Eredivisie · 2025Sat, 18 Oct 2025, 16:45 UTCFull timePhilips StadionFull-time recap
21Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricPSV EindhovenGo Ahead Eagles
Shots24 shots/match4 shots/match
Shots on target8 shots/match2 shots/match
Expected goals3.48 xG/match0.42 xG/match
Possession57%43%
Corners6 corners/match1 corners/match
Fouls7 fouls/match8 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Ivan Perišić · PSV Eindhoven · 17′ · 0.03 xG · on targetMelle Meulensteen · Go Ahead Eagles · 40′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSergiño Dest · PSV Eindhoven · 49′ · 0.03 xG · on targetOskar Siira Sivertsen · Go Ahead Eagles · 77′ · 0.03 xG · on targetMauro Júnior · PSV Eindhoven · 4′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedIvan Perišić · PSV Eindhoven · 90′ · 0.04 xG · on targetDennis Man · PSV Eindhoven · 47′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRicardo Pepi · PSV Eindhoven · 73′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRicardo Pepi · PSV Eindhoven · 88′ · 0.05 xG · on targetAnass Salah-Eddine · PSV Eindhoven · 42′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJoey Veerman · PSV Eindhoven · 35′ · 0.08 xG · on targetJoey Veerman · PSV Eindhoven · 45′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedRichonell Margaret · Go Ahead Eagles · 19′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedGuus Til · PSV Eindhoven · 48′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedIvan Perišić · PSV Eindhoven · 52′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedDennis Man · PSV Eindhoven · 66′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedRicardo Pepi · PSV Eindhoven · 73′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedGuus Til · PSV Eindhoven · 84′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedGuus Til · PSV Eindhoven · 4′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedGuus Til · PSV Eindhoven · 7′ · 0.12 xG · on targetIvan Perišić · PSV Eindhoven · 21′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedJoey Veerman · PSV Eindhoven · 65′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedGuus Til · PSV Eindhoven · 90′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedRicardo Pepi · PSV Eindhoven · 83′ · 0.30 xG · off target or blockedAnass Salah-Eddine · PSV Eindhoven · 64′ · 0.34 xG · off target or blockedMilan Smit · Go Ahead Eagles · 62′ · 0.35 xG · goalGuus Til · PSV Eindhoven · 22′ · 0.50 xG · goalGuus Til · PSV Eindhoven · 50′ · 0.79 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

PSV Eindhoven: 24 shots, 8 on target, 3.55 xG. Go Ahead Eagles: 4 shots, 2 on target, 0.50 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0240′HT90′Guus Til · PSV Eindhoven · 22′Guus Til · PSV Eindhoven · 50′Milan Smit · Go Ahead Eagles · 62′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: PSV Eindhoven 3.55 xG · Go Ahead Eagles 0.50 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: PSV Eindhoven's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

PSV Eindhoven show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

PSV Eindhoven's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

19.8 shots/matchShotsPSV Eindhoven · Go Ahead Eagles12.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricPSV EindhovenGo Ahead EaglesBaseline
Shots19.8 shots/match12.1 shots/match13.9 shots/match
Shots against12.6 shots/match19.9 shots/match13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

6.56 corners/matchCornersPSV Eindhoven · Go Ahead Eagles6.56 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricPSV EindhovenGo Ahead EaglesBaseline
Corners6.56 corners/match6.56 corners/match4.89 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

PSV Eindhoven have recorded the higher season possession share.

61%PossessionPSV Eindhoven · Go Ahead Eagles52.2%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.8 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricPSV EindhovenGo Ahead EaglesBaseline
Possession61%52.2%50.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

PSV Eindhoven favored in 9 of 14 directional metrics · Go Ahead Eagles in 0 · 5 too close

3 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 9/91.67 goals/match
1.33 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 9/91.78 goals/match
2.2 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 9/91.29 xG/match
1.28 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 9/91.83 xG/match
19.8 shots/matchShotsseason · 9/912.1 shots/match
12.6 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 9/919.9 shots/match
8 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 9/95.33 shots/match
4.22 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 9/96.11 shots/match
61%Possessionseason · 9/952.2%
6.56 corners/matchCornersseason · 9/96.56 corners/match
4.56 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 9/95.44 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
10.7 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 9/99.56 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
22%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 9/922%
89%Scoring frequencyseason · 9/989%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

PSV Eindhoven97.2
Go Ahead Eagles58.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

PSV Eindhoven97.2
Go Ahead Eagles39.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

PSV Eindhoven73.2
Go Ahead Eagles26.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

PSV Eindhoven86.1
Go Ahead Eagles8.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

PSV Eindhoven36.1
Go Ahead Eagles13.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

PSV Eindhoven88.9
Go Ahead Eagles88.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

PSV Eindhoven79.9
Go Ahead Eagles42.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
3 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.8 goals/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.4 goals/match
2.64 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.35 xG/match
19 shots/matchShots5/512.8 shots/match
8.8 shots/matchShots on target5/56.2 shots/match
59.4%Possession5/555.2%
5.8 corners/matchCorners5/55.8 corners/match
Cards0/0
11 fouls/matchFouls5/510 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

9 / 9 matches
3 goals/matchGoals scored9/91.67 goals/match
1.33 goals/matchGoals allowed9/91.78 goals/match
2.2 xG/matchExpected goals9/91.29 xG/match
19.8 shots/matchShots9/912.1 shots/match
8 shots/matchShots on target9/95.33 shots/match
61%Possession9/952.2%
6.56 corners/matchCorners9/96.56 corners/match
Cards0/0
10.7 fouls/matchFouls9/99.56 fouls/match

Window

Season

9 / 9 matches
3 goals/matchGoals scored9/91.67 goals/match
1.33 goals/matchGoals allowed9/91.78 goals/match
2.2 xG/matchExpected goals9/91.29 xG/match
19.8 shots/matchShots9/912.1 shots/match
8 shots/matchShots on target9/95.33 shots/match
61%Possession9/952.2%
6.56 corners/matchCorners9/96.56 corners/match
Cards0/0
10.7 fouls/matchFouls9/99.56 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

5 / 5 matches
2.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.8 goals/match
1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed5/52 goals/match
2.35 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.18 xG/match
21.6 shots/matchShots5/511 shots/match
8 shots/matchShots on target5/54.6 shots/match
64.2%Possession5/550.6%
7.8 corners/matchCorners5/54.6 corners/match
Cards0/0
10.6 fouls/matchFouls5/59.2 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

14 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/113 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples9 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 18 Oct 2025, 20:45 UTC · analysis-v4

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