PitchMath
La Liga · 2025Sat, 18 Oct 2025, 14:15 UTCFull timeOlímpic Lluís CompanysFull-time recap
2–1Full-time recap

Girona

DLDDW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricBarcelonaGirona
Shots27 shots/match▲11 shots/match
Shots on target9 shots/match▲4 shots/match
Possession68%32%
Corners11 corners/match5 corners/match
Fouls10 fouls/match7 fouls/match
Yellow cards2 cards/match2 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Barcelona's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Barcelona have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Barcelona show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Barcelona's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

21.1 shots/match▲ShotsBarcelona · Girona9.44 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBarcelonaGironaBaseline
Shots21.1 shots/match9.44 shots/match11.8 shots/match
Shots against7.44 shots/match18.4 shots/match12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Barcelona have recorded the higher season possession share.

70.7%▲PossessionBarcelona · Girona43.9%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 26.8 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricBarcelonaGironaBaseline
Possession70.7%43.9%51%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Girona's recent record differs from the season

weak

Girona's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

0.8 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.67 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match0.67 goals/match1.19 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Barcelona favored in 10 of 14 directional metrics · Girona in 0 · 4 too close

2.67 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 9/90.67 goals/match
1.11 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 9/92.11 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
21.1 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 9/99.44 shots/match
7.44 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 9/918.4 shots/match
8.56 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 9/93.56 shots/match
3.22 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 9/96.11 shots/match
70.7%Possessionseason · 9/943.9%
7.44 corners/matchCornersseason · 9/94 corners/match
4.11 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 9/96.56 corners/match
1.44 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 9/92.56 cards/match
9.11 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 9/99.56 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
33%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 9/911%
100%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 9/956%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Barcelona97.5
Girona27.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Barcelona97.5
Girona19.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Barcelona89.2
Girona4.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Barcelona82.5
Girona27.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Barcelona5
Girona45
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Barcelona97.5
Girona30
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Barcelona75
Girona23.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
2.2 goals/match▲Goals scored5/50.8 goals/match
1.4 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.6 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
20.8 shots/match▲Shots5/58 shots/match
9.2 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53 shots/match
70.8%Possession5/541%
8.2 corners/matchCorners5/53.8 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards5/53.4 cards/match
8 fouls/matchFouls5/511 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

9 / 9 matches
2.67 goals/match▲Goals scored9/90.67 goals/match
1.11 goals/match▲Goals allowed9/92.11 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
21.1 shots/match▲Shots9/99.44 shots/match
8.56 shots/match▲Shots on target9/93.56 shots/match
70.7%Possession9/943.9%
7.44 corners/matchCorners9/94 corners/match
1.44 cards/matchCards9/92.56 cards/match
9.11 fouls/matchFouls9/99.56 fouls/match

Window

Season

9 / 9 matches
2.67 goals/match▲Goals scored9/90.67 goals/match
1.11 goals/match▲Goals allowed9/92.11 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
21.1 shots/match▲Shots9/99.44 shots/match
8.56 shots/match▲Shots on target9/93.56 shots/match
70.7%Possession9/943.9%
7.44 corners/matchCorners9/94 corners/match
1.44 cards/matchCards9/92.56 cards/match
9.11 fouls/matchFouls9/99.56 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

4 / 4 matches
3.25 goals/match▲Goals scored4/40.75 goals/match
0.5 goals/match▲Goals allowed4/42.25 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
22.3 shots/match▲Shots4/48.75 shots/match
9.5 shots/match▲Shots on target4/44.25 shots/match
71.5%Possession4/438%
7.75 corners/matchCorners4/42.5 corners/match
1.25 cards/matchCards4/42.25 cards/match
8.5 fouls/matchFouls4/410 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

13 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/114 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples9 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 18 Oct 2025, 18:15 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsBarcelonaGirona
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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