PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2025Sat, 25 Oct 2025, 13:30 UTCFull timeBorussia-ParkFull-time recap
0–3Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricBorussia MönchengladbachBayern München
Shots1 shots/match27 shots/match▲
Shots on target0 shots/match11 shots/match▲
Possession17%83%
Corners1 corners/match8 corners/match
Fouls6 fouls/match9 fouls/match
Yellow cards0 cards/match▲3 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Borussia Mönchengladbach's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Bayern München's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Borussia Mönchengladbach's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Borussia Mönchengladbach's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.75 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match0.75 goals/match1.5 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Bayern München show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Bayern München's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.6 shots/match▲ShotsBorussia Mönchengladbach · Bayern München19.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBorussia MönchengladbachBayern MünchenBaseline
Shots11.6 shots/match19.9 shots/match12.9 shots/match
Shots against15.1 shots/match8.5 shots/match14 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Bayern München have recorded the higher season possession share.

46.9%▲PossessionBorussia Mönchengladbach · Bayern München64.6%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 17.8 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricBorussia MönchengladbachBayern MünchenBaseline
Possession46.9%64.6%49.1%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Borussia Mönchengladbach favored in 1 of 14 directional metrics · Bayern München in 9 · 4 too close

0.75 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 8/8▲3.75 goals/match
2.25 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 8/8▲0.5 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
11.6 shots/matchShotsseason · 8/8▲19.9 shots/match
15.1 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 8/8▲8.5 shots/match
4.38 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 8/8▲9.5 shots/match
5.88 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 8/8▲1.88 shots/match
46.9%Possessionseason · 8/864.6%
5.63 corners/matchCornersseason · 8/85.25 corners/match
5 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 8/8▲4.25 corners/match
2.13 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 8/82.5 cards/match
12.5 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 8/810.6 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
25%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 8/8▲63%
38%Scoring frequencyseason · 8/8▲100%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Borussia Mönchengladbach22.2
Bayern München97.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Borussia Mönchengladbach17.6
Bayern München97.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Borussia Mönchengladbach13
Bayern München97.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Borussia Mönchengladbach30.6
Bayern München86.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Borussia Mönchengladbach62.5
Bayern München50
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Borussia Mönchengladbach69.4
Bayern München52.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Borussia Mönchengladbach47.2
Bayern München68
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲3.2 goals/match
2.6 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲0.4 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
8.4 shots/matchShots5/5▲19.6 shots/match
4.4 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲8.8 shots/match
42%Possession5/565%
3.8 corners/matchCorners5/55.4 corners/match
2.6 cards/matchCards5/52 cards/match
13 fouls/matchFouls5/510 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

8 / 8 matches
0.75 goals/matchGoals scored8/8▲3.75 goals/match
2.25 goals/matchGoals allowed8/8▲0.5 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11.6 shots/matchShots8/8▲19.9 shots/match
4.38 shots/matchShots on target8/8▲9.5 shots/match
46.9%Possession8/864.6%
5.63 corners/matchCorners8/85.25 corners/match
2.13 cards/matchCards8/82.5 cards/match
12.5 fouls/matchFouls8/810.6 fouls/match

Window

Season

8 / 8 matches
0.75 goals/matchGoals scored8/8▲3.75 goals/match
2.25 goals/matchGoals allowed8/8▲0.5 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11.6 shots/matchShots8/8▲19.9 shots/match
4.38 shots/matchShots on target8/8▲9.5 shots/match
46.9%Possession8/864.6%
5.63 corners/matchCorners8/85.25 corners/match
2.13 cards/matchCards8/82.5 cards/match
12.5 fouls/matchFouls8/810.6 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

5 / 4 matches
0.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/4▲3.25 goals/match
2.6 goals/matchGoals allowed5/4▲0.75 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11.4 shots/matchShots5/4▲19.3 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target5/4▲8.5 shots/match
45%Possession5/465.8%
5 corners/matchCorners5/45.25 corners/match
1.6 cards/matchCards5/42.75 cards/match
11.4 fouls/matchFouls5/410 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.79 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.88 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 25 Oct 2025, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsBorussia MönchengladbachBayern München
CompetitionBundesliga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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