo Vallecano60.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Levante67.5
Rayo Vallecano52.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Levante55
Rayo Vallecano77.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Levante7.5
Rayo Vallecano80
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Levante36.2
Rayo Vallecano68.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.6 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51.4 goals/match
1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13.4 shots/match▲Shots5/511.8 shots/match
4.2 shots/matchShots on target5/54.2 shots/match
49%Possession5/551.4%
4.2 corners/matchCorners5/56.4 corners/match
1.8 cards/matchCards5/52.6 cards/match
13.2 fouls/matchFouls5/514 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

9 / 9 matches
1.44 goals/match▲Goals scored9/91.22 goals/match
1.89 goals/matchGoals allowed9/9▲1.11 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
10.9 shots/matchShots9/9▲12.4 shots/match
3.56 shots/matchShots on target9/9▲4.33 shots/match
40.8%Possession9/953.2%
3.11 corners/matchCorners9/96.33 corners/match
2.11 cards/matchCards9/92.67 cards/match
13.6 fouls/matchFouls9/913.7 fouls/match

Window

Season

9 / 9 matches
1.44 goals/match▲Goals scored9/91.22 goals/match
1.89 goals/matchGoals allowed9/9▲1.11 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
10.9 shots/matchShots9/9▲12.4 shots/match
3.56 shots/matchShots on target9/9▲4.33 shots/match
40.8%Possession9/953.2%
3.11 corners/matchCorners9/96.33 corners/match
2.11 cards/matchCards9/92.67 cards/match
13.6 fouls/matchFouls9/913.7 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

4 / 6 matches
1.25 goals/matchGoals scored4/6▲1.5 goals/match
3 goals/matchGoals allowed4/6▲1.17 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
10.3 shots/matchShots4/6▲11.2 shots/match
3.25 shots/matchShots on target4/6▲3.67 shots/match
35.5%Possession4/652.2%
4 corners/matchCorners4/65.17 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards4/62.5 cards/match
12.3 fouls/matchFouls4/614.7 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

15.2 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/114 days
0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples9 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 19 Oct 2025, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsLevanteRayo Vallecano
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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