La Liga · 2025Fri, 17 Oct 2025, 19:00 UTCFull timeEstadio Nuevo Carlos TartiereFull-time recap

Oviedo

LLLWL
02Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricOviedoEspanyol
Shots13 shots/match19 shots/match
Shots on target4 shots/match10 shots/match
Possession61%39%
Corners3 corners/match5 corners/match
Fouls9 fouls/match8 fouls/match
Yellow cards2 cards/match1 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Espanyol's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Oviedo's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Espanyol show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Espanyol's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

8.78 shots/matchShotsOviedo · Espanyol13.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricOviedoEspanyolBaseline
Shots8.78 shots/match13.8 shots/match11.8 shots/match
Shots against18.3 shots/match13.6 shots/match11.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Oviedo's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Oviedo's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

0.6 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season0.44 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match0.44 goals/match1.19 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Oviedo favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Espanyol in 10 · 4 too close

0.44 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 9/91.44 goals/match
1.78 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 9/91.22 goals/match
Expected goalsseason · 0/0
Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0
8.78 shots/matchShotsseason · 9/913.8 shots/match
18.3 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 9/913.6 shots/match
2.89 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 9/95.11 shots/match
7.11 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 9/94.56 shots/match
42.6%Possessionseason · 9/941.6%
3.44 corners/matchCornersseason · 9/94.22 corners/match
6.44 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 9/94.89 corners/match
2.78 cards/matchCardsseason · 9/91.67 cards/match
11.1 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 9/913.1 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
11%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 9/933%
33%Scoring frequencyseason · 9/978%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Oviedo17.5
Espanyol12.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Oviedo7.5
Espanyol69.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Oviedo4.2
Espanyol40.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Oviedo17.5
Espanyol97.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Oviedo55
Espanyol42.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Oviedo17.5
Espanyol42.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Oviedo15
Espanyol62.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
0.6 goals/matchGoals scored5/51 goals/match
1.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.2 goals/match
Expected goals0/0
11 shots/matchShots5/516.4 shots/match
3.4 shots/matchShots on target5/56.2 shots/match
44.2%Possession5/542.6%
5 corners/matchCorners5/56 corners/match
2.4 cards/matchCards5/51 cards/match
11.8 fouls/matchFouls5/512.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

9 / 9 matches
0.44 goals/matchGoals scored9/91.44 goals/match
1.78 goals/matchGoals allowed9/91.22 goals/match
Expected goals0/0
8.78 shots/matchShots9/913.8 shots/match
2.89 shots/matchShots on target9/95.11 shots/match
42.6%Possession9/941.6%
3.44 corners/matchCorners9/94.22 corners/match
2.78 cards/matchCards9/91.67 cards/match
11.1 fouls/matchFouls9/913.1 fouls/match

Window

Season

9 / 9 matches
0.44 goals/matchGoals scored9/91.44 goals/match
1.78 goals/matchGoals allowed9/91.22 goals/match
Expected goals0/0
8.78 shots/matchShots9/913.8 shots/match
2.89 shots/matchShots on target9/95.11 shots/match
42.6%Possession9/941.6%
3.44 corners/matchCorners9/94.22 corners/match
2.78 cards/matchCards9/91.67 cards/match
11.1 fouls/matchFouls9/913.1 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

5 / 4 matches
0.4 goals/matchGoals scored5/41 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/41 goals/match
Expected goals0/0
9.4 shots/matchShots5/415.3 shots/match
2.6 shots/matchShots on target5/44.75 shots/match
43.4%Possession5/436.3%
4 corners/matchCorners5/43.5 corners/match
1.8 cards/matchCards5/41 cards/match
8.8 fouls/matchFouls5/414.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

13.3 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/112.1 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples9 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 17 Oct 2025, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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