PitchMath
Belgian Pro League · 2025Stade Joseph Marien

Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 3–1 RC Sporting Charleroi · Belgian Pro League

3–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Royale Union Saint-Gilloise won 3–1.

Shots
159
Shots on target
33
Expected goals
0.880.72
Possession
51%49%

Full time

What the match recorded

Union St. Gilloise beat Charleroi 3–1. Recorded in this match (Union St. Gilloise – Charleroi): shots 15–9, shots on target 3–3, expected goals 0.88–0.72, possession 51%–49%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Charleroi's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Charleroi's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.42 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.42 goals/match1.3 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Charleroi show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Charleroi's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

15.5 shots/match ▲ShotsUnion St. Gilloise · Charleroi10.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricUnion St. GilloiseCharleroiBaseline
Shots15.5 shots/match10.6 shots/match12.2 shots/match
Shots against8.5 shots/match11 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Union St. Gilloise have a visible home split

moderate

Union St. Gilloise's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

18.6 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season15.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots18.6 shots/match15.5 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots9 shotsRoyale Union Saint-Gilloise 15 shots, RC Sporting Charleroi 9 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots3 shotsRoyale Union Saint-Gilloise 3 shots, RC Sporting Charleroi 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.88 xG0.72 xGRoyale Union Saint-Gilloise 0.88 xG, RC Sporting Charleroi 0.72 xG
  • Possession51%49%Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 51%, RC Sporting Charleroi 49%
  • Corners1 corner2 cornersRoyale Union Saint-Gilloise 1 corner, RC Sporting Charleroi 2 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls8 foulsRoyale Union Saint-Gilloise 15 fouls, RC Sporting Charleroi 8 fouls
  • Yellow cards0 cards3 cardsRoyale Union Saint-Gilloise 0 cards, RC Sporting Charleroi 3 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Raul Florucz · Union St. Gilloise · 19′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedYassine Titraoui · Charleroi · 2′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedChristian Burgess · Union St. Gilloise · 59′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedYassine Titraoui · Charleroi · 67′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKevin Rodriguez · Union St. Gilloise · 70′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMarc Giger · Union St. Gilloise · 87′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJakob Napoleon Romsaas · Charleroi · 7′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAdem Zorgane · Union St. Gilloise · 41′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPromise David · Union St. Gilloise · 51′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedParfait Guiagon · Charleroi · 66′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAnouar Ait El Hadj · Union St. Gilloise · 68′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKevin Van Den Kerkhof · Charleroi · 61′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedOusseynou Niang · Union St. Gilloise · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRaul Florucz · Union St. Gilloise · 4′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMathias Rasmussen · Union St. Gilloise · 74′ · 0.05 xG · goalRaul Florucz · Union St. Gilloise · 16′ · 0.07 xG · goalPatrick Pflücke · Charleroi · 27′ · 0.07 xG · on targetRaul Florucz · Union St. Gilloise · 34′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedYassine Titraoui · Charleroi · 21′ · 0.08 xG · on targetRaul Florucz · Union St. Gilloise · 35′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedAdem Zorgane · Union St. Gilloise · 13′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedAiham Ousou · Charleroi · 45′ · 0.16 xG · goalOusseynou Niang · Union St. Gilloise · 48′ · 0.20 xG · goalAurélien Scheidler · Charleroi · 88′ · 0.27 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Union St. Gilloise: 15 shots, 3 on target, 0.89 xG. Charleroi: 9 shots, 3 on target, 0.72 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Raul Florucz · Union St. Gilloise · 16′Ousseynou Niang · Union St. Gilloise · 48′Mathias Rasmussen · Union St. Gilloise · 74′Aiham Ousou · Charleroi · 45′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Union St. Gilloise 0.89 xG · Charleroi 0.72 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

5Royale Union Saint-Gilloise
0Draws
0RC Sporting Charleroi
RC Sporting Charleroi — Royale Union Saint-Gilloise · Belgian Pro League1–2
Royale Union Saint-Gilloise — RC Sporting Charleroi · Belgian Pro League1–0
RC Sporting Charleroi — Royale Union Saint-Gilloise · Belgian Pro League1–3
Royale Union Saint-Gilloise — RC Sporting Charleroi · Belgian Pro League3–1
RC Sporting Charleroi — Royale Union Saint-Gilloise · Belgian Pro League0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Royale Union Saint-Gilloise favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · RC Sporting Charleroi in 0 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Royale Union Saint-Gilloise12 matchesRC Sporting Charleroi12 matches
1.92 goals/match ▲Goals scored12/121.42 goals/match
0.5 goals/match ▲Goals allowed12/121.5 goals/match
1.95 xG/match ▲Expected goals11/110.97 xG/match
15.5 shots/match ▲Shots12/1210.6 shots/match
5.92 shots/match ▲Shots on target12/124.08 shots/match
54.6% ●Possession12/1247.8%
5.58 corners/match ●Corners12/123.92 corners/match
2.09 cards/matchCards11/112.45 cards/match
13 fouls/matchFouls12/1211.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples12 / 12home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 18 Oct 2025, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Belgian Pro League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsRoyale Union Saint-GilloiseRC Sporting Charleroi
CompetitionBelgian Pro LeagueBelgian Pro League 2025/26
Head-to-headRoyale Union Saint-Gilloise — RC Sporting Charleroi
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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