UEFA Champions League · 2025Wed, 22 Oct 2025, 19:00 UTCFull timeJosé AlvaladeFull-time recap

Sporting

2–1Full-time recap

Marseille

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Sporting	Marseille
Shots	14 shots/match▲	10 shots/match
Shots on target	7 shots/match▲	3 shots/match
Expected goals	1.11 xG/match▲	0.54 xG/match
Possession	53%	47%
Corners	3 corners/match	1 corners/match
Fouls	11 fouls/match	16 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Sporting: 11 shots, 5 on target, 0.77 xG. Marseille: 9 shots, 3 on target, 0.43 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Sporting 0.77 xG · Marseille 0.43 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Sporting's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Sporting show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Sporting's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14.3 shots/match▲ShotsSporting · Marseille11.3 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Sporting	Marseille	Baseline
Shots	14.3 shots/match	11.3 shots/match	13.5 shots/match
Shots against	10.3 shots/match	18.3 shots/match	13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Sporting favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Marseille in 0 · 14 too close

2.33 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 3/32 goals/match

1.33 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 3/31.33 goals/match

2.24 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 3/30.8 xG/match

0.71 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 3/31.85 xG/match

14.3 shots/matchShotsseason · 3/311.3 shots/match

10.3 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 3/318.3 shots/match

6.33 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 3/34.67 shots/match

3.33 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 3/38 shots/match

55.3%Possessionseason · 3/350.7%

4.33 corners/matchCornersseason · 3/31.67 corners/match

3.67 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 3/36.33 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

11.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 3/316 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

0%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 3/333%

100%Scoring frequencyseason · 3/3100%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Sporting76.2

Marseille58.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Sporting67.9

Marseille42.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Sporting70.9

Marseille22.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Sporting46.4

Marseille22.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Sporting46.4

Marseille94

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Sporting34.5

Marseille1.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Sporting52.4

Marseille39.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

3 / 3 matches

2.33 goals/match▲Goals scored3/32 goals/match

1.33 goals/matchGoals allowed3/31.33 goals/match

2.24 xG/match▲Expected goals3/30.8 xG/match

14.3 shots/match▲Shots3/311.3 shots/match

6.33 shots/match▲Shots on target3/34.67 shots/match

55.3%Possession3/350.7%

4.33 corners/matchCorners3/31.67 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.3 fouls/matchFouls3/316 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

3 / 3 matches

2.33 goals/match▲Goals scored3/32 goals/match

1.33 goals/matchGoals allowed3/31.33 goals/match

2.24 xG/match▲Expected goals3/30.8 xG/match

14.3 shots/match▲Shots3/311.3 shots/match

6.33 shots/match▲Shots on target3/34.67 shots/match

55.3%Possession3/350.7%

4.33 corners/matchCorners3/31.67 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.3 fouls/matchFouls3/316 fouls/match

Window

Season

3 / 3 matches

2.33 goals/match▲Goals scored3/32 goals/match

1.33 goals/matchGoals allowed3/31.33 goals/match

2.24 xG/match▲Expected goals3/30.8 xG/match

14.3 shots/match▲Shots3/311.3 shots/match

6.33 shots/match▲Shots on target3/34.67 shots/match

55.3%Possession3/350.7%

4.33 corners/matchCorners3/31.67 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.3 fouls/matchFouls3/316 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

2 / 2 matches

—Goals scored2/2—

—Goals allowed2/2—

—Expected goals2/2—

—Shots2/2—

—Shots on target2/2—

—Possession2/2—

—Corners2/2—

—Cards0/0—

—Fouls2/2—

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

21 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/122 days

0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples3 / 3home / away teams

Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.

Analysis cutoff: Wed, 22 Oct 2025, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Create a graphic from this match

Match statistics

Shot map

Expected-goals timeline

What the record shows

Sporting show a distinct attacking-volume record

Values, percentiles and samples

How the teams compare

Possession control

Attacking volume

Defensive resistance

Directness proxy

Physicality

Set-piece relevance

Tempo and pressure proxy

Season, last 10 and last 5

Last 5

Last 10

Season

Home and away samples

Home team at home / away team away

Rest and recent workload

How much supports this analysis

Known unknowns

Related matches

Make a graphic from this match