PitchMath
La Liga · 2025Sat, 18 Oct 2025, 16:30 UTCFull timeEstadio de la CeramicaFull-time recap
2–2Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricVillarrealReal Betis
Shots7 shots/match16 shots/match▲
Shots on target3 shots/match3 shots/match
Possession40%60%
Corners5 corners/match6 corners/match
Fouls13 fouls/match10 fouls/match
Yellow cards1 cards/match1 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Real Betis's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Villarreal's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Real Betis's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Real Betis's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.67 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.2 goals/match1.67 goals/match1.19 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Villarreal have a visible home split

moderate

Villarreal's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

18.2 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season14.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots18.2 shots/match14.2 shots/match11.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Real Betis show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Real Betis's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14.2 shots/match▲ShotsVillarreal · Real Betis14.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricVillarrealReal BetisBaseline
Shots14.2 shots/match14.8 shots/match11.8 shots/match
Shots against12 shots/match10.6 shots/match12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Villarreal favored in 5 of 14 directional metrics · Real Betis in 3 · 6 too close

1.78 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 9/91.67 goals/match
1.11 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 9/91.11 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
14.2 shots/matchShotsseason · 9/914.8 shots/match
12 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 9/9▲10.6 shots/match
4.89 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 9/94.44 shots/match
3.33 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 9/93.78 shots/match
45.3%Possessionseason · 9/951.3%
5.22 corners/matchCornersseason · 9/95.22 corners/match
3.22 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 9/95.78 corners/match
2.22 cards/matchCardsseason · 9/9▲2 cards/match
11.7 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 9/99 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
33%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 9/922%
89%Scoring frequencyseason · 9/9▲100%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Villarreal37.5
Real Betis52.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Villarreal77.5
Real Betis77.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Villarreal70
Real Betis66.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Villarreal92.5
Real Betis77.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Villarreal41.2
Real Betis18.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Villarreal50
Real Betis50
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Villarreal59.4
Real Betis53.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.6 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲2.2 goals/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1.2 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13.6 shots/matchShots5/5▲17.8 shots/match
4.6 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲5.4 shots/match
42.6%Possession5/555.6%
4.2 corners/matchCorners5/56.2 corners/match
2.6 cards/matchCards5/52.4 cards/match
12.8 fouls/matchFouls5/57.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

9 / 9 matches
1.78 goals/match▲Goals scored9/91.67 goals/match
1.11 goals/matchGoals allowed9/91.11 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
14.2 shots/matchShots9/914.8 shots/match
4.89 shots/match▲Shots on target9/94.44 shots/match
45.3%Possession9/951.3%
5.22 corners/matchCorners9/95.22 corners/match
2.22 cards/matchCards9/92 cards/match
11.7 fouls/matchFouls9/99 fouls/match

Window

Season

9 / 9 matches
1.78 goals/match▲Goals scored9/91.67 goals/match
1.11 goals/matchGoals allowed9/91.11 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
14.2 shots/matchShots9/914.8 shots/match
4.89 shots/match▲Shots on target9/94.44 shots/match
45.3%Possession9/951.3%
5.22 corners/matchCorners9/95.22 corners/match
2.22 cards/matchCards9/92 cards/match
11.7 fouls/matchFouls9/99 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

5 / 5 matches
2.4 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51.6 goals/match
0.6 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.4 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
18.2 shots/match▲Shots5/515 shots/match
6.6 shots/match▲Shots on target5/54.2 shots/match
53.8%Possession5/552.4%
7.2 corners/matchCorners5/56 corners/match
1.4 cards/matchCards5/52.4 cards/match
10.8 fouls/matchFouls5/59.8 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

13.9 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/113 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples9 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 18 Oct 2025, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsVillarrealReal Betis
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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