La Liga · 2025Sat, 18 Oct 2025, 12:00 UTCFull timeEstadio Ramón Sánchez PizjuánFull-time recap

Sevilla

DWLWW

1–3Full-time recap

Mallorca

LDLWL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Sevilla	Mallorca
Shots	13 shots/match▲	7 shots/match
Shots on target	4 shots/match	6 shots/match▲
Possession	58%	42%
Corners	9 corners/match	2 corners/match
Fouls	16 fouls/match	13 fouls/match
Yellow cards	2 cards/match	1 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Mallorca's last-five shots average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Sevilla have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Mallorca's recent record differs from the season

weak

Mallorca's last-five shots average is below their season average.

8 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season9.89 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Shots	8 shots/match	9.89 shots/match	11.8 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Sevilla have recorded the higher season possession share.

52.1%▲PossessionSevilla · Mallorca43.4%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.7 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Sevilla	Mallorca	Baseline
Possession	52.1%	43.4%	50.4%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Sevilla favored in 6 of 14 directional metrics · Mallorca in 3 · 5 too close

1.78 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 9/91.11 goals/match

1.56 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 9/91.56 goals/match

—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—

—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—

11 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 9/99.89 shots/match

12.2 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 9/914.4 shots/match

3.44 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 9/9▲4.11 shots/match

5.11 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 9/9▲4.78 shots/match

52.1%Possessionseason · 9/943.4%

4.22 corners/matchCornersseason · 9/93.67 corners/match

5.89 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 9/96.44 corners/match

3.22 cards/matchCardsseason · 9/9▲2.44 cards/match

16 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 9/912.4 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

22%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 9/911%

100%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 9/978%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Sevilla57.5

Mallorca22.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Sevilla49.2

Mallorca35.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Sevilla30

Mallorca23.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Sevilla22.5

Mallorca42.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Sevilla95

Mallorca60

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Sevilla40

Mallorca22.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Sevilla49.4

Mallorca37.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.8 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51.2 goals/match

1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

11 shots/match▲Shots5/58 shots/match

3 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲3.4 shots/match

50%Possession5/541.6%

5.4 corners/matchCorners5/52.6 corners/match

4 cards/matchCards5/52.4 cards/match

17 fouls/matchFouls5/513.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

9 / 9 matches

1.78 goals/match▲Goals scored9/91.11 goals/match

1.56 goals/matchGoals allowed9/91.56 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

11 shots/match▲Shots9/99.89 shots/match

3.44 shots/matchShots on target9/9▲4.11 shots/match

52.1%Possession9/943.4%

4.22 corners/matchCorners9/93.67 corners/match

3.22 cards/matchCards9/92.44 cards/match

16 fouls/matchFouls9/912.4 fouls/match

Window

Season

9 / 9 matches

1.78 goals/match▲Goals scored9/91.11 goals/match

1.56 goals/matchGoals allowed9/91.56 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

11 shots/match▲Shots9/99.89 shots/match

3.44 shots/matchShots on target9/9▲4.11 shots/match

52.1%Possession9/943.4%

4.22 corners/matchCorners9/93.67 corners/match

3.22 cards/matchCards9/92.44 cards/match

16 fouls/matchFouls9/912.4 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

5 / 5 matches

1.8 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51.4 goals/match

2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1.8 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

12.2 shots/match▲Shots5/510.6 shots/match

3.4 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲5.2 shots/match

57.2%Possession5/546%

5.2 corners/matchCorners5/54 corners/match

3.4 cards/matchCards5/52.2 cards/match

16.8 fouls/matchFouls5/512.8 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

12.9 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/113.8 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples9 / 9home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 18 Oct 2025, 16:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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