UEFA Champions League · 2025Tue, 21 Oct 2025, 19:00 UTCFull timePhilips StadionFull-time recap
62Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricPSV EindhovenNapoli
Shots19 shots/match10 shots/match
Shots on target8 shots/match2 shots/match
Expected goals2.82 xG/match1.24 xG/match
Possession59%41%
Corners4 corners/match8 corners/match
Fouls11 fouls/match9 fouls/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: PSV Eindhoven have recorded the higher season possession share. A second useful context is: Napoli's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

PSV Eindhoven have recorded the higher season possession share.

58.7%PossessionPSV Eindhoven · Napoli39.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 19.3 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricPSV EindhovenNapoliBaseline
Possession58.7%39.3%49.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Napoli show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Napoli's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11.7 shots/matchShotsPSV Eindhoven · Napoli7.67 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricPSV EindhovenNapoliBaseline
Shots11.7 shots/match7.67 shots/match13 shots/match
Shots against14 shots/match16.7 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

PSV Eindhoven favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Napoli in 0 · 14 too close

2.67 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 3/31.33 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 3/33 goals/match
1.94 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 3/30.76 xG/match
2.14 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 3/32.12 xG/match
11.7 shots/matchShotsseason · 3/37.67 shots/match
14 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 3/316.7 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 3/32 shots/match
4.67 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 3/36.67 shots/match
58.7%Possessionseason · 3/339.3%
5 corners/matchCornersseason · 3/35.67 corners/match
7.33 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 3/35 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
10.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 3/39.67 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
0%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 3/30%
100%Scoring frequencyseason · 3/367%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

PSV Eindhoven87
Napoli9.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

PSV Eindhoven50.5
Napoli14.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

PSV Eindhoven32
Napoli6.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

PSV Eindhoven13
Napoli1.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

PSV Eindhoven37
Napoli16.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

PSV Eindhoven53.7
Napoli74.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

PSV Eindhoven39.3
Napoli23.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

3 / 3 matches
2.67 goals/matchGoals scored3/31.33 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed3/33 goals/match
1.94 xG/matchExpected goals3/30.76 xG/match
11.7 shots/matchShots3/37.67 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target3/32 shots/match
58.7%Possession3/339.3%
5 corners/matchCorners3/35.67 corners/match
Cards0/0
10.3 fouls/matchFouls3/39.67 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

3 / 3 matches
2.67 goals/matchGoals scored3/31.33 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed3/33 goals/match
1.94 xG/matchExpected goals3/30.76 xG/match
11.7 shots/matchShots3/37.67 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target3/32 shots/match
58.7%Possession3/339.3%
5 corners/matchCorners3/35.67 corners/match
Cards0/0
10.3 fouls/matchFouls3/39.67 fouls/match

Window

Season

3 / 3 matches
2.67 goals/matchGoals scored3/31.33 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed3/33 goals/match
1.94 xG/matchExpected goals3/30.76 xG/match
11.7 shots/matchShots3/37.67 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target3/32 shots/match
58.7%Possession3/339.3%
5 corners/matchCorners3/35.67 corners/match
Cards0/0
10.3 fouls/matchFouls3/39.67 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

2 / 2 matches
Goals scored2/2
Goals allowed2/2
Expected goals2/2
Shots2/2
Shots on target2/2
Possession2/2
Corners2/2
Cards0/0
Fouls2/2

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

20 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/120 days
0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples3 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 21 Oct 2025, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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