PitchMath
La Liga · 2025Metropolitano Stadium

Atlético Madrid 1–0 Osasuna · La Liga

1–0Historical match

Osasuna

WLDLW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Atlético Madrid won 1–0.

Shots
189
Shots on target
92
Expected goals
2.581.14
Possession
59%41%

Full time

What the match recorded

Atletico Madrid beat Osasuna 1–0. Recorded in this match (Atletico Madrid – Osasuna): shots 18–9, shots on target 9–2, expected goals 2.58–1.14, possession 59%–41%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Osasuna show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Osasuna's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

13.3 shots/match ▲ShotsAtletico Madrid · Osasuna8.89 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAtletico MadridOsasunaBaseline
Shots13.3 shots/match8.89 shots/match11.8 shots/match
Shots against8.67 shots/match13.9 shots/match12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Atletico Madrid's recent record differs from the season

weak

Atletico Madrid's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.78 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.2 goals/match1.78 goals/match1.19 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Atletico Madrid have recorded the higher season possession share.

54.9% ●PossessionAtletico Madrid · Osasuna44.1%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 10.8 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricAtletico MadridOsasunaBaseline
Possession54.9%44.1%51%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots9 shotsAtlético Madrid 18 shots, Osasuna 9 shots
  • Shots on target9 shots2 shotsAtlético Madrid 9 shots, Osasuna 2 shots
  • Expected goals2.58 xG1.14 xGAtlético Madrid 2.58 xG, Osasuna 1.14 xG
  • Possession59%41%Atlético Madrid 59%, Osasuna 41%
  • Corners4 corners2 cornersAtlético Madrid 4 corners, Osasuna 2 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls11 foulsAtlético Madrid 10 fouls, Osasuna 11 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card3 cardsAtlético Madrid 1 card, Osasuna 3 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Koke · Atletico Madrid · 8′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJon Moncayola · Osasuna · 66′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedDávid Hancko · Atletico Madrid · 23′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedIker Benito · Osasuna · 78′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDávid Hancko · Atletico Madrid · 38′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMarcos Llorente · Atletico Madrid · 53′ · 0.03 xG · on targetJosé María Giménez · Atletico Madrid · 4′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedVíctor Muñoz · Osasuna · 24′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPablo Barrios · Atletico Madrid · 4′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAlex Baena · Atletico Madrid · 45′ · 0.05 xG · on targetPablo Barrios · Atletico Madrid · 51′ · 0.05 xG · on targetRubén García · Osasuna · 15′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJulián Alvarez · Atletico Madrid · 45′ · 0.06 xG · on targetAnte Budimir · Osasuna · 66′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAntoine Griezmann · Atletico Madrid · 6′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJulián Alvarez · Atletico Madrid · 58′ · 0.08 xG · on targetAlexander Sørloth · Atletico Madrid · 76′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAntoine Griezmann · Atletico Madrid · 16′ · 0.10 xG · on targetLucas Torró · Osasuna · 27′ · 0.10 xG · on targetJulián Alvarez · Atletico Madrid · 31′ · 0.11 xG · on targetVíctor Muñoz · Osasuna · 66′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedAlexander Sørloth · Atletico Madrid · 60′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedAnte Budimir · Osasuna · 66′ · 0.23 xG · off target or blockedAntoine Griezmann · Atletico Madrid · 7′ · 0.55 xG · on targetJosé María Giménez · Atletico Madrid · 59′ · 0.55 xG · off target or blockedThiago Almada · Atletico Madrid · 69′ · 0.55 xG · goalAnte Budimir · Osasuna · 89′ · 0.55 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Atletico Madrid: 18 shots, 9 on target, 2.56 xG. Osasuna: 9 shots, 2 on target, 1.18 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Thiago Almada · Atletico Madrid · 69′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Atletico Madrid 2.56 xG · Osasuna 1.18 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Atlético Madrid
0Draws
2Osasuna
Osasuna — Atlético Madrid · La Liga2–0
Atlético Madrid — Osasuna · La Liga1–0
Atlético Madrid — Osasuna · La Liga1–4
Osasuna — Atlético Madrid · La Liga0–2
Atlético Madrid — Osasuna · La Liga3–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Atlético Madrid favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · Osasuna in 1 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Atlético Madrid9 matchesOsasuna9 matches
1.78 goals/match ▲Goals scored9/90.78 goals/match
1.11 goals/matchGoals allowed9/9▲ 1 goal/match
1.8 xG/match ▲Expected goals9/91.04 xG/match
13.3 shots/match ▲Shots9/98.89 shots/match
5.67 shots/match ▲Shots on target9/92.78 shots/match
54.9% ●Possession9/944.1%
6.11 corners/match ●Corners9/92.11 corners/match
2.44 cards/matchCards9/92.22 cards/match
11.4 fouls/matchFouls9/912.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples9 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 18 Oct 2025, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAtlético MadridOsasuna
CompetitionLa LigaLa Liga 2025/26
Head-to-headAtlético Madrid — Osasuna
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required