PitchMath
UEFA Champions League · 2025Wed, 22 Oct 2025, 19:00 UTCFull timeAllianz ArenaFull-time recap
4–0Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricFC Bayern MünchenClub Brugge KV
Shots26 shots/match▲5 shots/match
Shots on target13 shots/match▲2 shots/match
Expected goals4.2 xG/match▲0.25 xG/match
Possession63%37%
Corners9 corners/match1 corners/match
Fouls14 fouls/match3 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Michael Olise · FC Bayern München · 26′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMichael Olise · FC Bayern München · 3′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedChristos Tzolis · Club Brugge KV · 29′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDayot Upamecano · FC Bayern München · 70′ · 0.02 xG · on targetLennart Karl · FC Bayern München · 11′ · 0.03 xG · on targetHarry Kane · FC Bayern München · 51′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAleksandar Pavlović · FC Bayern München · 73′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMichael Olise · FC Bayern München · 76′ · 0.03 xG · on targetHarry Kane · FC Bayern München · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedHugo Siquet · Club Brugge KV · 58′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLuis Díaz · FC Bayern München · 20′ · 0.05 xG · on targetLuis Díaz · FC Bayern München · 34′ · 0.05 xG · goalChristos Tzolis · Club Brugge KV · 40′ · 0.05 xG · on targetKyriani Sabbe · Club Brugge KV · 2′ · 0.06 xG · on targetAleksandar Pavlović · FC Bayern München · 10′ · 0.06 xG · on targetLennart Karl · FC Bayern München · 5′ · 0.07 xG · goalHans Vanaken · Club Brugge KV · 37′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedHarry Kane · FC Bayern München · 61′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedLeon Goretzka · FC Bayern München · 72′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedLennart Karl · FC Bayern München · 31′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedAleksandar Pavlović · FC Bayern München · 72′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedKonrad Laimer · FC Bayern München · 79′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedLuis Díaz · FC Bayern München · 76′ · 0.29 xG · on targetNicolas Jackson · FC Bayern München · 79′ · 0.33 xG · goalHarry Kane · FC Bayern München · 63′ · 0.42 xG · on targetLuis Díaz · FC Bayern München · 45′ · 0.56 xG · on targetHarry Kane · FC Bayern München · 58′ · 0.63 xG · on targetHarry Kane · FC Bayern München · 14′ · 0.81 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

FC Bayern München: 23 shots, 13 on target, 4.02 xG. Club Brugge KV: 5 shots, 2 on target, 0.25 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

02.254.50′HT90′Lennart Karl · FC Bayern München · 5′Harry Kane · FC Bayern München · 14′Luis Díaz · FC Bayern München · 34′Nicolas Jackson · FC Bayern München · 79′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: FC Bayern München 4.02 xG · Club Brugge KV 0.25 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Club Brugge KV's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. A second useful context is: FC Bayern München's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Club Brugge KV have a visible away split

weak

Club Brugge KV's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.5 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season16.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8.5 shots/match16.4 shots/match13.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

FC Bayern München show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

FC Bayern München's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

22.7 shots/match▲ShotsFC Bayern München · Club Brugge KV16.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricFC Bayern MünchenClub Brugge KVBaseline
Shots22.7 shots/match16.4 shots/match13.5 shots/match
Shots against6.67 shots/match15.6 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Both teams have elevated corners records

weak

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

7 corners/match▲CornersFC Bayern München · Club Brugge KV5.57 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricFC Bayern MünchenClub Brugge KVBaseline
Corners7 corners/match5.57 corners/match4.67 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

FC Bayern München favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Club Brugge KV in 0 · 14 too close

4 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 3/72.57 goals/match
0.67 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 3/71.43 goals/match
3.6 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 3/31.42 xG/match
0.46 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 3/32.87 xG/match
22.7 shots/matchShotsseason · 3/716.4 shots/match
6.67 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 3/715.6 shots/match
11 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 3/77.29 shots/match
2.33 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 3/74.43 shots/match
62%Possessionseason · 3/752.3%
7 corners/matchCornersseason · 3/75.57 corners/match
1.67 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 3/75.71 corners/match
—Cardsseason · 0/0—
11.7 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 3/76.71 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
33%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 3/729%
100%Scoring frequencyseason · 3/786%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

FC Bayern München91.7
Club Brugge KV65.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

FC Bayern München96.5
Club Brugge KV82.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

FC Bayern München94.3
Club Brugge KV40.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

FC Bayern München91.7
Club Brugge KV65.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

FC Bayern München52.4
Club Brugge KV3.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

FC Bayern München91.7
Club Brugge KV72.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

FC Bayern München84.2
Club Brugge KV60.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

3 / 5 matches
4 goals/match▲Goals scored3/52.8 goals/match
0.67 goals/match▲Goals allowed3/51.6 goals/match
3.6 xG/match▲Expected goals3/31.42 xG/match
22.7 shots/match▲Shots3/516 shots/match
11 shots/match▲Shots on target3/57.4 shots/match
62%Possession3/551.4%
7 corners/matchCorners3/55 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
11.7 fouls/matchFouls3/57.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

3 / 7 matches
4 goals/match▲Goals scored3/72.57 goals/match
0.67 goals/match▲Goals allowed3/71.43 goals/match
3.6 xG/match▲Expected goals3/31.42 xG/match
22.7 shots/match▲Shots3/716.4 shots/match
11 shots/match▲Shots on target3/77.29 shots/match
62%Possession3/752.3%
7 corners/matchCorners3/75.57 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
11.7 fouls/matchFouls3/76.71 fouls/match

Window

Season

3 / 7 matches
4 goals/match▲Goals scored3/72.57 goals/match
0.67 goals/match▲Goals allowed3/71.43 goals/match
3.6 xG/match▲Expected goals3/31.42 xG/match
22.7 shots/match▲Shots3/716.4 shots/match
11 shots/match▲Shots on target3/77.29 shots/match
62%Possession3/752.3%
7 corners/matchCorners3/75.57 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
11.7 fouls/matchFouls3/76.71 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

2 / 4 matches
—Goals scored2/41.25 goals/match
—Goals allowed2/41.75 goals/match
—Expected goals2/2—
—Shots2/48.5 shots/match
—Shots on target2/44 shots/match
—Possession2/447.5%
—Corners2/44.25 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
—Fouls2/46.25 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

22 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/122.1 days
0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples3 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 22 Oct 2025, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsFC Bayern MünchenClub Brugge KV
CompetitionUEFA Champions League
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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