La Liga · 2025Sun, 19 Oct 2025, 12:00 UTCFull timeEstadio Manuel Martínez ValeroFull-time recap

Elche

DWDWL
00Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricElcheAthletic Club
Shots15 shots/match4 shots/match
Shots on target5 shots/match1 shots/match
Possession69%31%
Corners6 corners/match2 corners/match
Fouls14 fouls/match20 fouls/match
Yellow cards2 cards/match3 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Athletic Club's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Elche's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Athletic Club's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Athletic Club's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season1 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1 goals/match1.17 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Elche have a visible home split

moderate

Elche's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13.8 shots/matchShotsHome only · Season10.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13.8 shots/match10.9 shots/match11.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Elche show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Elche's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

10.9 shots/matchShotsElche · Athletic Club13.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricElcheAthletic ClubBaseline
Shots10.9 shots/match13.1 shots/match11.3 shots/match
Shots against11.2 shots/match9.44 shots/match11.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Elche favored in 4 of 14 directional metrics · Athletic Club in 4 · 6 too close

1.22 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 9/91 goals/match
1 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 9/91 goals/match
Expected goalsseason · 0/0
Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0
10.9 shots/matchShotsseason · 9/913.1 shots/match
11.2 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 9/99.44 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 9/94 shots/match
3.11 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 9/93.44 shots/match
58.8%Possessionseason · 9/951%
3.56 corners/matchCornersseason · 9/96.33 corners/match
4.44 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 9/94.11 corners/match
2 cards/matchCardsseason · 9/91.78 cards/match
12.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 9/914 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
33%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 9/922%
89%Scoring frequencyseason · 9/956%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Elche87.5
Athletic Club52.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Elche46.7
Athletic Club47.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Elche78.3
Athletic Club81.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Elche2.5
Athletic Club62.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Elche40
Athletic Club45
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Elche17.5
Athletic Club77.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Elche38.1
Athletic Club65.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored5/50.6 goals/match
1 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51 goals/match
Expected goals0/0
13 shots/matchShots5/513.2 shots/match
5 shots/matchShots on target5/54 shots/match
61%Possession5/552.8%
4.6 corners/matchCorners5/55.6 corners/match
2.2 cards/matchCards5/51.8 cards/match
11.4 fouls/matchFouls5/514.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

9 / 9 matches
1.22 goals/matchGoals scored9/91 goals/match
1 goals/matchGoals allowed9/91 goals/match
Expected goals0/0
10.9 shots/matchShots9/913.1 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target9/94 shots/match
58.8%Possession9/951%
3.56 corners/matchCorners9/96.33 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards9/91.78 cards/match
12.3 fouls/matchFouls9/914 fouls/match

Window

Season

9 / 9 matches
1.22 goals/matchGoals scored9/91 goals/match
1 goals/matchGoals allowed9/91 goals/match
Expected goals0/0
10.9 shots/matchShots9/913.1 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target9/94 shots/match
58.8%Possession9/951%
3.56 corners/matchCorners9/96.33 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards9/91.78 cards/match
12.3 fouls/matchFouls9/914 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

5 / 4 matches
1.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/40.5 goals/match
0.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/41 goals/match
Expected goals0/0
13.8 shots/matchShots5/411.5 shots/match
5 shots/matchShots on target5/44 shots/match
65.4%Possession5/448.8%
4.2 corners/matchCorners5/45.75 corners/match
1.6 cards/matchCards5/42.5 cards/match
12.6 fouls/matchFouls5/413.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

14 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/114.8 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples9 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 19 Oct 2025, 16:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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