Belgian Pro League · 2025Den Dreef

Oud-Heverlee Leuven 0–1 Club Brugge KV · Belgian Pro League

0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Club Brugge KV won 0–1.

Shots
1711
Shots on target
54
Expected goals
0.590.95
Possession
34%66%

Full time

What the match recorded

Club Brugge KV beat OH Leuven 1–0. Recorded in this match (OH Leuven – Club Brugge KV): shots 17–11, shots on target 5–4, expected goals 0.59–0.95, possession 34%–66%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

OH Leuven's recent record differs from the season

moderate

OH Leuven's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.75 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match0.75 goals/match1.3 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Club Brugge KV have recorded the higher season possession share.

44.6%PossessionOH Leuven · Club Brugge KV● 63.4%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 18.8 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricOH LeuvenClub Brugge KVBaseline
Possession44.6%63.4%47.9%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots11 shotsOud-Heverlee Leuven 17 shots, Club Brugge KV 11 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots4 shotsOud-Heverlee Leuven 5 shots, Club Brugge KV 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.59 xG0.95 xGOud-Heverlee Leuven 0.59 xG, Club Brugge KV 0.95 xG
  • Possession34%66%Oud-Heverlee Leuven 34%, Club Brugge KV 66%
  • Corners4 corners11 cornersOud-Heverlee Leuven 4 corners, Club Brugge KV 11 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls12 foulsOud-Heverlee Leuven 16 fouls, Club Brugge KV 12 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards1 cardOud-Heverlee Leuven 2 cards, Club Brugge KV 1 card

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Łukasz Łakomy · OH Leuven · 21′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedEwoud Pletinckx · OH Leuven · 88′ · 0.01 xG · on targetTakahiro Akimoto · OH Leuven · 89′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedChukwubuikem Ikwuemesi · OH Leuven · 8′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedChukwubuikem Ikwuemesi · OH Leuven · 20′ · 0.02 xG · on targetChukwubuikem Ikwuemesi · OH Leuven · 20′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTakahiro Akimoto · OH Leuven · 24′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedCarlos Forbs · Club Brugge KV · 50′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAbdoul Karim Traoré · OH Leuven · 88′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTakahiro Akimoto · OH Leuven · 1′ · 0.03 xG · on targetMathieu Maertens · OH Leuven · 9′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedChukwubuikem Ikwuemesi · OH Leuven · 64′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedChristos Tzolis · Club Brugge KV · 64′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAleksandar Stanković · Club Brugge KV · 69′ · 0.03 xG · on targetNicolò Tresoldi · Club Brugge KV · 87′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedChristos Tzolis · Club Brugge KV · 7′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedŁukasz Łakomy · OH Leuven · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedYoussef Maziz · OH Leuven · 11′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedSiebe Schrijvers · OH Leuven · 14′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedHans Vanaken · Club Brugge KV · 29′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMathieu Maertens · OH Leuven · 6′ · 0.07 xG · on targetNicolò Tresoldi · Club Brugge KV · 51′ · 0.07 xG · on targetMathieu Maertens · OH Leuven · 33′ · 0.08 xG · on targetNicolò Tresoldi · Club Brugge KV · 50′ · 0.08 xG · on targetHans Vanaken · Club Brugge KV · 88′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedNoë Dussenne · OH Leuven · 4′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedChristos Tzolis · Club Brugge KV · 77′ · 0.15 xG · goalHans Vanaken · Club Brugge KV · 41′ · 0.41 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

OH Leuven: 17 shots, 5 on target, 0.60 xG. Club Brugge KV: 11 shots, 4 on target, 0.99 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Christos Tzolis · Club Brugge KV · 77′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: OH Leuven 0.60 xG · Club Brugge KV 0.99 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Oud-Heverlee Leuven
1Draws
4Club Brugge KV
Club Brugge KV — Oud-Heverlee Leuven · Belgian Pro League1–0
Oud-Heverlee Leuven — Club Brugge KV · Belgian Pro League0–1
Club Brugge KV — Oud-Heverlee Leuven · Belgian Pro League3–1
Oud-Heverlee Leuven — Club Brugge KV · Belgian Pro League0–1
Club Brugge KV — Oud-Heverlee Leuven · Belgian Pro League1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Oud-Heverlee Leuven favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Club Brugge KV in 10

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Oud-Heverlee Leuven12 matchesClub Brugge KV11 matches
0.75 goals/matchGoals scored12/11▲ 1.64 goals/match
1.67 goals/matchGoals allowed12/11▲ 1 goal/match
0.9 xG/matchExpected goals11/11▲ 1.56 xG/match
12.2 shots/matchShots12/11▲ 16.3 shots/match
3.92 shots/matchShots on target12/11▲ 5.09 shots/match
44.6%Possession12/11● 63.4%
4.67 corners/matchCorners12/11● 7.09 corners/match
3.18 cards/matchCards11/111.55 cards/match
16.7 fouls/matchFouls12/119.73 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples12 / 11home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 18 Oct 2025, 20:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Belgian Pro League

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