PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Sat, 18 Oct 2025, 18:45 UTCFull timeStadio OlimpicoFull-time recap

AS Roma

WLWWW
0–1Full-time recap

Inter

LLWWW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricAS RomaInter
Shots15 shots/match▲12 shots/match
Shots on target5 shots/match▲3 shots/match
Possession57%43%
Corners4 corners/match5 corners/match
Fouls18 fouls/match29 fouls/match
Yellow cards4 cards/match3 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline. A second useful context is: Inter's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5.43 corners/match▲CornersAS Roma · Inter8.14 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricAS RomaInterBaseline
Corners5.43 corners/match8.14 corners/match4.31 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Inter show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Inter's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.1 shots/match▲ShotsAS Roma · Inter19 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAS RomaInterBaseline
Shots13.1 shots/match19 shots/match12.6 shots/match
Shots against10 shots/match9.57 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

AS Roma have a visible home split

weak

AS Roma's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15.3 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season13.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15.3 shots/match13.1 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

AS Roma favored in 4 of 14 directional metrics · Inter in 5 · 5 too close

1 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 7/7▲2.57 goals/match
0.43 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 7/71.14 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
13.1 shots/matchShotsseason · 7/7▲19 shots/match
10 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 7/79.57 shots/match
4.71 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 7/7▲5.71 shots/match
2.86 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 7/73.57 shots/match
59%Possessionseason · 7/759.3%
5.43 corners/matchCornersseason · 7/78.14 corners/match
3 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 7/73.43 corners/match
1.71 cards/matchCardsseason · 7/7▲1.57 cards/match
15.4 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 7/715.4 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
57%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 7/743%
71%Scoring frequencyseason · 7/7▲100%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

AS Roma87.5
Inter92.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

AS Roma55.8
Inter95.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

AS Roma87.5
Inter70
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

AS Roma22.5
Inter92.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

AS Roma57.5
Inter50
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

AS Roma72.5
Inter97.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

AS Roma68.1
Inter90.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲2.4 goals/match
0.6 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.2 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13.6 shots/matchShots5/5▲19.4 shots/match
4.8 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲5.4 shots/match
58.6%Possession5/557.4%
5.8 corners/matchCorners5/57.6 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards5/52 cards/match
16.6 fouls/matchFouls5/515.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

7 / 7 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored7/7▲2.57 goals/match
0.43 goals/match▲Goals allowed7/71.14 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13.1 shots/matchShots7/7▲19 shots/match
4.71 shots/matchShots on target7/7▲5.71 shots/match
59%Possession7/759.3%
5.43 corners/matchCorners7/78.14 corners/match
1.71 cards/matchCards7/71.57 cards/match
15.4 fouls/matchFouls7/715.4 fouls/match

Window

Season

7 / 7 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored7/7▲2.57 goals/match
0.43 goals/match▲Goals allowed7/71.14 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13.1 shots/matchShots7/7▲19 shots/match
4.71 shots/matchShots on target7/7▲5.71 shots/match
59%Possession7/759.3%
5.43 corners/matchCorners7/78.14 corners/match
1.71 cards/matchCards7/71.57 cards/match
15.4 fouls/matchFouls7/715.4 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

4 / 3 matches
0.75 goals/matchGoals scored4/3▲2 goals/match
0.5 goals/match▲Goals allowed4/31.33 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
15.3 shots/matchShots4/3▲16.7 shots/match
4.75 shots/match▲Shots on target4/34 shots/match
59.5%Possession4/353.3%
5.25 corners/matchCorners4/36 corners/match
1.75 cards/matchCards4/32.33 cards/match
13.8 fouls/matchFouls4/317.7 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

13.2 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/114.1 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 18 Oct 2025, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsAS RomaInter
CompetitionSerie A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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