UEFA Champions League · 2025Tue, 21 Oct 2025, 19:00 UTCFull timeLotto ParkFull-time recap
04Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricRoyale Union Saint-GilloiseInter
Shots15 shots/match21 shots/match
Shots on target6 shots/match7 shots/match
Expected goals0.95 xG/match4.54 xG/match
Possession30%70%
Corners3 corners/match4 corners/match
Fouls15 fouls/match6 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Hakan Çalhanoğlu · Inter · 23′ · 0.01 xG · on targetCarlos Augusto · Inter · 27′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedFederico Dimarco · Inter · 74′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMathias Rasmussen · Royale Union Saint-Gilloise · 4′ · 0.02 xG · on targetHakan Çalhanoğlu · Inter · 6′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAdem Zorgane · Royale Union Saint-Gilloise · 25′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAnouar Ait El Hadj · Royale Union Saint-Gilloise · 24′ · 0.03 xG · on targetLautaro Martínez · Inter · 50′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedOusseynou Niang · Royale Union Saint-Gilloise · 66′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKamiel Van de Perre · Royale Union Saint-Gilloise · 4′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedOusseynou Niang · Royale Union Saint-Gilloise · 12′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPromise David · Royale Union Saint-Gilloise · 43′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDenzel Dumfries · Inter · 6′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedPromise David · Royale Union Saint-Gilloise · 7′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDavide Frattesi · Inter · 17′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLautaro Martínez · Inter · 46′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedFederico Dimarco · Inter · 79′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLautaro Martínez · Inter · 38′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMarc Giger · Royale Union Saint-Gilloise · 84′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedRaul Florucz · Royale Union Saint-Gilloise · 85′ · 0.07 xG · on targetChristian Burgess · Royale Union Saint-Gilloise · 3′ · 0.08 xG · on targetAnan Khalaili · Royale Union Saint-Gilloise · 3′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedYann Bisseck · Inter · 41′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedPromise David · Royale Union Saint-Gilloise · 3′ · 0.10 xG · on targetPromise David · Royale Union Saint-Gilloise · 25′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedFrancesco Pio Esposito · Inter · 29′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedPromise David · Royale Union Saint-Gilloise · 31′ · 0.21 xG · on targetDavide Frattesi · Inter · 74′ · 0.21 xG · on targetLautaro Martínez · Inter · 45′ · 0.22 xG · goalDenzel Dumfries · Inter · 48′ · 0.26 xG · off target or blockedDenzel Dumfries · Inter · 41′ · 0.29 xG · goalFrancesco Pio Esposito · Inter · 76′ · 0.32 xG · goalLautaro Martínez · Inter · 40′ · 0.36 xG · on targetFrancesco Pio Esposito · Inter · 16′ · 0.57 xG · off target or blockedHakan Çalhanoğlu · Inter · 53′ · 0.82 xG · goalFrancesco Pio Esposito · Inter · 69′ · 0.95 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Royale Union Saint-Gilloise: 15 shots, 6 on target, 0.98 xG. Inter: 21 shots, 7 on target, 4.58 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

02.550′HT90′Denzel Dumfries · Inter · 41′Lautaro Martínez · Inter · 45′Hakan Çalhanoğlu · Inter · 53′Francesco Pio Esposito · Inter · 76′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 0.98 xG · Inter 4.58 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Inter's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Inter have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Inter show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Inter's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

16.7 shots/matchShotsRoyale Union Saint-Gilloise · Inter18.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricRoyale Union Saint-GilloiseInterBaseline
Shots16.7 shots/match18.7 shots/match13 shots/match
Shots against14.7 shots/match8.33 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Inter have recorded the higher season possession share.

36.7%PossessionRoyale Union Saint-Gilloise · Inter57%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 20.3 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricRoyale Union Saint-GilloiseInterBaseline
Possession36.7%57%49.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Royale Union Saint-Gilloise favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Inter in 0 · 14 too close

1 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 3/33 goals/match
3 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 3/30 goals/match
1.72 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 3/33.26 xG/match
3.27 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 3/30.77 xG/match
16.7 shots/matchShotsseason · 3/318.7 shots/match
14.7 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 3/38.33 shots/match
6.67 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 3/35.67 shots/match
5.33 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 3/33 shots/match
36.7%Possessionseason · 3/357%
5.67 corners/matchCornersseason · 3/34.67 corners/match
5.33 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 3/32 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
13 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 3/312 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
0%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 3/3100%
33%Scoring frequencyseason · 3/3100%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Royale Union Saint-Gilloise1.9
Inter79.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Royale Union Saint-Gilloise62.2
Inter81.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Royale Union Saint-Gilloise17
Inter91.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Royale Union Saint-Gilloise94.4
Inter79.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Royale Union Saint-Gilloise75.9
Inter61.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Royale Union Saint-Gilloise74.1
Inter40.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Royale Union Saint-Gilloise77.8
Inter63.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

3 / 3 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored3/33 goals/match
3 goals/matchGoals allowed3/30 goals/match
1.72 xG/matchExpected goals3/33.26 xG/match
16.7 shots/matchShots3/318.7 shots/match
6.67 shots/matchShots on target3/35.67 shots/match
36.7%Possession3/357%
5.67 corners/matchCorners3/34.67 corners/match
Cards0/0
13 fouls/matchFouls3/312 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

3 / 3 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored3/33 goals/match
3 goals/matchGoals allowed3/30 goals/match
1.72 xG/matchExpected goals3/33.26 xG/match
16.7 shots/matchShots3/318.7 shots/match
6.67 shots/matchShots on target3/35.67 shots/match
36.7%Possession3/357%
5.67 corners/matchCorners3/34.67 corners/match
Cards0/0
13 fouls/matchFouls3/312 fouls/match

Window

Season

3 / 3 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored3/33 goals/match
3 goals/matchGoals allowed3/30 goals/match
1.72 xG/matchExpected goals3/33.26 xG/match
16.7 shots/matchShots3/318.7 shots/match
6.67 shots/matchShots on target3/35.67 shots/match
36.7%Possession3/357%
5.67 corners/matchCorners3/34.67 corners/match
Cards0/0
13 fouls/matchFouls3/312 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

2 / 2 matches
Goals scored2/2
Goals allowed2/2
Expected goals2/2
Shots2/2
Shots on target2/2
Possession2/2
Corners2/2
Cards0/0
Fouls2/2

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

20.1 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/121 days
0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples3 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 21 Oct 2025, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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