La Liga · 2025Estadio El Sadar

Osasuna 2–3 Celta Vigo · La Liga

Osasuna

LDLWL
2–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Celta Vigo won 2–3.

Shots
1711
Shots on target
75
Expected goals
2.311.96
Possession
61%39%

Full time

What the match recorded

Celta Vigo beat Osasuna 3–2. Recorded in this match (Osasuna – Celta Vigo): shots 17–11, shots on target 7–5, expected goals 2.31–1.96, possession 61%–39%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Celta Vigo's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Celta Vigo's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.1 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.1 goals/match1.1 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Celta Vigo have a visible away split

weak

Celta Vigo's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season11.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9 shots/match11.4 shots/match11.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots11 shotsOsasuna 17 shots, Celta Vigo 11 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots5 shotsOsasuna 7 shots, Celta Vigo 5 shots
  • Expected goals2.31 xG1.96 xGOsasuna 2.31 xG, Celta Vigo 1.96 xG
  • Possession61%39%Osasuna 61%, Celta Vigo 39%
  • Corners5 corners2 cornersOsasuna 5 corners, Celta Vigo 2 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls13 foulsOsasuna 10 fouls, Celta Vigo 13 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards4 cardsOsasuna 3 cards, Celta Vigo 4 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Víctor Muñoz · Osasuna · 2′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBryan Zaragoza · Celta Vigo · 5′ · 0.02 xG · on targetBryan Zaragoza · Celta Vigo · 8′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMoi Gómez · Osasuna · 12′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAnte Budimir · Osasuna · 15′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMoi Gómez · Osasuna · 17′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRubén García · Osasuna · 17′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBryan Zaragoza · Celta Vigo · 19′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAnte Budimir · Osasuna · 34′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRubén García · Osasuna · 61′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMoi Gómez · Osasuna · 81′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedBryan Zaragoza · Celta Vigo · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedHugo Sotelo · Celta Vigo · 64′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedBorja Iglesias · Celta Vigo · 70′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSheraldo Becker · Osasuna · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRubén García · Osasuna · 7′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedVíctor Muñoz · Osasuna · 10′ · 0.06 xG · on targetFerran Jutglà · Celta Vigo · 30′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedVíctor Muñoz · Osasuna · 45′ · 0.06 xG · on targetRaúl García de Haro · Osasuna · 75′ · 0.06 xG · on targetFerran Jutglà · Celta Vigo · 26′ · 0.08 xG · goalAnte Budimir · Osasuna · 45′ · 0.08 xG · goalFerran Jutglà · Celta Vigo · 83′ · 0.10 xG · on targetAnte Budimir · Osasuna · 31′ · 0.18 xG · on targetPablo Durán · Celta Vigo · 87′ · 0.59 xG · goalFerran Jutglà · Celta Vigo · 69′ · 0.66 xG · goalAnte Budimir · Osasuna · 37′ · 0.82 xG · goalAnte Budimir · Osasuna · 79′ · 0.82 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Osasuna: 17 shots, 7 on target, 2.36 xG. Celta Vigo: 11 shots, 5 on target, 1.67 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Ante Budimir · Osasuna · 37′Ante Budimir · Osasuna · 45′Ferran Jutglà · Celta Vigo · 26′Ferran Jutglà · Celta Vigo · 69′Pablo Durán · Celta Vigo · 87′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Osasuna 2.36 xG · Celta Vigo 1.67 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Osasuna
1Draws
2Celta Vigo
Celta Vigo — Osasuna · La Liga1–0
Osasuna — Celta Vigo · La Liga3–2
Osasuna — Celta Vigo · La Liga0–3
Celta Vigo — Osasuna · La Liga0–2
Osasuna — Celta Vigo · La Liga0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Osasuna favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Celta Vigo in 5 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Osasuna10 matchesCelta Vigo10 matches
0.9 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲ 1.1 goals/match
1.2 goals/match ▲Goals allowed10/101.3 goals/match
1.16 xG/matchExpected goals10/101.19 xG/match
9.7 shots/matchShots10/10▲ 11.4 shots/match
3.2 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲ 3.6 shots/match
45.8%Possession10/10● 50.9%
2.4 corners/matchCorners10/10● 5.2 corners/match
2.3 cards/matchCards10/102.2 cards/match
12.2 fouls/matchFouls10/1011.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples10 / 10home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 26 Oct 2025, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

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