UEFA Champions League · 2025Wed, 22 Oct 2025, 16:45 UTCFull timeSan MamésFull-time recap

Athletic Club

3–1Full-time recap

Qarabağ

WWLWW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Athletic Club	Qarabağ
Shots	21 shots/match▲	9 shots/match
Shots on target	5 shots/match▲	4 shots/match
Expected goals	3.47 xG/match▲	0.52 xG/match
Possession	60%	40%
Corners	8 corners/match	3 corners/match
Fouls	14 fouls/match	5 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Athletic Club: 21 shots, 5 on target, 3.32 xG. Qarabağ: 9 shots, 4 on target, 0.50 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Athletic Club 3.32 xG · Qarabağ 0.50 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The available record does not support a clear cross-team pattern. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Athletic Club favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Qarabağ in 0 · 14 too close

1.33 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 3/92.33 goals/match

2.33 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 3/91.11 goals/match

1.59 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 3/31.32 xG/match

0.96 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 3/31.94 xG/match

12.7 shots/matchShotsseason · 3/510 shots/match

11 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 3/515.2 shots/match

3.33 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 3/54.2 shots/match

6 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 3/54.4 shots/match

48.7%Possessionseason · 3/546.6%

3.33 corners/matchCornersseason · 3/52.8 corners/match

3 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 3/55.8 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

15.7 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 3/58.6 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

0%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 3/944%

67%Scoring frequencyseason · 3/9100%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Athletic Club46.4

Qarabağ32.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 56%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Athletic Club32

Qarabağ41.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 70%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Athletic Club35.5

Qarabağ50.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 70%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Athletic Club48.8

Qarabağ20.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 56%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Athletic Club90.5

Qarabağ10.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 28%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Athletic Club16.7

Qarabağ13.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 56%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Athletic Club41.1

Qarabağ18.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 56%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

3 / 5 matches

1.33 goals/matchGoals scored3/5▲2.2 goals/match

2.33 goals/matchGoals allowed3/5▲1.8 goals/match

1.59 xG/match▲Expected goals3/31.32 xG/match

12.7 shots/match▲Shots3/510 shots/match

3.33 shots/matchShots on target3/5▲4.2 shots/match

48.7%Possession3/546.6%

3.33 corners/matchCorners3/52.8 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

15.7 fouls/matchFouls3/58.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

3 / 9 matches

1.33 goals/matchGoals scored3/9▲2.33 goals/match

2.33 goals/matchGoals allowed3/9▲1.11 goals/match

1.59 xG/match▲Expected goals3/31.32 xG/match

12.7 shots/match▲Shots3/510 shots/match

3.33 shots/matchShots on target3/5▲4.2 shots/match

48.7%Possession3/546.6%

3.33 corners/matchCorners3/52.8 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

15.7 fouls/matchFouls3/58.6 fouls/match

Window

Season

3 / 9 matches

1.33 goals/matchGoals scored3/9▲2.33 goals/match

2.33 goals/matchGoals allowed3/9▲1.11 goals/match

1.59 xG/match▲Expected goals3/31.32 xG/match

12.7 shots/match▲Shots3/510 shots/match

3.33 shots/matchShots on target3/5▲4.2 shots/match

48.7%Possession3/546.6%

3.33 corners/matchCorners3/52.8 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

15.7 fouls/matchFouls3/58.6 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

2 / 5 matches

—Goals scored2/52.2 goals/match

—Goals allowed2/51.2 goals/match

—Expected goals2/2—

—Shots2/310 shots/match

—Shots on target2/34.33 shots/match

—Possession2/347.7%

—Corners2/33 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

—Fouls2/36.33 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

20.9 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/121 days

0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples3 / 9home / away teams

Recent samples3 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.

Analysis cutoff: Wed, 22 Oct 2025, 20:45 UTC · analysis-v4

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Match statistics

Shot map

Expected-goals timeline

What the record shows

Values, percentiles and samples

How the teams compare

Possession control

Attacking volume

Defensive resistance

Directness proxy

Physicality

Set-piece relevance

Tempo and pressure proxy

Season, last 10 and last 5

Last 5

Last 10

Season

Home and away samples

Home team at home / away team away

Rest and recent workload

How much supports this analysis

Known unknowns

Related matches

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