Belgian Pro League · 2025Achter de Kazerne

KV Mechelen 1–1 Oud-Heverlee Leuven · Belgian Pro League

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

KV Mechelen and Oud-Heverlee Leuven drew 1–1.

Shots
1413
Shots on target
54
Expected goals
1.561.57
Possession
56%44%

Full time

What the match recorded

KV Mechelen and OH Leuven drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (KV Mechelen – OH Leuven): shots 14–13, shots on target 5–4, expected goals 1.56–1.57, possession 56%–44%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

KV Mechelen's recent record differs from the season

moderate

KV Mechelen's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.54 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.54 goals/match1.46 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

OH Leuven show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

OH Leuven's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11 shots/match ▲ShotsKV Mechelen · OH Leuven12.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricKV MechelenOH LeuvenBaseline
Shots11 shots/match12.2 shots/match12.2 shots/match
Shots against16.4 shots/match11.2 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots13 shotsKV Mechelen 14 shots, Oud-Heverlee Leuven 13 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots4 shotsKV Mechelen 5 shots, Oud-Heverlee Leuven 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.56 xG1.57 xGKV Mechelen 1.56 xG, Oud-Heverlee Leuven 1.57 xG
  • Possession56%44%KV Mechelen 56%, Oud-Heverlee Leuven 44%
  • Corners6 corners2 cornersKV Mechelen 6 corners, Oud-Heverlee Leuven 2 corners
  • Fouls7 fouls16 foulsKV Mechelen 7 fouls, Oud-Heverlee Leuven 16 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards5 cardsKV Mechelen 3 cards, Oud-Heverlee Leuven 5 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Mathieu Maertens · OH Leuven · 39′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedŁukasz Łakomy · OH Leuven · 43′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMyron Van Brederode · KV Mechelen · 46′ · 0.02 xG · on targetThérence Koudou · KV Mechelen · 48′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedThibaud Verlinden · OH Leuven · 87′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLion Lauberbach · KV Mechelen · 29′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMathieu Maertens · OH Leuven · 38′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMathis Servais · KV Mechelen · 68′ · 0.04 xG · on targetRoggerio Nyakossi · OH Leuven · 3′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMathis Servais · KV Mechelen · 46′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJovan Mijatović · OH Leuven · 90′ · 0.05 xG · on targetYoussef Maziz · OH Leuven · 12′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedBill Antonio · KV Mechelen · 77′ · 0.06 xG · on targetMyron Van Brederode · KV Mechelen · 22′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMoncef Zekri · KV Mechelen · 72′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedYoussef Maziz · OH Leuven · 88′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedJovan Mijatović · OH Leuven · 90′ · 0.10 xG · on targetThérence Koudou · KV Mechelen · 74′ · 0.11 xG · goalThérence Koudou · KV Mechelen · 22′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedRedouane Halhal · KV Mechelen · 23′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedJosé Marsà · KV Mechelen · 61′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedNoë Dussenne · OH Leuven · 65′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedEwoud Pletinckx · OH Leuven · 90′ · 0.14 xG · goalLion Lauberbach · KV Mechelen · 83′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedMathieu Maertens · OH Leuven · 45′ · 0.29 xG · off target or blockedLion Lauberbach · KV Mechelen · 22′ · 0.50 xG · on targetYoussef Maziz · OH Leuven · 29′ · 0.55 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

KV Mechelen: 14 shots, 5 on target, 1.56 xG. OH Leuven: 13 shots, 4 on target, 1.55 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Thérence Koudou · KV Mechelen · 74′Ewoud Pletinckx · OH Leuven · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: KV Mechelen 1.56 xG · OH Leuven 1.55 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3KV Mechelen
1Draws
1Oud-Heverlee Leuven
Oud-Heverlee Leuven — KV Mechelen · Belgian Pro League1–2
KV Mechelen — Oud-Heverlee Leuven · Belgian Pro League1–1
Oud-Heverlee Leuven — KV Mechelen · Belgian Pro League1–0
KV Mechelen — Oud-Heverlee Leuven · Belgian Pro League5–0
KV Mechelen — Oud-Heverlee Leuven · Belgian Pro League3–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: KV Mechelen favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Oud-Heverlee Leuven in 5 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

KV Mechelen13 matchesOud-Heverlee Leuven13 matches
1.54 goals/match ▲Goals scored13/130.77 goals/match
1.08 goals/match ▲Goals allowed13/131.62 goals/match
1.32 xG/match ▲Expected goals12/120.96 xG/match
11 shots/matchShots13/13▲ 12.2 shots/match
4.62 shots/match ▲Shots on target13/133.92 shots/match
48.2% ●Possession13/1344.5%
5.08 corners/match ●Corners13/134.46 corners/match
2.33 cards/matchCards12/123.33 cards/match
9.92 fouls/matchFouls13/1316.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples13 / 13home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 25 Oct 2025, 20:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Belgian Pro League

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