PitchMath
La Liga · 2025Sat, 25 Oct 2025, 14:15 UTCFull timeRCDE StadiumFull-time recap
1–0Full-time recap

Elche

WDWLD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricEspanyolElche
Shots16 shots/match▲13 shots/match
Shots on target7 shots/match▲4 shots/match
Possession32%68%
Corners4 corners/match2 corners/match
Fouls14 fouls/match15 fouls/match
Yellow cards4 cards/match2 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Espanyol's last-five shots average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Elche's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Espanyol's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Espanyol's last-five shots average is above their season average.

18 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season14 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots18 shots/match14 shots/match11.4 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Elche have a visible away split

moderate

Elche's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.4 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season11.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8.4 shots/match11.1 shots/match11.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Elche have recorded the higher season possession share.

40.6%▲PossessionEspanyol · Elche59.7%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 19.1 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricEspanyolElcheBaseline
Possession40.6%59.7%51.5%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Espanyol favored in 5 of 14 directional metrics · Elche in 3 · 6 too close

1.4 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 10/101.1 goals/match
1.1 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 10/10▲1 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
14 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 10/1011.1 shots/match
13.5 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 10/10▲11.7 shots/match
5.3 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 10/104 shots/match
4.5 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 10/10▲3.5 shots/match
40.6%Possessionseason · 10/1059.7%
4.2 corners/matchCornersseason · 10/103.4 corners/match
4.6 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 10/104.4 corners/match
1.9 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 10/102 cards/match
13.2 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 10/1012.6 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
40%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 10/1030%
80%Scoring frequencyseason · 10/1080%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Espanyol7.5
Elche87.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Espanyol74.2
Elche45
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Espanyol49.2
Elche66.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Espanyol97.5
Elche2.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Espanyol42.5
Elche45
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Espanyol32.5
Elche12.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Espanyol63.8
Elche40.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.2 goals/match▲Goals scored5/50.8 goals/match
0.8 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.2 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
18 shots/match▲Shots5/512.6 shots/match
7.4 shots/match▲Shots on target5/54.8 shots/match
43.4%Possession5/562.4%
6.2 corners/matchCorners5/54.4 corners/match
1.8 cards/matchCards5/52.2 cards/match
11.6 fouls/matchFouls5/512.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.4 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101.1 goals/match
1.1 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
14 shots/match▲Shots10/1011.1 shots/match
5.3 shots/match▲Shots on target10/104 shots/match
40.6%Possession10/1059.7%
4.2 corners/matchCorners10/103.4 corners/match
1.9 cards/matchCards10/102 cards/match
13.2 fouls/matchFouls10/1012.6 fouls/match

Window

Season

10 / 10 matches
1.4 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101.1 goals/match
1.1 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
14 shots/match▲Shots10/1011.1 shots/match
5.3 shots/match▲Shots on target10/104 shots/match
40.6%Possession10/1059.7%
4.2 corners/matchCorners10/103.4 corners/match
1.9 cards/matchCards10/102 cards/match
13.2 fouls/matchFouls10/1012.6 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

6 / 5 matches
1.67 goals/match▲Goals scored6/51 goals/match
1.17 goals/match▲Goals allowed6/51.6 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13.2 shots/match▲Shots6/58.4 shots/match
5.67 shots/match▲Shots on target6/53 shots/match
43.5%Possession6/554%
4.67 corners/matchCorners6/52.6 corners/match
2.5 cards/matchCards6/52.4 cards/match
12.5 fouls/matchFouls6/512.6 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.8 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.09 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples10 / 10home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 25 Oct 2025, 18:15 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsEspanyolElche
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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