PitchMath
Belgian Pro League · 2025Stade du Pays de Charleroi

RC Sporting Charleroi 1–0 RSC Anderlecht · Belgian Pro League

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

RC Sporting Charleroi won 1–0.

Shots
815
Shots on target
32
Expected goals
1.121.4
Possession
39%61%

Full time

What the match recorded

Charleroi beat Anderlecht 1–0. Recorded in this match (Charleroi – Anderlecht): shots 8–15, shots on target 3–2, expected goals 1.12–1.4, possession 39%–61%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Charleroi's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Charleroi's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.38 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.38 goals/match1.46 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Anderlecht have a visible away split

moderate

Anderlecht's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

12.6 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season14.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots12.6 shots/match14.8 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Charleroi show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Charleroi's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

10.4 shots/match ▲ShotsCharleroi · Anderlecht14.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricCharleroiAnderlechtBaseline
Shots10.4 shots/match14.8 shots/match12.2 shots/match
Shots against11.3 shots/match11.1 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots15 shotsRC Sporting Charleroi 8 shots, RSC Anderlecht 15 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots2 shotsRC Sporting Charleroi 3 shots, RSC Anderlecht 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.12 xG1.4 xGRC Sporting Charleroi 1.12 xG, RSC Anderlecht 1.4 xG
  • Possession39%61%RC Sporting Charleroi 39%, RSC Anderlecht 61%
  • Corners5 corners9 cornersRC Sporting Charleroi 5 corners, RSC Anderlecht 9 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls18 foulsRC Sporting Charleroi 8 fouls, RSC Anderlecht 18 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards2 cardsRC Sporting Charleroi 2 cards, RSC Anderlecht 2 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Killian Sardella · Anderlecht · 15′ · 0.02 xG · on targetNilson Angulo · Anderlecht · 20′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNathan De Cat · Anderlecht · 27′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedThorgan Hazard · Anderlecht · 72′ · 0.02 xG · on targetThorgan Hazard · Anderlecht · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMoussa Ndiaye · Anderlecht · 88′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMihajlo Cvetković · Anderlecht · 26′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Pflücke · Charleroi · 31′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedThorgan Hazard · Anderlecht · 66′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedThorgan Hazard · Anderlecht · 88′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedParfait Guiagon · Charleroi · 73′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMario Stroeykens · Anderlecht · 75′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJakob Napoleon Romsaas · Charleroi · 80′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedLuis Vázquez · Anderlecht · 90′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedParfait Guiagon · Charleroi · 69′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAiham Ousou · Charleroi · 23′ · 0.13 xG · on targetAdriano Bertaccini · Anderlecht · 61′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedLucas Hey · Anderlecht · 52′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedNilson Angulo · Anderlecht · 61′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedAurélien Scheidler · Charleroi · 74′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedYassine Titraoui · Charleroi · 22′ · 0.21 xG · on targetCheick Keita · Charleroi · 82′ · 0.40 xG · goalThorgan Hazard · Anderlecht · 52′ · 0.54 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Charleroi: 8 shots, 3 on target, 1.14 xG. Anderlecht: 15 shots, 2 on target, 1.38 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Cheick Keita · Charleroi · 82′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Charleroi 1.14 xG · Anderlecht 1.38 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0RC Sporting Charleroi
1Draws
4RSC Anderlecht
RC Sporting Charleroi — RSC Anderlecht · Belgian Pro League0–1
RSC Anderlecht — RC Sporting Charleroi · Belgian Pro League0–0
RC Sporting Charleroi — RSC Anderlecht · Belgian Pro League1–3
RSC Anderlecht — RC Sporting Charleroi · Belgian Pro League2–1
RC Sporting Charleroi — RSC Anderlecht · Belgian Pro League0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: RC Sporting Charleroi favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · RSC Anderlecht in 7 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

RC Sporting Charleroi13 matchesRSC Anderlecht13 matches
1.38 goals/matchGoals scored13/13▲ 1.46 goals/match
1.38 goals/matchGoals allowed13/13▲ 0.92 goals/match
0.99 xG/matchExpected goals12/12▲ 1.53 xG/match
10.4 shots/matchShots13/13▲ 14.8 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target13/13▲ 4.92 shots/match
47.1%Possession13/13● 54.7%
4 corners/matchCorners13/13● 6.23 corners/match
2.42 cards/matchCards12/122.83 cards/match
11.6 fouls/matchFouls13/1314 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples13 / 13home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 24 Oct 2025, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Belgian Pro League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsRC Sporting CharleroiRSC Anderlecht
CompetitionBelgian Pro LeagueBelgian Pro League 2025/26
Head-to-headRC Sporting Charleroi — RSC Anderlecht
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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