UEFA Champions League · 2025Tue, 21 Oct 2025, 16:45 UTCFull timeOlímpic Lluís CompanysFull-time recap
61Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricBarcelonaOlympiacos FC
Shots14 shots/match5 shots/match
Shots on target7 shots/match2 shots/match
Expected goals2.48 xG/match1 xG/match
Possession73%27%
Corners7 corners/match2 corners/match
Fouls7 fouls/match10 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Gelson Martins · Olympiacos FC · 27′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMarcus Rashford · Barcelona · 79′ · 0.03 xG · goalMarcus Rashford · Barcelona · 11′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLamine Yamal · Barcelona · 17′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDaniel Podence · Olympiacos FC · 1′ · 0.06 xG · on targetDani García · Olympiacos FC · 20′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMarcus Rashford · Barcelona · 74′ · 0.06 xG · goalLorenzo Pirola · Olympiacos FC · 28′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedFermín López · Barcelona · 48′ · 0.07 xG · on targetLamine Yamal · Barcelona · 72′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedEric García · Barcelona · 83′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedFrenkie de Jong · Barcelona · 70′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedFermín López · Barcelona · 76′ · 0.11 xG · goalMarcus Rashford · Barcelona · 5′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedFermín López · Barcelona · 39′ · 0.18 xG · goalFermín López · Barcelona · 7′ · 0.31 xG · goalJules Koundé · Barcelona · 33′ · 0.42 xG · off target or blockedAyoub El Kaabi · Olympiacos FC · 53′ · 0.82 xG · goalLamine Yamal · Barcelona · 68′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Barcelona: 14 shots, 7 on target, 2.51 xG. Olympiacos FC: 5 shots, 2 on target, 1.03 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Fermín López · Barcelona · 7′Fermín López · Barcelona · 39′Lamine Yamal · Barcelona · 68′Marcus Rashford · Barcelona · 74′Fermín López · Barcelona · 76′Marcus Rashford · Barcelona · 79′Ayoub El Kaabi · Olympiacos FC · 53′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Barcelona 2.51 xG · Olympiacos FC 1.03 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Olympiacos FC's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Barcelona have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Olympiacos FC show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Olympiacos FC's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

15 shots/matchShotsBarcelona · Olympiacos FC11 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBarcelonaOlympiacos FCBaseline
Shots15 shots/match11 shots/match13 shots/match
Shots against10 shots/match12 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Barcelona have recorded the higher season possession share.

61.3%PossessionBarcelona · Olympiacos FC45%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 16.3 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricBarcelonaOlympiacos FCBaseline
Possession61.3%45%49.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Barcelona favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Olympiacos FC in 0 · 14 too close

3 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 3/30.33 goals/match
1.33 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 3/32.67 goals/match
1.69 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 3/31.01 xG/match
1.37 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 3/31.89 xG/match
15 shots/matchShotsseason · 3/311 shots/match
10 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 3/312 shots/match
5 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 3/32.67 shots/match
5 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 3/34.33 shots/match
61.3%Possessionseason · 3/345%
5 corners/matchCornersseason · 3/35.33 corners/match
5.67 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 3/33.33 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
10.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 3/314 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
0%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 3/333%
100%Scoring frequencyseason · 3/333%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Barcelona90.7
Olympiacos FC20.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Barcelona69.5
Olympiacos FC12.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Barcelona56.6
Olympiacos FC38.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Barcelona35.2
Olympiacos FC31.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Barcelona37
Olympiacos FC83.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Barcelona53.7
Olympiacos FC68.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Barcelona51.9
Olympiacos FC46.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

3 / 3 matches
3 goals/matchGoals scored3/30.33 goals/match
1.33 goals/matchGoals allowed3/32.67 goals/match
1.69 xG/matchExpected goals3/31.01 xG/match
15 shots/matchShots3/311 shots/match
5 shots/matchShots on target3/32.67 shots/match
61.3%Possession3/345%
5 corners/matchCorners3/35.33 corners/match
Cards0/0
10.3 fouls/matchFouls3/314 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

3 / 3 matches
3 goals/matchGoals scored3/30.33 goals/match
1.33 goals/matchGoals allowed3/32.67 goals/match
1.69 xG/matchExpected goals3/31.01 xG/match
15 shots/matchShots3/311 shots/match
5 shots/matchShots on target3/32.67 shots/match
61.3%Possession3/345%
5 corners/matchCorners3/35.33 corners/match
Cards0/0
10.3 fouls/matchFouls3/314 fouls/match

Window

Season

3 / 3 matches
3 goals/matchGoals scored3/30.33 goals/match
1.33 goals/matchGoals allowed3/32.67 goals/match
1.69 xG/matchExpected goals3/31.01 xG/match
15 shots/matchShots3/311 shots/match
5 shots/matchShots on target3/32.67 shots/match
61.3%Possession3/345%
5 corners/matchCorners3/35.33 corners/match
Cards0/0
10.3 fouls/matchFouls3/314 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

2 / 2 matches
Goals scored2/2
Goals allowed2/2
Expected goals2/2
Shots2/2
Shots on target2/2
Possession2/2
Corners2/2
Cards0/0
Fouls2/2

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

19.9 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/119.9 days
0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples3 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 21 Oct 2025, 20:45 UTC · analysis-v4

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