PitchMath
La Liga · 2025Fri, 24 Oct 2025, 19:00 UTCFull timeReale ArenaFull-time recap
2–1Full-time recap

Sevilla

WLWWL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricReal SociedadSevilla
Shots5 shots/match6 shots/match▲
Shots on target3 shots/match▲1 shots/match
Possession40%60%
Corners1 corners/match9 corners/match
Fouls19 fouls/match14 fouls/match
Yellow cards1 cards/match▲3 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline. A second useful context is: Real Sociedad's last-five shots average is below their season average. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

strong

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

15.9 fouls/match▲FoulsReal Sociedad · Sevilla15.8 fouls/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricReal SociedadSevillaBaseline
Fouls15.9 fouls/match15.8 fouls/match12.4 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Real Sociedad's recent record differs from the season

weak

Real Sociedad's last-five shots average is below their season average.

11.2 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season13.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots11.2 shots/match13.6 shots/match11.4 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Sevilla have a visible away split

moderate

Sevilla's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.8 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season10.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8.8 shots/match10.5 shots/match11.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Real Sociedad favored in 6 of 14 directional metrics · Sevilla in 4 · 4 too close

1 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 10/10▲1.7 goals/match
1.4 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 10/101.6 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
13.6 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 10/1010.5 shots/match
12.3 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 10/10▲11.5 shots/match
4.4 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 10/103.2 shots/match
3.7 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 10/104.9 shots/match
51.8%Possessionseason · 10/1052.9%
6.9 corners/matchCornersseason · 10/104.7 corners/match
4.7 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 10/105.4 corners/match
2.2 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 10/103.2 cards/match
15.9 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 10/1015.8 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
10%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 10/10▲20%
80%Scoring frequencyseason · 10/10▲100%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Real Sociedad57.5
Sevilla72.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Real Sociedad56.7
Sevilla44.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Real Sociedad44.2
Sevilla30.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Real Sociedad67.5
Sevilla7.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Real Sociedad67.5
Sevilla90
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Real Sociedad92.5
Sevilla42.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Real Sociedad80
Sevilla45
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.6 goals/match
1 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.6 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11.2 shots/match▲Shots5/510.4 shots/match
3.8 shots/match▲Shots on target5/52.6 shots/match
47.8%Possession5/551.6%
6 corners/matchCorners5/56.4 corners/match
1.8 cards/matchCards5/53.2 cards/match
15.4 fouls/matchFouls5/516 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲1.7 goals/match
1.4 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.6 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13.6 shots/match▲Shots10/1010.5 shots/match
4.4 shots/match▲Shots on target10/103.2 shots/match
51.8%Possession10/1052.9%
6.9 corners/matchCorners10/104.7 corners/match
2.2 cards/matchCards10/103.2 cards/match
15.9 fouls/matchFouls10/1015.8 fouls/match

Window

Season

10 / 10 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲1.7 goals/match
1.4 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.6 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13.6 shots/match▲Shots10/1010.5 shots/match
4.4 shots/match▲Shots on target10/103.2 shots/match
51.8%Possession10/1052.9%
6.9 corners/matchCorners10/104.7 corners/match
2.2 cards/matchCards10/103.2 cards/match
15.9 fouls/matchFouls10/1015.8 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

5 / 5 matches
1.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.6 goals/match
1.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.2 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
14 shots/match▲Shots5/58.8 shots/match
4.2 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53 shots/match
56.2%Possession5/548.6%
7.2 corners/matchCorners5/54.2 corners/match
1.6 cards/matchCards5/53 cards/match
15.6 fouls/matchFouls5/514.8 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

5.2 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.29 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples10 / 10home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 24 Oct 2025, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsReal SociedadSevilla
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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