UEFA Champions League · 2025Central Stadium

Kairat Almaty 0–0 Pafos FC · UEFA Champions League

0–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Kairat Almaty and Pafos FC drew 0–0.

Shots
229
Shots on target
26
Expected goals
1.541.84
Possession
69%31%

Full time

What the match recorded

Kairat Almaty and Pafos FC drew 0–0. Recorded in this match (Kairat Almaty – Pafos FC): shots 22–9, shots on target 2–6, expected goals 1.54–1.84, possession 69%–31%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Kairat Almaty's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Kairat Almaty's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.73 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.2 goals/match0.73 goals/match1.5 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots22 shots9 shotsKairat Almaty 22 shots, Pafos FC 9 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots6 shotsKairat Almaty 2 shots, Pafos FC 6 shots
  • Expected goals1.54 xG1.84 xGKairat Almaty 1.54 xG, Pafos FC 1.84 xG
  • Possession69%31%Kairat Almaty 69%, Pafos FC 31%
  • Corners6 corners4 cornersKairat Almaty 6 corners, Pafos FC 4 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls9 foulsKairat Almaty 11 fouls, Pafos FC 9 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Dastan Satpaev · Kairat Almaty · 12′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDavid Luiz · Pafos FC · 23′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDomingos Quina · Pafos FC · 39′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedEgor Sorokin · Kairat Almaty · 39′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDavid Luiz · Pafos FC · 41′ · 0.02 xG · on targetValeriy Gromyko · Kairat Almaty · 48′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAzamat Tuyakbayev · Kairat Almaty · 77′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLuís Mata · Kairat Almaty · 26′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJorginho · Kairat Almaty · 27′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAleksandr Mrynskiy · Kairat Almaty · 66′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDastan Satpaev · Kairat Almaty · 63′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAzamat Tuyakbayev · Kairat Almaty · 80′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedGiorgi Zaria · Kairat Almaty · 80′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedValeriy Gromyko · Kairat Almaty · 84′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedValeriy Gromyko · Kairat Almaty · 9′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDavid Goldar · Pafos FC · 69′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedValeriy Gromyko · Kairat Almaty · 29′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedOfri Arad · Kairat Almaty · 9′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedEgor Sorokin · Kairat Almaty · 45′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedDastan Satpaev · Kairat Almaty · 86′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedGiorgi Zaria · Kairat Almaty · 70′ · 0.11 xG · on targetOfri Arad · Kairat Almaty · 77′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedOfri Arad · Kairat Almaty · 57′ · 0.12 xG · on targetDavid Luiz · Pafos FC · 51′ · 0.13 xG · on targetValeriy Gromyko · Kairat Almaty · 17′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedJorginho · Kairat Almaty · 45′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedMislav Oršić · Pafos FC · 50′ · 0.20 xG · on targetJorginho · Kairat Almaty · 55′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedBruno · Pafos FC · 51′ · 0.37 xG · on targetVlad Dragomir · Pafos FC · 33′ · 0.40 xG · on targetDavid Luiz · Pafos FC · 68′ · 0.64 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Kairat Almaty: 22 shots, 2 on target, 1.56 xG. Pafos FC: 9 shots, 6 on target, 1.85 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Kairat Almaty 1.56 xG · Pafos FC 1.85 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Kairat Almaty favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Pafos FC in 3 · 6 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Kairat Almaty11 matchesPafos FC9 matches
0.73 goals/matchGoals scored11/9▲ 1 goal/match
1.18 goals/matchGoals allowed11/9▲ 0.89 goals/match
0.89 xG/match ▲Expected goals3/30.84 xG/match
12.7 shots/match ▲Shots6/59.2 shots/match
3.33 shots/matchShots on target6/53.4 shots/match
40.2% ●Possession6/537.6%
4.17 corners/match ●Corners6/52.6 corners/match
12 fouls/matchFouls6/513.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples11 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 21 Oct 2025, 20:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in UEFA Champions League

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