UEFA Champions League · 2025Tue, 21 Oct 2025, 19:00 UTCFull timeParkenFull-time recap

FC København

WDWDL

2–4Full-time recap

Borussia Dortmund

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	FC København	Borussia Dortmund
Shots	11 shots/match▲	9 shots/match
Shots on target	4 shots/match	5 shots/match▲
Expected goals	0.73 xG/match	1.68 xG/match▲
Possession	36%	64%
Corners	4 corners/match	7 corners/match
Fouls	10 fouls/match	7 fouls/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Borussia Dortmund's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. A second useful context is: FC København's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Borussia Dortmund show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Borussia Dortmund's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11.6 shots/match▲ShotsFC København · Borussia Dortmund10.7 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	FC København	Borussia Dortmund	Baseline
Shots	11.6 shots/match	10.7 shots/match	13 shots/match
Shots against	10.3 shots/match	12 shots/match	13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

FC København's recent record differs from the season

weak

FC København's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.4 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.67 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.4 goals/match	1.67 goals/match	1.5 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

FC København favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Borussia Dortmund in 0 · 14 too close

1.67 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 9/34 goals/match

1 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 9/32.33 goals/match

1.2 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 3/31.49 xG/match

1.6 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 3/31.2 xG/match

11.6 shots/matchShotsseason · 9/310.7 shots/match

10.3 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 9/312 shots/match

4.89 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 9/36 shots/match

3.56 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 9/34.67 shots/match

50.1%Possessionseason · 9/354.7%

4.56 corners/matchCornersseason · 9/34.33 corners/match

3.44 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 9/32.67 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

15.6 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 9/39.67 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

56%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 9/30%

78%Scoring frequencyseason · 9/3100%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

FC København53.7

Borussia Dortmund72.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

FC København42.5

Borussia Dortmund61.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

FC København75.3

Borussia Dortmund37

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

FC København24.1

Borussia Dortmund5.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

FC København90.7

Borussia Dortmund16.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

FC København35.2

Borussia Dortmund27.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

FC København50

Borussia Dortmund33.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 3 matches

1.4 goals/matchGoals scored5/3▲4 goals/match

1.8 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/32.33 goals/match

1.2 xG/matchExpected goals3/3▲1.49 xG/match

11.4 shots/match▲Shots5/310.7 shots/match

5.2 shots/matchShots on target5/3▲6 shots/match

44%Possession5/354.7%

4.2 corners/matchCorners5/34.33 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

16.2 fouls/matchFouls5/39.67 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

9 / 3 matches

1.67 goals/matchGoals scored9/3▲4 goals/match

1 goals/match▲Goals allowed9/32.33 goals/match

1.2 xG/matchExpected goals3/3▲1.49 xG/match

11.6 shots/match▲Shots9/310.7 shots/match

4.89 shots/matchShots on target9/3▲6 shots/match

50.1%Possession9/354.7%

4.56 corners/matchCorners9/34.33 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

15.6 fouls/matchFouls9/39.67 fouls/match

Window

Season

9 / 3 matches

1.67 goals/matchGoals scored9/3▲4 goals/match

1 goals/match▲Goals allowed9/32.33 goals/match

1.2 xG/matchExpected goals3/3▲1.49 xG/match

11.6 shots/match▲Shots9/310.7 shots/match

4.89 shots/matchShots on target9/3▲6 shots/match

50.1%Possession9/354.7%

4.56 corners/matchCorners9/34.33 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

15.6 fouls/matchFouls9/39.67 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

5 / 2 matches

2.6 goals/matchGoals scored5/2—

1.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/2—

—Expected goals2/2—

12.4 shots/matchShots5/2—

6.2 shots/matchShots on target5/2—

46.6%Possession5/2—

3.8 corners/matchCorners5/2—

—Cards0/0—

14.6 fouls/matchFouls5/2—

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

20.1 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/120 days

0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples9 / 3home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 3last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.

Analysis cutoff: Tue, 21 Oct 2025, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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Match statistics

What the record shows

Borussia Dortmund show a distinct attacking-volume record

FC København's recent record differs from the season

Values, percentiles and samples

How the teams compare

Possession control

Attacking volume

Defensive resistance

Directness proxy

Physicality

Set-piece relevance

Tempo and pressure proxy

Season, last 10 and last 5

Last 5

Last 10

Season

Home and away samples

Home team at home / away team away

Rest and recent workload

How much supports this analysis

Known unknowns

Related matches

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