UEFA Champions League · 2025Santiago Bernabéu

Real Madrid 1–0 Juventus · UEFA Champions League

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Real Madrid won 1–0.

Shots
2813
Shots on target
104
Expected goals
2.690.59
Possession
66%34%

Full time

What the match recorded

Real Madrid beat Juventus 1–0. Recorded in this match (Real Madrid – Juventus): shots 28–13, shots on target 10–4, expected goals 2.69–0.59, possession 66%–34%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Real Madrid show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Real Madrid's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

25.3 shots/match ▲ShotsReal Madrid · Juventus15 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricReal MadridJuventusBaseline
Shots25.3 shots/match15 shots/match13.5 shots/match
Shots against13 shots/match18.3 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Real Madrid have recorded the higher season possession share.

58.7% ●PossessionReal Madrid · Juventus47%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 11.7 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricReal MadridJuventusBaseline
Possession58.7%47%49.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots28 shots13 shotsReal Madrid 28 shots, Juventus 13 shots
  • Shots on target10 shots4 shotsReal Madrid 10 shots, Juventus 4 shots
  • Expected goals2.69 xG0.59 xGReal Madrid 2.69 xG, Juventus 0.59 xG
  • Possession66%34%Real Madrid 66%, Juventus 34%
  • Corners13 corners7 cornersReal Madrid 13 corners, Juventus 7 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls18 foulsReal Madrid 10 fouls, Juventus 18 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Arda Güler · Real Madrid · 31′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedVinícius Júnior · Real Madrid · 27′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedArda Güler · Real Madrid · 37′ · 0.02 xG · on targetÉder Militão · Real Madrid · 52′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFederico Valverde · Real Madrid · 52′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKenan Yıldız · Juventus · 64′ · 0.02 xG · on targetFederico Valverde · Real Madrid · 68′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKenan Yıldız · Juventus · 1′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAurélien Tchouaméni · Real Madrid · 9′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedWeston McKennie · Juventus · 10′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFederico Gatti · Juventus · 14′ · 0.03 xG · on targetBrahim Díaz · Real Madrid · 25′ · 0.03 xG · on targetVinícius Júnior · Real Madrid · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDušan Vlahović · Juventus · 47′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKenan Yıldız · Juventus · 48′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAndrea Cambiaso · Juventus · 56′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedVinícius Júnior · Real Madrid · 57′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedÉder Militão · Real Madrid · 35′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDaniele Rugani · Juventus · 51′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJude Bellingham · Real Madrid · 55′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedÉder Militão · Real Madrid · 36′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedÉder Militão · Real Madrid · 43′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAurélien Tchouaméni · Real Madrid · 26′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedÉder Militão · Real Madrid · 20′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedKylian Mbappé · Real Madrid · 23′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedPierre Kalulu · Juventus · 47′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedKylian Mbappé · Real Madrid · 65′ · 0.08 xG · on targetDušan Vlahović · Juventus · 50′ · 0.10 xG · on targetJude Bellingham · Real Madrid · 53′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedKylian Mbappé · Real Madrid · 71′ · 0.10 xG · on targetVinícius Júnior · Real Madrid · 52′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedBrahim Díaz · Real Madrid · 71′ · 0.12 xG · on targetBrahim Díaz · Real Madrid · 72′ · 0.13 xG · on targetAurélien Tchouaméni · Real Madrid · 16′ · 0.15 xG · on targetBrahim Díaz · Real Madrid · 67′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedKylian Mbappé · Real Madrid · 40′ · 0.38 xG · on targetJude Bellingham · Real Madrid · 57′ · 0.77 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Real Madrid: 27 shots, 9 on target, 2.74 xG. Juventus: 10 shots, 3 on target, 0.42 xG. · 4 unplaced

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Jude Bellingham · Real Madrid · 57′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Real Madrid 2.74 xG · Juventus 0.42 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Real Madrid favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Juventus in 0 · 11 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Real Madrid3 matchesJuventus3 matches
2.67 goals/match ▲Goals scored3/32 goals/match
0.33 goals/match ▲Goals allowed3/32.33 goals/match
3.29 xG/match ▲Expected goals3/31.37 xG/match
25.3 shots/match ▲Shots3/315 shots/match
12.3 shots/match ▲Shots on target3/35 shots/match
58.7% ●Possession3/347%
9.33 corners/match ●Corners3/34.67 corners/match
9.33 fouls/matchFouls3/316.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples3 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 22 Oct 2025, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in UEFA Champions League

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