PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Stadio Olimpico

Roma 0–1 Inter · Serie A

Roma

WLWWW
0–1Historical match

Inter

LLWWW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Inter won 0–1.

Shots
1512
Shots on target
53
Expected goals
1.350.63
Possession
57%43%

Full time

What the match recorded

Inter beat AS Roma 1–0. Recorded in this match (AS Roma – Inter): shots 15–12, shots on target 5–3, expected goals 1.35–0.63, possession 57%–43%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5.43 corners/matchCornersAS Roma · Inter● 8.14 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricAS RomaInterBaseline
Corners5.43 corners/match8.14 corners/match4.31 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Inter show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Inter's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.1 shots/match ▲ShotsAS Roma · Inter19 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAS RomaInterBaseline
Shots13.1 shots/match19 shots/match12.6 shots/match
Shots against10 shots/match9.57 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

AS Roma have a visible home split

weak

AS Roma's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15.3 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15.3 shots/match13.1 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots12 shotsRoma 15 shots, Inter 12 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots3 shotsRoma 5 shots, Inter 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.35 xG0.63 xGRoma 1.35 xG, Inter 0.63 xG
  • Possession57%43%Roma 57%, Inter 43%
  • Corners4 corners5 cornersRoma 4 corners, Inter 5 corners
  • Fouls18 fouls29 foulsRoma 18 fouls, Inter 29 fouls
  • Yellow cards4 cards3 cardsRoma 4 cards, Inter 3 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Hakan Çalhanoğlu · Inter · 10′ · 0.02 xG · on targetFederico Dimarco · Inter · 23′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedHakan Çalhanoğlu · Inter · 28′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedManu Koné · AS Roma · 53′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedWesley · AS Roma · 68′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAlessandro Bastoni · Inter · 71′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedZeki Çelik · AS Roma · 73′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBryan Cristante · AS Roma · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedEvan Ferguson · AS Roma · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLautaro Martínez · Inter · 10′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLorenzo Pellegrini · AS Roma · 12′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedZeki Çelik · AS Roma · 59′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMatías Soulé · AS Roma · 64′ · 0.04 xG · on targetBryan Cristante · AS Roma · 13′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAnge-Yoan Bonny · Inter · 67′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedManuel Akanji · Inter · 86′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDenzel Dumfries · Inter · 50′ · 0.06 xG · on targetHenrikh Mkhitaryan · Inter · 14′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedHenrikh Mkhitaryan · Inter · 84′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAnge-Yoan Bonny · Inter · 6′ · 0.09 xG · goalLautaro Martínez · Inter · 48′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedPaulo Dybala · AS Roma · 52′ · 0.14 xG · on targetPaulo Dybala · AS Roma · 55′ · 0.14 xG · on targetArtem Dovbyk · AS Roma · 88′ · 0.15 xG · on targetMario Hermoso · AS Roma · 53′ · 0.16 xG · on targetEvan Ndicka · AS Roma · 27′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedArtem Dovbyk · AS Roma · 59′ · 0.31 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

AS Roma: 15 shots, 5 on target, 1.35 xG. Inter: 12 shots, 3 on target, 0.63 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Ange-Yoan Bonny · Inter · 6′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: AS Roma 1.35 xG · Inter 0.63 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Roma
0Draws
4Inter
Inter — Roma · Serie A0–1
Roma — Inter · Serie A0–1
Roma — Inter · Serie A2–4
Inter — Roma · Serie A1–0
Roma — Inter · Serie A0–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Roma favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Inter in 5 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Roma7 matchesInter7 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored7/7▲ 2.57 goals/match
0.43 goals/match ▲Goals allowed7/71.14 goals/match
1.18 xG/matchExpected goals7/7▲ 1.92 xG/match
13.1 shots/matchShots7/7▲ 19 shots/match
4.71 shots/matchShots on target7/7▲ 5.71 shots/match
59%Possession7/7● 59.3%
5.43 corners/matchCorners7/7● 8.14 corners/match
1.71 cards/matchCards7/71.57 cards/match
15.4 fouls/matchFouls7/715.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 18 Oct 2025, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsRomaInter
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2025/26
Head-to-headRoma — Inter
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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