PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2025Sat, 25 Oct 2025, 13:30 UTCFull timeDeutsche Bank ParkFull-time recap
2–0Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricEintracht FrankfurtFC St. Pauli
Shots10 shots/match▲9 shots/match
Shots on target6 shots/match▲1 shots/match
Possession51%49%
Corners1 corners/match3 corners/match
Fouls11 fouls/match6 fouls/match
Yellow cards0 cards/match▲1 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: FC St. Pauli's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Eintracht Frankfurt's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

FC St. Pauli's recent record differs from the season

moderate

FC St. Pauli's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.2 goals/match1 goals/match1.5 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Eintracht Frankfurt show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Eintracht Frankfurt's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

13 shots/match▲ShotsEintracht Frankfurt · FC St. Pauli11.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricEintracht FrankfurtFC St. PauliBaseline
Shots13 shots/match11.9 shots/match12.9 shots/match
Shots against12.5 shots/match10.5 shots/match14 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Eintracht Frankfurt favored in 5 of 14 directional metrics · FC St. Pauli in 3 · 6 too close

2.63 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 8/81 goals/match
2.25 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 8/8▲1.75 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
13 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 8/811.9 shots/match
12.5 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 8/8▲10.5 shots/match
5 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 8/84.25 shots/match
5 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 8/85.25 shots/match
54.4%Possessionseason · 8/851.5%
4.63 corners/matchCornersseason · 8/85.25 corners/match
2.88 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 8/83.25 corners/match
2 cards/matchCardsseason · 8/8▲1.75 cards/match
10.4 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 8/811.9 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
13%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 8/813%
88%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 8/850%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Eintracht Frankfurt75
FC St. Pauli58.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Eintracht Frankfurt71.3
FC St. Pauli25
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Eintracht Frankfurt39.8
FC St. Pauli53.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Eintracht Frankfurt25
FC St. Pauli2.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Eintracht Frankfurt31.9
FC St. Pauli34.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Eintracht Frankfurt41.7
FC St. Pauli52.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Eintracht Frankfurt45.8
FC St. Pauli41
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
2.6 goals/match▲Goals scored5/50.2 goals/match
2.6 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲2 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
12.8 shots/match▲Shots5/510.8 shots/match
5.4 shots/match▲Shots on target5/52.8 shots/match
55.8%Possession5/550.4%
3.4 corners/matchCorners5/55.8 corners/match
1.8 cards/matchCards5/51.6 cards/match
11 fouls/matchFouls5/510.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

8 / 8 matches
2.63 goals/match▲Goals scored8/81 goals/match
2.25 goals/matchGoals allowed8/8▲1.75 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13 shots/match▲Shots8/811.9 shots/match
5 shots/match▲Shots on target8/84.25 shots/match
54.4%Possession8/851.5%
4.63 corners/matchCorners8/85.25 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards8/81.75 cards/match
10.4 fouls/matchFouls8/811.9 fouls/match

Window

Season

8 / 8 matches
2.63 goals/match▲Goals scored8/81 goals/match
2.25 goals/matchGoals allowed8/8▲1.75 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13 shots/match▲Shots8/811.9 shots/match
5 shots/match▲Shots on target8/84.25 shots/match
54.4%Possession8/851.5%
4.63 corners/matchCorners8/85.25 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards8/81.75 cards/match
10.4 fouls/matchFouls8/811.9 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

4 / 4 matches
2.25 goals/match▲Goals scored4/40.5 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed4/4▲1.25 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13.3 shots/match▲Shots4/412 shots/match
5.5 shots/match▲Shots on target4/43 shots/match
55.5%Possession4/451.5%
4.25 corners/matchCorners4/43 corners/match
1.25 cards/matchCards4/41.75 cards/match
10.3 fouls/matchFouls4/412.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/15.92 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 25 Oct 2025, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsEintracht FrankfurtFC St. Pauli
CompetitionBundesliga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Create a graphic from this match