Serie A · 2025Sun, 19 Oct 2025, 10:30 UTCFull timeStadio Giuseppe SinigagliaFull-time recap

Como

LDWDD
20Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricComoJuventus
Shots12 shots/match15 shots/match
Shots on target6 shots/match3 shots/match
Possession45%55%
Corners4 corners/match1 corners/match
Fouls12 fouls/match15 fouls/match
Yellow cards3 cards/match1 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Juventus's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Juventus have a visible away split

weak

Juventus's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

12.7 shots/matchShotsAway only · Season15.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots12.7 shots/match15.9 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Como favored in 5 of 14 directional metrics · Juventus in 3 · 6 too close

1.29 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 7/71.29 goals/match
0.71 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 7/71 goals/match
Expected goalsseason · 0/0
Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0
14.6 shots/matchShotsseason · 7/715.9 shots/match
11.4 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 7/712.4 shots/match
5 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 7/75 shots/match
2.71 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 7/73.29 shots/match
56.1%Possessionseason · 7/758%
3.86 corners/matchCornersseason · 7/75.57 corners/match
4.14 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 7/74.57 corners/match
3.14 cards/matchCardsseason · 7/71.71 cards/match
16.1 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 7/712 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
29%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 7/743%
86%Scoring frequencyseason · 7/771%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Como72.5
Juventus82.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Como75
Juventus78.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Como80.8
Juventus60.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Como57.5
Juventus77.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Como95
Juventus25
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Como32.5
Juventus82.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Como71.2
Juventus67.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.4 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.2 goals/match
0.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.4 goals/match
Expected goals0/0
14 shots/matchShots5/514.6 shots/match
5.4 shots/matchShots on target5/54.8 shots/match
53.2%Possession5/557.2%
3.4 corners/matchCorners5/55.8 corners/match
3.2 cards/matchCards5/51.6 cards/match
15.8 fouls/matchFouls5/512 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

7 / 7 matches
1.29 goals/matchGoals scored7/71.29 goals/match
0.71 goals/matchGoals allowed7/71 goals/match
Expected goals0/0
14.6 shots/matchShots7/715.9 shots/match
5 shots/matchShots on target7/75 shots/match
56.1%Possession7/758%
3.86 corners/matchCorners7/75.57 corners/match
3.14 cards/matchCards7/71.71 cards/match
16.1 fouls/matchFouls7/712 fouls/match

Window

Season

7 / 7 matches
1.29 goals/matchGoals scored7/71.29 goals/match
0.71 goals/matchGoals allowed7/71 goals/match
Expected goals0/0
14.6 shots/matchShots7/715.9 shots/match
5 shots/matchShots on target7/75 shots/match
56.1%Possession7/758%
3.86 corners/matchCorners7/75.57 corners/match
3.14 cards/matchCards7/71.71 cards/match
16.1 fouls/matchFouls7/712 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

4 / 3 matches
1.5 goals/matchGoals scored4/30.67 goals/match
0.5 goals/matchGoals allowed4/31 goals/match
Expected goals0/0
14.5 shots/matchShots4/312.7 shots/match
5.5 shots/matchShots on target4/33.33 shots/match
54.8%Possession4/361%
3.5 corners/matchCorners4/32.67 corners/match
3 cards/matchCards4/32 cards/match
14 fouls/matchFouls4/313.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

14.7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/113.7 days
0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 19 Oct 2025, 14:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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